The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Winn projects a .214 average, 99th percentile.
260 pitches in 2026. 99th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 6th in MLB.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Winn's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 93.6 mph, against 76.8 off his slider.
160 and 47 of them thrown.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 25.5% of the contact Winn gives up is hit hard, 95th percentile.
260 pitches in 2026. 95th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 30th in MLB.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
53.7% of the contact against Winn is on the ground and 28.5% of it is in the air.
123 tracked batted balls allowed.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .259 expected average against them, against .168 on his fastballs.
142 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
16.7% of the contact against Winn with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 28.6% with the bases empty.
67 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 193 with the bases empty.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Winn is weak: 83.7 mph off the bat on average, 94th percentile.
260 pitches in 2026. 94th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 35th in MLB.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Winn's stuff spins at 1,898 rpm, 4th percentile in the league.
260 pitches in 2026. 4th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 517th in MLB.
The home runs are what is undoing his season
Winn has given up 3 tracked home runs, 2 of them to right field, the longest 441 feet.
3 tracked home runs allowed in 2026.
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Winn averages 92.4 mph across his arsenal, 85th percentile in the league.
260 pitches in 2026. 85th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 83rd in MLB.
One side of the plate does most of the damage against him
Right-handed hitters average 84.9 mph off the bat against Winn and left-handers 88.4.
72 tracked batted balls from right-handers, 50 from left-handers.
Hitters tend to hit him to one part of the field
43.1% of the balls put in play against Winn have gone to centre field.
53 of 123 located batted balls allowed.
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Winn lives in the strike zone: 44% of his pitches are in it, 61st percentile.
260 pitches in 2026. 61st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 209th in MLB.
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The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Winn projects a .214 average, 99th percentile.
260 pitches in 2026. 99th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 6th in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 25.5% of the contact Winn gives up is hit hard, 95th percentile.
260 pitches in 2026. 95th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 30th in MLB.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Winn is weak: 83.7 mph off the bat on average, 94th percentile.
260 pitches in 2026. 94th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 35th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Winn's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 93.6 mph, against 76.8 off his slider.
160 and 47 of them thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
53.7% of the contact against Winn is on the ground and 28.5% of it is in the air.
123 tracked batted balls allowed.
The home runs are what is undoing his season
Winn has given up 3 tracked home runs, 2 of them to right field, the longest 441 feet.
3 tracked home runs allowed in 2026.
One side of the plate does most of the damage against him
Right-handed hitters average 84.9 mph off the bat against Winn and left-handers 88.4.
72 tracked batted balls from right-handers, 50 from left-handers.
Hitters tend to hit him to one part of the field
43.1% of the balls put in play against Winn have gone to centre field.
53 of 123 located batted balls allowed.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .259 expected average against them, against .168 on his fastballs.
142 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
16.7% of the contact against Winn with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 28.6% with the bases empty.
67 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 193 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Winn's stuff spins at 1,898 rpm, 4th percentile in the league.
260 pitches in 2026. 4th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 517th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Winn averages 92.4 mph across his arsenal, 85th percentile in the league.
260 pitches in 2026. 85th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 83rd in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Winn lives in the strike zone: 44% of his pitches are in it, 61st percentile.
260 pitches in 2026. 61st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 209th in MLB.