This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Lopez goes to the slider: 46.3% of his two-strike pitches, against 25.7% the rest of the time.
188 two-strike pitches in 2026.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Lopez releases the ball from a sidearm slot, about 13 degrees above horizontal and 3.3 feet to the first-base side of the rubber.
748 tracked release points, averaging 5.2 feet off the ground.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .397 expected average against them, against .230 on his breaking balls.
73 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Lopez's changeup moves 18.2 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
73 thrown, averaging 83.2 mph.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Lopez averages 84.8 mph across his arsenal, 5th percentile in the league.
748 pitches in 2026. 5th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 511th in MLB.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Lopez's sinker leaves the bat at 90.0 mph, against 77.9 off his slider.
53 and 231 of them thrown.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Lopez's 4-seam fastball averages 90.4 mph, and has touched 93.4.
249 thrown, 33.3% of his pitches.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Lopez puts 44.7% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 38.5% of his pitches to left-handers.
517 pitches to right-handed hitters, 231 to left-handed hitters.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Lopez throws a fastball 67.1% of the time, against 46.8% when he is ahead.
252 pitches behind in the count, 173 ahead.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Lopez projects a .255 average, 93rd percentile.
748 pitches in 2026. 93rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 41st in MLB.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Lopez is weak: 84.5 mph off the bat on average, 91st percentile.
748 pitches in 2026. 91st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 51st in MLB.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Lopez's 4-seam fastball carries 12.7 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
249 thrown, averaging 90.4 mph.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
13.2 mph separates Lopez's 4-seam fastball from his slider, 90.4 against 77.2.
249 and 231 of them respectively.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Lopez puts 56.7% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 37.6% when he is ahead.
252 located pitches behind, 173 ahead.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Lopez releases the ball 6.9 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
598 tracked pitches in 2026.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 30.1% of the contact Lopez gives up is hit hard, 86th percentile.
748 pitches in 2026. 86th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 75th in MLB.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Lopez lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.33 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
748 located pitches in 2026.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Lopez throws the slider 43.7% of the time against left-handers and 25.1% against right-handers.
517 pitches to right-handers, 231 to left-handers.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Lopez lands 47.5% of his fastballs in the zone and only 35.1% of his breaking balls.
444 of his fastballs, 231 of his breaking balls.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Lopez works with 5 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Slider, Cutter and Changeup, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 33.3% of everything he throws.
748 classified pitches in 2026.
He lives on one side of the plate
Lopez works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 1.8 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
748 located pitches in 2026.
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Lopez's fastball averages 89.5 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 88.9 past his 75th.
153 early fastballs, 66 late ones.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Lopez throws 40.9% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 43.2% with the bases empty.
149 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 599 with the bases empty.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Lopez throws a strike on the first pitch 57.9% of the time.
190 plate appearances started in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Lopez's slider spins at 2,407 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
231 thrown in 2026.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Lopez goes to the slider: 46.3% of his two-strike pitches, against 25.7% the rest of the time.
188 two-strike pitches in 2026.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Lopez throws a fastball 67.1% of the time, against 46.8% when he is ahead.
252 pitches behind in the count, 173 ahead.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Lopez puts 56.7% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 37.6% when he is ahead.
252 located pitches behind, 173 ahead.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Lopez throws a strike on the first pitch 57.9% of the time.
190 plate appearances started in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Lopez releases the ball from a sidearm slot, about 13 degrees above horizontal and 3.3 feet to the first-base side of the rubber.
748 tracked release points, averaging 5.2 feet off the ground.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Lopez releases the ball 6.9 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
598 tracked pitches in 2026.
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Lopez's fastball averages 89.5 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 88.9 past his 75th.
153 early fastballs, 66 late ones.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .397 expected average against them, against .230 on his breaking balls.
73 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Lopez lands 47.5% of his fastballs in the zone and only 35.1% of his breaking balls.
444 of his fastballs, 231 of his breaking balls.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Lopez's changeup moves 18.2 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
73 thrown, averaging 83.2 mph.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Lopez's 4-seam fastball carries 12.7 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
249 thrown, averaging 90.4 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Lopez averages 84.8 mph across his arsenal, 5th percentile in the league.
748 pitches in 2026. 5th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 511th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Lopez's sinker leaves the bat at 90.0 mph, against 77.9 off his slider.
53 and 231 of them thrown.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Lopez's 4-seam fastball averages 90.4 mph, and has touched 93.4.
249 thrown, 33.3% of his pitches.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
13.2 mph separates Lopez's 4-seam fastball from his slider, 90.4 against 77.2.
249 and 231 of them respectively.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Lopez throws the slider 43.7% of the time against left-handers and 25.1% against right-handers.
517 pitches to right-handers, 231 to left-handers.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Lopez works with 5 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Slider, Cutter and Changeup, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 33.3% of everything he throws.
748 classified pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Lopez's slider spins at 2,407 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
231 thrown in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Lopez puts 44.7% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 38.5% of his pitches to left-handers.
517 pitches to right-handed hitters, 231 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Lopez projects a .255 average, 93rd percentile.
748 pitches in 2026. 93rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 41st in MLB.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Lopez is weak: 84.5 mph off the bat on average, 91st percentile.
748 pitches in 2026. 91st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 51st in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 30.1% of the contact Lopez gives up is hit hard, 86th percentile.
748 pitches in 2026. 86th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 75th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Lopez lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.33 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
748 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on one side of the plate
Lopez works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 1.8 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
748 located pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Lopez throws 40.9% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 43.2% with the bases empty.
149 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 599 with the bases empty.