There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Painter's slider leaves the bat at 88.9 mph, against 81.3 off his splitter.
377 and 172 of them thrown.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Painter's sweeper moves 16.3 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
351 thrown, averaging 82.8 mph.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Painter puts 35.5% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 43.3% of his pitches to left-handers.
290 pitches to right-handed hitters, 393 to left-handed hitters.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Painter's 4-seam fastball averages 96.6 mph, and has touched 99.6.
700 thrown, 32.9% of his pitches.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Painter's 4-seam fastball carries 16.2 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
700 thrown, averaging 96.6 mph.
He cannot find the zone often enough
Painter works off the plate, with only 40% of his pitches in the zone, 22nd percentile.
683 pitches in 2026. 22nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 420th in MLB.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
15.3 mph separates Painter's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 96.6 against 81.2.
700 and 127 of them respectively.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Painter throws a fastball 43.6% of the time, against 32.1% when he is ahead.
566 pitches behind in the count, 629 ahead.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Painter releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 38 degrees above horizontal and 2.1 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
2126 tracked release points, averaging 6.3 feet off the ground.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Painter lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.25 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
2126 located pitches in 2026.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .359 expected average against them, against .306 on his offspeed pitches.
268 of his breaking balls thrown.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Painter puts 56% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 39.3% when he is ahead.
566 located pitches behind, 629 ahead.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Painter works with 7 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Slider, Sweeper and Changeup, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 32.9% of everything he throws.
2126 classified pitches in 2026.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Painter goes to the changeup: 15.5% of his two-strike pitches, against 8.9% the rest of the time.
639 two-strike pitches in 2026.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Painter throws 37.5% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 40.8% with the bases empty.
168 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 515 with the bases empty.
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Painter averages 90.7 mph across his arsenal, 66th percentile in the league.
683 pitches in 2026. 66th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 185th in MLB.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Painter projects a .350 average, 28th percentile.
683 pitches in 2026. 28th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 388th in MLB.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Painter's sweeper spins at 2,674 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
351 thrown in 2026.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Painter throws the sweeper 26.5% of the time against right-handers and 8.6% against left-handers.
935 pitches to right-handers, 1191 to left-handers.
He lives on one side of the plate
Painter works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 1.5 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
2126 located pitches in 2026.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Painter throws a strike on the first pitch 62.9% of the time.
552 plate appearances started in 2026.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
18.1% of Painter's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
385 of 2126 located pitches.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Painter releases the ball 6.6 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
1958 tracked pitches in 2026.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Painter's slider leaves the bat at 88.9 mph, against 81.3 off his splitter.
377 and 172 of them thrown.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Painter's 4-seam fastball averages 96.6 mph, and has touched 99.6.
700 thrown, 32.9% of his pitches.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
15.3 mph separates Painter's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 96.6 against 81.2.
700 and 127 of them respectively.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Painter works with 7 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Slider, Sweeper and Changeup, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 32.9% of everything he throws.
2126 classified pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Painter's sweeper spins at 2,674 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
351 thrown in 2026.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Painter throws the sweeper 26.5% of the time against right-handers and 8.6% against left-handers.
935 pitches to right-handers, 1191 to left-handers.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Painter's sweeper moves 16.3 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
351 thrown, averaging 82.8 mph.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Painter's 4-seam fastball carries 16.2 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
700 thrown, averaging 96.6 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Painter puts 35.5% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 43.3% of his pitches to left-handers.
290 pitches to right-handed hitters, 393 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Painter works off the plate, with only 40% of his pitches in the zone, 22nd percentile.
683 pitches in 2026. 22nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 420th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Painter throws a fastball 43.6% of the time, against 32.1% when he is ahead.
566 pitches behind in the count, 629 ahead.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Painter puts 56% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 39.3% when he is ahead.
566 located pitches behind, 629 ahead.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Painter goes to the changeup: 15.5% of his two-strike pitches, against 8.9% the rest of the time.
639 two-strike pitches in 2026.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Painter throws a strike on the first pitch 62.9% of the time.
552 plate appearances started in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Painter releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 38 degrees above horizontal and 2.1 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
2126 tracked release points, averaging 6.3 feet off the ground.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Painter releases the ball 6.6 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
1958 tracked pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Painter lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.25 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
2126 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on one side of the plate
Painter works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 1.5 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
2126 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
18.1% of Painter's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
385 of 2126 located pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .359 expected average against them, against .306 on his offspeed pitches.
268 of his breaking balls thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Painter throws 37.5% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 40.8% with the bases empty.
168 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 515 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Painter averages 90.7 mph across his arsenal, 66th percentile in the league.
683 pitches in 2026. 66th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 185th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Painter projects a .350 average, 28th percentile.
683 pitches in 2026. 28th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 388th in MLB.
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