Runners on base do not change how he is hit
24% of the contact against Painter with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 41.4% with the bases empty.
168 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 515 with the bases empty.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Painter's slider leaves the bat at 88.9 mph, against 81.3 off his splitter.
377 and 172 of them thrown.
The home runs are what is undoing his season
Painter has given up 21 tracked home runs, 13 of them to right field, the longest 440 feet.
21 tracked home runs allowed in 2026.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Painter projects a .350 average, 28th percentile.
683 pitches in 2026. 28th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 388th in MLB.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .359 expected average against them, against .306 on his offspeed pitches.
268 of his breaking balls thrown.
He cannot find the zone often enough
Painter works off the plate, with only 40% of his pitches in the zone, 22nd percentile.
683 pitches in 2026. 22nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 420th in MLB.
He handles both hands about the same
Right-handed hitters project to a .368 average against Painter and left-handers to .339.
290 pitches to right-handed hitters, 393 to left-handed hitters.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
43.7% of the contact against Painter is on the ground and 36.8% of it is in the air.
375 tracked batted balls allowed.
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Painter averages 90.7 mph across his arsenal, 66th percentile in the league.
683 pitches in 2026. 66th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 185th in MLB.
Hitters tend to hit him to one part of the field
42.2% of the balls put in play against Painter have gone to centre field.
162 of 384 located batted balls allowed.
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The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
24% of the contact against Painter with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 41.4% with the bases empty.
168 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 515 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Painter's slider leaves the bat at 88.9 mph, against 81.3 off his splitter.
377 and 172 of them thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The home runs are what is undoing his season
Painter has given up 21 tracked home runs, 13 of them to right field, the longest 440 feet.
21 tracked home runs allowed in 2026.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
43.7% of the contact against Painter is on the ground and 36.8% of it is in the air.
375 tracked batted balls allowed.
Hitters tend to hit him to one part of the field
42.2% of the balls put in play against Painter have gone to centre field.
162 of 384 located batted balls allowed.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Painter projects a .350 average, 28th percentile.
683 pitches in 2026. 28th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 388th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .359 expected average against them, against .306 on his offspeed pitches.
268 of his breaking balls thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Painter works off the plate, with only 40% of his pitches in the zone, 22nd percentile.
683 pitches in 2026. 22nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 420th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He handles both hands about the same
Right-handed hitters project to a .368 average against Painter and left-handers to .339.
290 pitches to right-handed hitters, 393 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Painter averages 90.7 mph across his arsenal, 66th percentile in the league.
683 pitches in 2026. 66th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 185th in MLB.
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