His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Burns's 4-seam fastball averages 98.0 mph, and has touched 100.7.
458 thrown, 56.3% of his pitches.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .415 expected average against them, against .278 on his breaking balls.
52 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Burns's 4-seam fastball carries 18.1 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
458 thrown, averaging 98.0 mph.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Burns throws 31.2% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 40.7% with the bases empty.
109 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 705 with the bases empty.
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Burns averages 94.8 mph across his arsenal, 97th percentile in the league.
814 pitches in 2026. 97th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 16th in MLB.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Burns's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 89.7 mph, against 81.3 off his changeup.
458 and 52 of them thrown.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Burns's changeup moves 15.2 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
52 thrown, averaging 89.9 mph.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Burns goes to the slider: 44.4% of his two-strike pitches, against 33.5% the rest of the time.
232 two-strike pitches in 2026.
He cannot find the zone often enough
Burns works off the plate, with only 39.4% of his pitches in the zone, 18th percentile.
814 pitches in 2026. 18th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 443rd in MLB.
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Burns's stuff spins at 2,564 rpm, 94th percentile in the league.
814 pitches in 2026. 94th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 35th in MLB.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Burns works with 3 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Slider and Changeup. The 4-seam fastball is 56.3% of everything he throws.
814 classified pitches in 2026.
He lives on one side of the plate
Burns works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 2.7 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
814 located pitches in 2026.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Burns projects a .294 average, 80th percentile.
814 pitches in 2026. 80th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 106th in MLB.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Burns puts 54% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 36% when he is ahead.
224 located pitches behind, 242 ahead.
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Burns's fastball averages 98.2 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 97.5 past his 75th.
141 early fastballs, 75 late ones.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Burns puts 41.4% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 38% of his pitches to left-handers.
348 pitches to right-handed hitters, 466 to left-handed hitters.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Burns lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.28 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
814 located pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Burns's slider spins at 2,707 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
298 thrown in 2026.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Burns lands 44.7% of his fastballs in the zone and only 30.8% of his offspeed pitches.
463 of his fastballs, 52 of his offspeed pitches.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Burns throws a fastball 61.2% of the time, against 51.2% when he is ahead.
224 pitches behind in the count, 242 ahead.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Burns releases the ball from a three-quarters slot, about 58 degrees above horizontal and 1.2 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
814 tracked release points, averaging 6.2 feet off the ground.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Burns throws the slider 47.1% of the time against right-handers and 28.8% against left-handers.
348 pitches to right-handers, 466 to left-handers.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
18.1% of Burns's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
147 of 814 located pitches.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
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His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Burns's 4-seam fastball averages 98.0 mph, and has touched 100.7.
458 thrown, 56.3% of his pitches.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Burns's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 89.7 mph, against 81.3 off his changeup.
458 and 52 of them thrown.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Burns works with 3 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Slider and Changeup. The 4-seam fastball is 56.3% of everything he throws.
814 classified pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Burns's slider spins at 2,707 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
298 thrown in 2026.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Burns throws the slider 47.1% of the time against right-handers and 28.8% against left-handers.
348 pitches to right-handers, 466 to left-handers.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .415 expected average against them, against .278 on his breaking balls.
52 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Burns lands 44.7% of his fastballs in the zone and only 30.8% of his offspeed pitches.
463 of his fastballs, 52 of his offspeed pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Burns's 4-seam fastball carries 18.1 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
458 thrown, averaging 98.0 mph.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Burns's changeup moves 15.2 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
52 thrown, averaging 89.9 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Burns throws 31.2% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 40.7% with the bases empty.
109 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 705 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Burns averages 94.8 mph across his arsenal, 97th percentile in the league.
814 pitches in 2026. 97th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 16th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Burns goes to the slider: 44.4% of his two-strike pitches, against 33.5% the rest of the time.
232 two-strike pitches in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Burns puts 54% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 36% when he is ahead.
224 located pitches behind, 242 ahead.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Burns throws a fastball 61.2% of the time, against 51.2% when he is ahead.
224 pitches behind in the count, 242 ahead.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Burns works off the plate, with only 39.4% of his pitches in the zone, 18th percentile.
814 pitches in 2026. 18th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 443rd in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Burns's stuff spins at 2,564 rpm, 94th percentile in the league.
814 pitches in 2026. 94th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 35th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He lives on one side of the plate
Burns works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 2.7 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
814 located pitches in 2026.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Burns lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.28 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
814 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
18.1% of Burns's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
147 of 814 located pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Burns projects a .294 average, 80th percentile.
814 pitches in 2026. 80th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 106th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Burns's fastball averages 98.2 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 97.5 past his 75th.
141 early fastballs, 75 late ones.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Burns releases the ball from a three-quarters slot, about 58 degrees above horizontal and 1.2 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
814 tracked release points, averaging 6.2 feet off the ground.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Burns puts 41.4% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 38% of his pitches to left-handers.
348 pitches to right-handed hitters, 466 to left-handed hitters.
Reds