The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
63.3% of the contact against Kelly is on the ground and 15.3% of it is in the air.
196 tracked batted balls allowed.
Both sides hit him about the same
39.3% of the contact right-handers make against Kelly is hit hard, against 56.5% of what left-handers make.
169 pitches to right-handed hitters, 115 to left-handed hitters.
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
61.5% of the contact against Kelly with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 42.1% with the bases empty.
95 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 189 with the bases empty.
He handles both hands about the same
Right-handed hitters project to a .275 average against Kelly and left-handers to .363.
169 pitches to right-handed hitters, 115 to left-handed hitters.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .344 expected average against them, against .248 on his offspeed pitches.
185 of his fastballs thrown.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Kelly's changeup leaves the bat at 90.7 mph, against 84.6 off his sweeper.
276 and 69 of them thrown.
One side of the plate does most of the damage against him
Right-handed hitters average 85.7 mph off the bat against Kelly and left-handers 93.0.
102 tracked batted balls from right-handers, 98 from left-handers.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
47.1% of the contact Kelly gives up is hit hard, 17th percentile.
284 pitches in 2026. 17th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 444th in MLB.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Kelly's stuff spins at 2,056 rpm, 13th percentile in the league.
284 pitches in 2026. 13th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 467th in MLB.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 90.4 mph off the bat against Kelly, 23rd percentile.
284 pitches in 2026. 23rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 416th in MLB.
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Kelly lives in the strike zone: 46.5% of his pitches are in it, 84th percentile.
284 pitches in 2026. 84th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 89th in MLB.
Hitters tend to hit him to one part of the field
48.5% of the balls put in play against Kelly have gone to centre field.
98 of 202 located batted balls allowed.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Kelly averages 88.4 mph across his arsenal, 31st percentile in the league.
284 pitches in 2026. 31st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 371st in MLB.
The home runs are what is undoing his season
Kelly has given up 6 tracked home runs, 3 of them to centre field, the longest 430 feet.
6 tracked home runs allowed in 2026.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
63.3% of the contact against Kelly is on the ground and 15.3% of it is in the air.
196 tracked batted balls allowed.
One side of the plate does most of the damage against him
Right-handed hitters average 85.7 mph off the bat against Kelly and left-handers 93.0.
102 tracked batted balls from right-handers, 98 from left-handers.
Hitters tend to hit him to one part of the field
48.5% of the balls put in play against Kelly have gone to centre field.
98 of 202 located batted balls allowed.
The home runs are what is undoing his season
Kelly has given up 6 tracked home runs, 3 of them to centre field, the longest 430 feet.
6 tracked home runs allowed in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
Both sides hit him about the same
39.3% of the contact right-handers make against Kelly is hit hard, against 56.5% of what left-handers make.
169 pitches to right-handed hitters, 115 to left-handed hitters.
He handles both hands about the same
Right-handed hitters project to a .275 average against Kelly and left-handers to .363.
169 pitches to right-handed hitters, 115 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
61.5% of the contact against Kelly with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 42.1% with the bases empty.
95 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 189 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .344 expected average against them, against .248 on his offspeed pitches.
185 of his fastballs thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Kelly's changeup leaves the bat at 90.7 mph, against 84.6 off his sweeper.
276 and 69 of them thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
Too much of the contact against him is loud
47.1% of the contact Kelly gives up is hit hard, 17th percentile.
284 pitches in 2026. 17th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 444th in MLB.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 90.4 mph off the bat against Kelly, 23rd percentile.
284 pitches in 2026. 23rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 416th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Kelly's stuff spins at 2,056 rpm, 13th percentile in the league.
284 pitches in 2026. 13th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 467th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Kelly lives in the strike zone: 46.5% of his pitches are in it, 84th percentile.
284 pitches in 2026. 84th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 89th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Kelly averages 88.4 mph across his arsenal, 31st percentile in the league.
284 pitches in 2026. 31st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 371st in MLB.
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