One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .397 expected average against them, against .230 on his breaking balls.
73 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Lopez projects a .255 average, 93rd percentile.
748 pitches in 2026. 93rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 41st in MLB.
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
19.4% of the contact against Lopez with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 33.3% with the bases empty.
149 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 599 with the bases empty.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Lopez's sinker leaves the bat at 90.0 mph, against 77.9 off his slider.
53 and 231 of them thrown.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Lopez is weak: 84.5 mph off the bat on average, 91st percentile.
748 pitches in 2026. 91st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 51st in MLB.
One side of the plate does most of the damage against him
Right-handed hitters average 85.9 mph off the bat against Lopez and left-handers 81.0.
97 tracked batted balls from right-handers, 36 from left-handers.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Lopez averages 84.8 mph across his arsenal, 5th percentile in the league.
748 pitches in 2026. 5th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 511th in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 30.1% of the contact Lopez gives up is hit hard, 86th percentile.
748 pitches in 2026. 86th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 75th in MLB.
Both sides hit him about the same
32% of the contact right-handers make against Lopez is hit hard, against 25% of what left-handers make.
517 pitches to right-handed hitters, 231 to left-handed hitters.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
33.1% of the contact against Lopez is on the ground and 48.9% of it is in the air.
133 tracked batted balls allowed.
Hitters tend to hit him to one part of the field
42.9% of the balls put in play against Lopez have gone to centre field.
57 of 133 located batted balls allowed.
The home runs are what is undoing his season
Lopez has given up 10 tracked home runs, 5 of them to right field, the longest 413 feet.
10 tracked home runs allowed in 2026.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .397 expected average against them, against .230 on his breaking balls.
73 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Lopez projects a .255 average, 93rd percentile.
748 pitches in 2026. 93rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 41st in MLB.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Lopez is weak: 84.5 mph off the bat on average, 91st percentile.
748 pitches in 2026. 91st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 51st in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 30.1% of the contact Lopez gives up is hit hard, 86th percentile.
748 pitches in 2026. 86th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 75th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
19.4% of the contact against Lopez with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 33.3% with the bases empty.
149 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 599 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Lopez's sinker leaves the bat at 90.0 mph, against 77.9 off his slider.
53 and 231 of them thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One side of the plate does most of the damage against him
Right-handed hitters average 85.9 mph off the bat against Lopez and left-handers 81.0.
97 tracked batted balls from right-handers, 36 from left-handers.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
33.1% of the contact against Lopez is on the ground and 48.9% of it is in the air.
133 tracked batted balls allowed.
Hitters tend to hit him to one part of the field
42.9% of the balls put in play against Lopez have gone to centre field.
57 of 133 located batted balls allowed.
The home runs are what is undoing his season
Lopez has given up 10 tracked home runs, 5 of them to right field, the longest 413 feet.
10 tracked home runs allowed in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Lopez averages 84.8 mph across his arsenal, 5th percentile in the league.
748 pitches in 2026. 5th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 511th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
Both sides hit him about the same
32% of the contact right-handers make against Lopez is hit hard, against 25% of what left-handers make.
517 pitches to right-handed hitters, 231 to left-handed hitters.