Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Estrada is weak: 81.6 mph off the bat on average, 99th percentile.
198 pitches in 2026. 99th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 9th in MLB.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .475 expected average against them, against .312 on his fastballs.
50 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
One side of the plate does most of the damage against him
Right-handed hitters average 88.1 mph off the bat against Estrada and left-handers 75.6.
13 tracked batted balls from right-handers, 14 from left-handers.
He cannot find the zone often enough
Estrada works off the plate, with only 34.8% of his pitches in the zone, 4th percentile.
198 pitches in 2026. 4th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 518th in MLB.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Estrada's stuff spins at 1,938 rpm, 5th percentile in the league.
198 pitches in 2026. 5th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 510th in MLB.
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
33.3% of the contact against Estrada with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 42.9% with the bases empty.
60 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 138 with the bases empty.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
25.9% of the contact against Estrada is on the ground and 48.1% of it is in the air.
27 tracked batted balls allowed.
Hitters tend to hit him to one part of the field
48.1% of the balls put in play against Estrada have gone to centre field.
13 of 27 located batted balls allowed.
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Estrada averages 91.2 mph across his arsenal, 71st percentile in the league.
198 pitches in 2026. 71st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 155th in MLB.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Estrada projects a .311 average, 64th percentile.
198 pitches in 2026. 64th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 194th in MLB.
Show more
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Estrada is weak: 81.6 mph off the bat on average, 99th percentile.
198 pitches in 2026. 99th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 9th in MLB.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Estrada projects a .311 average, 64th percentile.
198 pitches in 2026. 64th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 194th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .475 expected average against them, against .312 on his fastballs.
50 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One side of the plate does most of the damage against him
Right-handed hitters average 88.1 mph off the bat against Estrada and left-handers 75.6.
13 tracked batted balls from right-handers, 14 from left-handers.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
25.9% of the contact against Estrada is on the ground and 48.1% of it is in the air.
27 tracked batted balls allowed.
Hitters tend to hit him to one part of the field
48.1% of the balls put in play against Estrada have gone to centre field.
13 of 27 located batted balls allowed.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Estrada works off the plate, with only 34.8% of his pitches in the zone, 4th percentile.
198 pitches in 2026. 4th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 518th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Estrada's stuff spins at 1,938 rpm, 5th percentile in the league.
198 pitches in 2026. 5th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 510th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
33.3% of the contact against Estrada with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 42.9% with the bases empty.
60 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 138 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Estrada averages 91.2 mph across his arsenal, 71st percentile in the league.
198 pitches in 2026. 71st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 155th in MLB.
Padres
Career team 2024–2026