One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .415 expected average against them, against .278 on his breaking balls.
52 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
18.2% of the contact against Burns with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 40.9% with the bases empty.
109 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 705 with the bases empty.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Burns's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 89.7 mph, against 81.3 off his changeup.
458 and 52 of them thrown.
The home runs are what is undoing his season
Burns has given up 6 tracked home runs, 4 of them to right field, the longest 417 feet.
6 tracked home runs allowed in 2026.
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Burns averages 94.8 mph across his arsenal, 97th percentile in the league.
814 pitches in 2026. 97th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 16th in MLB.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Burns projects a .294 average, 80th percentile.
814 pitches in 2026. 80th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 106th in MLB.
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Burns's stuff spins at 2,564 rpm, 94th percentile in the league.
814 pitches in 2026. 94th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 35th in MLB.
He cannot find the zone often enough
Burns works off the plate, with only 39.4% of his pitches in the zone, 18th percentile.
814 pitches in 2026. 18th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 443rd in MLB.
Both sides hit him about the same
41.9% of the contact right-handers make against Burns is hit hard, against 35.9% of what left-handers make.
348 pitches to right-handed hitters, 466 to left-handed hitters.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
46% of the contact against Burns is on the ground and 35.7% of it is in the air.
126 tracked batted balls allowed.
Show more
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .415 expected average against them, against .278 on his breaking balls.
52 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
18.2% of the contact against Burns with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 40.9% with the bases empty.
109 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 705 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Burns's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 89.7 mph, against 81.3 off his changeup.
458 and 52 of them thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The home runs are what is undoing his season
Burns has given up 6 tracked home runs, 4 of them to right field, the longest 417 feet.
6 tracked home runs allowed in 2026.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
46% of the contact against Burns is on the ground and 35.7% of it is in the air.
126 tracked batted balls allowed.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Burns averages 94.8 mph across his arsenal, 97th percentile in the league.
814 pitches in 2026. 97th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 16th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Burns projects a .294 average, 80th percentile.
814 pitches in 2026. 80th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 106th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Burns's stuff spins at 2,564 rpm, 94th percentile in the league.
814 pitches in 2026. 94th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 35th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Burns works off the plate, with only 39.4% of his pitches in the zone, 18th percentile.
814 pitches in 2026. 18th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 443rd in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
Both sides hit him about the same
41.9% of the contact right-handers make against Burns is hit hard, against 35.9% of what left-handers make.
348 pitches to right-handed hitters, 466 to left-handed hitters.
Reds