When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Smith throws a fastball 48.1% of the time, against 14.9% when he is ahead.
185 pitches behind in the count, 181 ahead.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Smith's changeup moves 101.5 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
98 thrown, averaging 85.8 mph.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Smith averages 83.9 mph across his arsenal, 3rd percentile in the league.
673 pitches in 2024. 3rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2024, 742nd in MLB.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Smith goes to the slider: 59.6% of his two-strike pitches, against 39.6% the rest of the time.
171 two-strike pitches in 2024.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Smith throws the slider 72.1% of the time against left-handers and 27.3% against right-handers.
411 pitches to right-handers, 262 to left-handers.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .389 expected average against them, against .297 on his offspeed pitches.
195 of his fastballs thrown.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Smith lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.06 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
673 located pitches in 2024.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Smith's 4-seam fastball carries 16.9 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
195 thrown, averaging 91.2 mph.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Smith's curveball leaves the bat at 91.9 mph, against 84.0 off his slider.
79 and 301 of them thrown.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 30.9% of the contact Smith gives up is hit hard, 92nd percentile.
673 pitches in 2024. 92nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2024, 63rd in MLB.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Smith's 4-seam fastball averages 91.2 mph, and has touched 93.7.
195 thrown, 29% of his pitches.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Smith puts 45.7% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 50.4% of his pitches to left-handers.
411 pitches to right-handed hitters, 262 to left-handed hitters.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Smith puts 64.3% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 37% when he is ahead.
185 located pitches behind, 181 ahead.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Smith throws 43.6% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 48.7% with the bases empty.
149 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 524 with the bases empty.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Smith is weak: 86.0 mph off the bat on average, 87th percentile.
673 pitches in 2024. 87th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2024, 99th in MLB.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
14.9 mph separates Smith's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 91.2 against 76.3.
195 and 79 of them respectively.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Smith lands 57.4% of his fastballs in the zone and only 41.8% of his offspeed pitches.
195 of his fastballs, 98 of his offspeed pitches.
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Smith releases the ball 6.0 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
673 tracked pitches in 2024.
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Smith lives in the strike zone: 47.5% of his pitches are in it, 68th percentile.
673 pitches in 2024. 68th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2024, 244th in MLB.
He lives on one side of the plate
Smith works away from right-handers: his average pitch lands 2.4 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
673 located pitches in 2024.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Smith works with 4 pitches: Slider, 4-Seam Fastball, Changeup and Curveball. The slider is 44.7% of everything he throws.
673 classified pitches in 2024.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Smith projects a .343 average, 26th percentile.
673 pitches in 2024. 26th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2024, 570th in MLB.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Smith releases the ball from a three-quarters slot, about 55 degrees above horizontal and 1.3 feet to the first-base side of the rubber.
673 tracked release points, averaging 6.3 feet off the ground.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Smith throws a strike on the first pitch 61.4% of the time.
184 plate appearances started in 2024.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Smith's slider spins at 2,401 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
301 thrown in 2024.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Smith throws a fastball 48.1% of the time, against 14.9% when he is ahead.
185 pitches behind in the count, 181 ahead.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Smith goes to the slider: 59.6% of his two-strike pitches, against 39.6% the rest of the time.
171 two-strike pitches in 2024.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Smith puts 64.3% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 37% when he is ahead.
185 located pitches behind, 181 ahead.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Smith throws a strike on the first pitch 61.4% of the time.
184 plate appearances started in 2024.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Smith's changeup moves 101.5 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
98 thrown, averaging 85.8 mph.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Smith's 4-seam fastball carries 16.9 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
195 thrown, averaging 91.2 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Smith averages 83.9 mph across his arsenal, 3rd percentile in the league.
673 pitches in 2024. 3rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2024, 742nd in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Smith throws the slider 72.1% of the time against left-handers and 27.3% against right-handers.
411 pitches to right-handers, 262 to left-handers.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Smith's curveball leaves the bat at 91.9 mph, against 84.0 off his slider.
79 and 301 of them thrown.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Smith's 4-seam fastball averages 91.2 mph, and has touched 93.7.
195 thrown, 29% of his pitches.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
14.9 mph separates Smith's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 91.2 against 76.3.
195 and 79 of them respectively.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Smith works with 4 pitches: Slider, 4-Seam Fastball, Changeup and Curveball. The slider is 44.7% of everything he throws.
673 classified pitches in 2024.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Smith's slider spins at 2,401 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
301 thrown in 2024.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .389 expected average against them, against .297 on his offspeed pitches.
195 of his fastballs thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Smith lands 57.4% of his fastballs in the zone and only 41.8% of his offspeed pitches.
195 of his fastballs, 98 of his offspeed pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Smith lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.06 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
673 located pitches in 2024.
He lives on one side of the plate
Smith works away from right-handers: his average pitch lands 2.4 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
673 located pitches in 2024.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 30.9% of the contact Smith gives up is hit hard, 92nd percentile.
673 pitches in 2024. 92nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2024, 63rd in MLB.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Smith is weak: 86.0 mph off the bat on average, 87th percentile.
673 pitches in 2024. 87th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2024, 99th in MLB.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Smith projects a .343 average, 26th percentile.
673 pitches in 2024. 26th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2024, 570th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Smith puts 45.7% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 50.4% of his pitches to left-handers.
411 pitches to right-handed hitters, 262 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Smith throws 43.6% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 48.7% with the bases empty.
149 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 524 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Smith releases the ball 6.0 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
673 tracked pitches in 2024.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Smith releases the ball from a three-quarters slot, about 55 degrees above horizontal and 1.3 feet to the first-base side of the rubber.
673 tracked release points, averaging 6.3 feet off the ground.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Smith lives in the strike zone: 47.5% of his pitches are in it, 68th percentile.
673 pitches in 2024. 68th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2024, 244th in MLB.