There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Painter's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 90.1 mph, against 71.5 off his sweeper.
254 and 72 of them thrown.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Painter puts 35.5% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 43.3% of his pitches to left-handers.
290 pitches to right-handed hitters, 393 to left-handed hitters.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Painter's 4-seam fastball carries 16.0 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
254 thrown, averaging 96.5 mph.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Painter's 4-seam fastball averages 96.5 mph, and has touched 98.9.
254 thrown, 37.2% of his pitches.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Painter's sweeper moves 15.6 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
72 thrown, averaging 82.9 mph.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Painter throws a fastball 56.4% of the time, against 40.3% when he is ahead.
202 pitches behind in the count, 196 ahead.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Painter throws the sinker 28.3% of the time against right-handers and 0.5% against left-handers.
290 pitches to right-handers, 393 to left-handers.
He cannot find the zone often enough
Painter works off the plate, with only 40% of his pitches in the zone, 22nd percentile.
683 pitches in 2026. 22nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 420th in MLB.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .359 expected average against them, against .306 on his offspeed pitches.
268 of his breaking balls thrown.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Painter goes to the curveball: 16.4% of his two-strike pitches, against 7.5% the rest of the time.
201 two-strike pitches in 2026.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
15.5 mph separates Painter's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 96.5 against 81.0.
254 and 69 of them respectively.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Painter releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 40 degrees above horizontal and 2.1 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
683 tracked release points, averaging 6.3 feet off the ground.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Painter lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.32 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
683 located pitches in 2026.
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Painter's fastball averages 96.6 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 95.8 past his 75th.
119 early fastballs, 44 late ones.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Painter puts 55% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 37.8% when he is ahead.
202 located pitches behind, 196 ahead.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Painter throws 37.5% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 40.8% with the bases empty.
168 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 515 with the bases empty.
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Painter averages 90.7 mph across his arsenal, 66th percentile in the league.
683 pitches in 2026. 66th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 185th in MLB.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Painter projects a .350 average, 28th percentile.
683 pitches in 2026. 28th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 388th in MLB.
He lives on one side of the plate
Painter works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 1.8 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
683 located pitches in 2026.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Painter works with 6 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Slider, Sinker and Splitter, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 37.2% of everything he throws.
683 classified pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Painter's curveball spins at 2,628 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
69 thrown in 2026.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
17.7% of Painter's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
121 of 683 located pitches.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Painter releases the ball 6.5 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
516 tracked pitches in 2026.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Painter's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 90.1 mph, against 71.5 off his sweeper.
254 and 72 of them thrown.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Painter's 4-seam fastball averages 96.5 mph, and has touched 98.9.
254 thrown, 37.2% of his pitches.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Painter throws the sinker 28.3% of the time against right-handers and 0.5% against left-handers.
290 pitches to right-handers, 393 to left-handers.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
15.5 mph separates Painter's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 96.5 against 81.0.
254 and 69 of them respectively.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Painter works with 6 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Slider, Sinker and Splitter, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 37.2% of everything he throws.
683 classified pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Painter's curveball spins at 2,628 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
69 thrown in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Painter puts 35.5% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 43.3% of his pitches to left-handers.
290 pitches to right-handed hitters, 393 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Painter's 4-seam fastball carries 16.0 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
254 thrown, averaging 96.5 mph.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Painter's sweeper moves 15.6 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
72 thrown, averaging 82.9 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Painter throws a fastball 56.4% of the time, against 40.3% when he is ahead.
202 pitches behind in the count, 196 ahead.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Painter goes to the curveball: 16.4% of his two-strike pitches, against 7.5% the rest of the time.
201 two-strike pitches in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Painter puts 55% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 37.8% when he is ahead.
202 located pitches behind, 196 ahead.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Painter works off the plate, with only 40% of his pitches in the zone, 22nd percentile.
683 pitches in 2026. 22nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 420th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .359 expected average against them, against .306 on his offspeed pitches.
268 of his breaking balls thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Painter releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 40 degrees above horizontal and 2.1 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
683 tracked release points, averaging 6.3 feet off the ground.
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Painter's fastball averages 96.6 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 95.8 past his 75th.
119 early fastballs, 44 late ones.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Painter releases the ball 6.5 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
516 tracked pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Painter lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.32 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
683 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on one side of the plate
Painter works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 1.8 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
683 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
17.7% of Painter's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
121 of 683 located pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Painter throws 37.5% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 40.8% with the bases empty.
168 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 515 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Painter averages 90.7 mph across his arsenal, 66th percentile in the league.
683 pitches in 2026. 66th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 185th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Painter projects a .350 average, 28th percentile.
683 pitches in 2026. 28th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 388th in MLB.
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