His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Rogers's sinker averages 82.9 mph, and has touched 85.5.
221 thrown, 77.3% of his pitches.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Rogers releases the ball from a submarine slot, about -38 degrees above horizontal and 3.5 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
286 tracked release points, averaging 1.7 feet off the ground.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Rogers throws a fastball 98.2% of the time, against 62.1% when he is ahead.
55 pitches behind in the count, 103 ahead.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .424 expected average against them, against .250 on his fastballs.
65 of his breaking balls thrown.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Rogers averages 80.8 mph across his arsenal, 0th percentile in the league.
286 pitches in 2026. 0th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 535th in MLB.
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Rogers lives in the strike zone: 52.1% of his pitches are in it, 98th percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 98th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 13th in MLB.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Rogers goes to the slider: 35.6% of his two-strike pitches, against 17.1% the rest of the time.
87 two-strike pitches in 2026.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Rogers lands 58.4% of his fastballs in the zone and only 30.8% of his breaking balls.
221 of his fastballs, 65 of his breaking balls.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Rogers is weak: 82.4 mph off the bat on average, 97th percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 97th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 15th in MLB.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Rogers's slider carries 13.4 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
65 thrown, averaging 73.5 mph.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Rogers works with 2 pitches: Sinker and Slider. The sinker is 77.3% of everything he throws.
286 classified pitches in 2026.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 21.9% of the contact Rogers gives up is hit hard, 97th percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 97th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 18th in MLB.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Rogers's stuff spins at 2,058 rpm, 14th percentile in the league.
286 pitches in 2026. 14th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 464th in MLB.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Rogers lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.24 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
286 located pitches in 2026.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Rogers's slider leaves the bat at 86.6 mph, against 81.3 off his sinker.
65 and 221 of them thrown.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Rogers's slider moves 12.0 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
65 thrown, averaging 73.5 mph.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Rogers throws the sinker 86.5% of the time against left-handers and 65% against right-handers.
123 pitches to right-handers, 163 to left-handers.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Rogers puts 69.1% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 49.5% when he is ahead.
55 located pitches behind, 103 ahead.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Rogers projects a .285 average, 84th percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 84th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 86th in MLB.
He leaves too much of it over the heart of the plate
23.1% of Rogers's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, the part of the plate hitters do their damage on.
66 of 286 located pitches.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Rogers throws a strike on the first pitch 65.4% of the time.
81 plate appearances started in 2026.
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Rogers releases the ball 6.1 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
225 tracked pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Rogers's slider spins at 2,391 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
65 thrown in 2026.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
9.4 mph separates Rogers's sinker from his slider, 82.9 against 73.5.
221 and 65 of them respectively.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Rogers's sinker averages 82.9 mph, and has touched 85.5.
221 thrown, 77.3% of his pitches.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Rogers works with 2 pitches: Sinker and Slider. The sinker is 77.3% of everything he throws.
286 classified pitches in 2026.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Rogers's slider leaves the bat at 86.6 mph, against 81.3 off his sinker.
65 and 221 of them thrown.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Rogers throws the sinker 86.5% of the time against left-handers and 65% against right-handers.
123 pitches to right-handers, 163 to left-handers.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Rogers's slider spins at 2,391 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
65 thrown in 2026.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
9.4 mph separates Rogers's sinker from his slider, 82.9 against 73.5.
221 and 65 of them respectively.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Rogers releases the ball from a submarine slot, about -38 degrees above horizontal and 3.5 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
286 tracked release points, averaging 1.7 feet off the ground.
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Rogers releases the ball 6.1 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
225 tracked pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Rogers throws a fastball 98.2% of the time, against 62.1% when he is ahead.
55 pitches behind in the count, 103 ahead.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Rogers goes to the slider: 35.6% of his two-strike pitches, against 17.1% the rest of the time.
87 two-strike pitches in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Rogers puts 69.1% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 49.5% when he is ahead.
55 located pitches behind, 103 ahead.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Rogers throws a strike on the first pitch 65.4% of the time.
81 plate appearances started in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .424 expected average against them, against .250 on his fastballs.
65 of his breaking balls thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Rogers lands 58.4% of his fastballs in the zone and only 30.8% of his breaking balls.
221 of his fastballs, 65 of his breaking balls.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Rogers averages 80.8 mph across his arsenal, 0th percentile in the league.
286 pitches in 2026. 0th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 535th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Rogers lives in the strike zone: 52.1% of his pitches are in it, 98th percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 98th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 13th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Rogers is weak: 82.4 mph off the bat on average, 97th percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 97th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 15th in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 21.9% of the contact Rogers gives up is hit hard, 97th percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 97th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 18th in MLB.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Rogers projects a .285 average, 84th percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 84th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 86th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Rogers's slider carries 13.4 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
65 thrown, averaging 73.5 mph.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Rogers's slider moves 12.0 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
65 thrown, averaging 73.5 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Rogers's stuff spins at 2,058 rpm, 14th percentile in the league.
286 pitches in 2026. 14th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 464th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Rogers lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.24 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
286 located pitches in 2026.
He leaves too much of it over the heart of the plate
23.1% of Rogers's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, the part of the plate hitters do their damage on.
66 of 286 located pitches.
Blue Jays