His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Burns's 4-seam fastball averages 97.6 mph, and has touched 100.7.
1430 thrown, 55.7% of his pitches.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .415 expected average against them, against .278 on his breaking balls.
52 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Burns's 4-seam fastball carries 18.1 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
1430 thrown, averaging 97.6 mph.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Burns throws 31.2% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 40.7% with the bases empty.
109 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 705 with the bases empty.
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Burns averages 94.8 mph across his arsenal, 97th percentile in the league.
814 pitches in 2026. 97th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 16th in MLB.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Burns goes to the slider: 50.2% of his two-strike pitches, against 33.6% the rest of the time.
801 two-strike pitches in 2026.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Burns's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 90.2 mph, against 84.0 off his changeup.
1430 and 134 of them thrown.
He cannot find the zone often enough
Burns works off the plate, with only 39.4% of his pitches in the zone, 18th percentile.
814 pitches in 2026. 18th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 443rd in MLB.
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Burns's stuff spins at 2,564 rpm, 94th percentile in the league.
814 pitches in 2026. 94th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 35th in MLB.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Burns's changeup moves 14.8 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
134 thrown, averaging 90.2 mph.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Burns lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.17 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
2569 located pitches in 2026.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Burns throws a fastball 63.1% of the time, against 48.8% when he is ahead.
700 pitches behind in the count, 739 ahead.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Burns works with 3 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Slider and Changeup. The 4-seam fastball is 55.7% of everything he throws.
2569 classified pitches in 2026.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Burns projects a .294 average, 80th percentile.
814 pitches in 2026. 80th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 106th in MLB.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Burns puts 56.6% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 35.9% when he is ahead.
700 located pitches behind, 739 ahead.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Burns's slider spins at 2,774 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
996 thrown in 2026.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Burns puts 41.4% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 38% of his pitches to left-handers.
348 pitches to right-handed hitters, 466 to left-handed hitters.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Burns lands 44.7% of his fastballs in the zone and only 30.8% of his offspeed pitches.
463 of his fastballs, 52 of his offspeed pitches.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Burns releases the ball from a three-quarters slot, about 57 degrees above horizontal and 1.2 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
2569 tracked release points, averaging 6.3 feet off the ground.
He lives on one side of the plate
Burns works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 2.4 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
2569 located pitches in 2026.
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Burns's fastball averages 97.9 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 97.4 past his 75th.
432 early fastballs, 263 late ones.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
17.8% of Burns's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
458 of 2569 located pitches.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Burns throws the slider 46% of the time against right-handers and 34.8% against left-handers.
916 pitches to right-handers, 1653 to left-handers.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Burns's 4-seam fastball averages 97.6 mph, and has touched 100.7.
1430 thrown, 55.7% of his pitches.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Burns's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 90.2 mph, against 84.0 off his changeup.
1430 and 134 of them thrown.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Burns works with 3 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Slider and Changeup. The 4-seam fastball is 55.7% of everything he throws.
2569 classified pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Burns's slider spins at 2,774 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
996 thrown in 2026.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Burns throws the slider 46% of the time against right-handers and 34.8% against left-handers.
916 pitches to right-handers, 1653 to left-handers.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .415 expected average against them, against .278 on his breaking balls.
52 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Burns lands 44.7% of his fastballs in the zone and only 30.8% of his offspeed pitches.
463 of his fastballs, 52 of his offspeed pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Burns's 4-seam fastball carries 18.1 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
1430 thrown, averaging 97.6 mph.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Burns's changeup moves 14.8 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
134 thrown, averaging 90.2 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Burns throws 31.2% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 40.7% with the bases empty.
109 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 705 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Burns averages 94.8 mph across his arsenal, 97th percentile in the league.
814 pitches in 2026. 97th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 16th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Burns goes to the slider: 50.2% of his two-strike pitches, against 33.6% the rest of the time.
801 two-strike pitches in 2026.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Burns throws a fastball 63.1% of the time, against 48.8% when he is ahead.
700 pitches behind in the count, 739 ahead.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Burns puts 56.6% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 35.9% when he is ahead.
700 located pitches behind, 739 ahead.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Burns works off the plate, with only 39.4% of his pitches in the zone, 18th percentile.
814 pitches in 2026. 18th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 443rd in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Burns's stuff spins at 2,564 rpm, 94th percentile in the league.
814 pitches in 2026. 94th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 35th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Burns lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.17 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
2569 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on one side of the plate
Burns works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 2.4 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
2569 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
17.8% of Burns's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
458 of 2569 located pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Burns projects a .294 average, 80th percentile.
814 pitches in 2026. 80th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 106th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Burns puts 41.4% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 38% of his pitches to left-handers.
348 pitches to right-handed hitters, 466 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Burns releases the ball from a three-quarters slot, about 57 degrees above horizontal and 1.2 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
2569 tracked release points, averaging 6.3 feet off the ground.
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Burns's fastball averages 97.9 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 97.4 past his 75th.
432 early fastballs, 263 late ones.
Reds