This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Winn goes to the splitter: 63% of his two-strike pitches, against 38.7% the rest of the time.
189 two-strike pitches in 2026.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Winn throws 34.3% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 47.4% with the bases empty.
67 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 193 with the bases empty.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Winn's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 93.6 mph, against 76.8 off his slider.
160 and 47 of them thrown.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .259 expected average against them, against .168 on his fastballs.
142 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Winn projects a .214 average, 99th percentile.
260 pitches in 2026. 99th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 6th in MLB.
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Winn averages 92.4 mph across his arsenal, 85th percentile in the league.
260 pitches in 2026. 85th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 83rd in MLB.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Winn's 4-seam fastball averages 96.1 mph, and has touched 99.0.
160 thrown, 24.8% of his pitches.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Winn lands 59.1% of his fastballs in the zone and only 32.4% of his offspeed pitches.
116 of his fastballs, 142 of his offspeed pitches.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Winn's 4-seam fastball carries 13.9 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
160 thrown, averaging 96.1 mph.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Winn's stuff spins at 1,898 rpm, 4th percentile in the league.
260 pitches in 2026. 4th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 517th in MLB.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Winn lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.17 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
643 located pitches in 2026.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 25.5% of the contact Winn gives up is hit hard, 95th percentile.
260 pitches in 2026. 95th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 30th in MLB.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Winn's splitter moves 13.5 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
295 thrown, averaging 89.3 mph.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Winn throws the sinker 31.8% of the time against right-handers and 8% against left-handers.
381 pitches to right-handers, 263 to left-handers.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Winn throws a fastball 46.8% of the time, against 33.8% when he is ahead.
154 pitches behind in the count, 198 ahead.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Winn is weak: 83.7 mph off the bat on average, 94th percentile.
260 pitches in 2026. 94th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 35th in MLB.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Winn works with 4 pitches: Splitter, 4-Seam Fastball, Sinker and Slider. The splitter is 45.8% of everything he throws.
644 classified pitches in 2026.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Winn throws a strike on the first pitch 64.8% of the time.
176 plate appearances started in 2026.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
17.1% of Winn's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
110 of 643 located pitches.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Winn puts 57.8% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 42.4% when he is ahead.
154 located pitches behind, 198 ahead.
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Winn lives in the strike zone: 44% of his pitches are in it, 61st percentile.
260 pitches in 2026. 61st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 209th in MLB.
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Winn releases the ball 6.2 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
576 tracked pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Winn's 4-seam fastball spins at 2,344 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
160 thrown in 2026.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Winn goes to the splitter: 63% of his two-strike pitches, against 38.7% the rest of the time.
189 two-strike pitches in 2026.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Winn throws a fastball 46.8% of the time, against 33.8% when he is ahead.
154 pitches behind in the count, 198 ahead.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Winn throws a strike on the first pitch 64.8% of the time.
176 plate appearances started in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Winn puts 57.8% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 42.4% when he is ahead.
154 located pitches behind, 198 ahead.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Winn throws 34.3% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 47.4% with the bases empty.
67 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 193 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Winn's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 93.6 mph, against 76.8 off his slider.
160 and 47 of them thrown.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Winn's 4-seam fastball averages 96.1 mph, and has touched 99.0.
160 thrown, 24.8% of his pitches.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Winn throws the sinker 31.8% of the time against right-handers and 8% against left-handers.
381 pitches to right-handers, 263 to left-handers.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Winn works with 4 pitches: Splitter, 4-Seam Fastball, Sinker and Slider. The splitter is 45.8% of everything he throws.
644 classified pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Winn's 4-seam fastball spins at 2,344 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
160 thrown in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .259 expected average against them, against .168 on his fastballs.
142 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Winn lands 59.1% of his fastballs in the zone and only 32.4% of his offspeed pitches.
116 of his fastballs, 142 of his offspeed pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Winn projects a .214 average, 99th percentile.
260 pitches in 2026. 99th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 6th in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 25.5% of the contact Winn gives up is hit hard, 95th percentile.
260 pitches in 2026. 95th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 30th in MLB.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Winn is weak: 83.7 mph off the bat on average, 94th percentile.
260 pitches in 2026. 94th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 35th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Winn averages 92.4 mph across his arsenal, 85th percentile in the league.
260 pitches in 2026. 85th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 83rd in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Winn's 4-seam fastball carries 13.9 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
160 thrown, averaging 96.1 mph.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Winn's splitter moves 13.5 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
295 thrown, averaging 89.3 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Winn's stuff spins at 1,898 rpm, 4th percentile in the league.
260 pitches in 2026. 4th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 517th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Winn lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.17 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
643 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
17.1% of Winn's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
110 of 643 located pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Winn lives in the strike zone: 44% of his pitches are in it, 61st percentile.
260 pitches in 2026. 61st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 209th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Winn releases the ball 6.2 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
576 tracked pitches in 2026.