His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Rogers's sinker averages 83.2 mph, and has touched 85.7.
773 thrown, 75.9% of his pitches.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Rogers releases the ball from a submarine slot, about -37 degrees above horizontal and 3.5 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
1018 tracked release points, averaging 1.7 feet off the ground.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .424 expected average against them, against .250 on his fastballs.
65 of his breaking balls thrown.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Rogers averages 80.8 mph across his arsenal, 0th percentile in the league.
286 pitches in 2026. 0th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 535th in MLB.
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Rogers lives in the strike zone: 52.1% of his pitches are in it, 98th percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 98th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 13th in MLB.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Rogers goes to the slider: 34.8% of his two-strike pitches, against 19.6% the rest of the time.
299 two-strike pitches in 2026.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Rogers throws a strike on the first pitch 70.3% of the time.
290 plate appearances started in 2026.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Rogers lands 58.4% of his fastballs in the zone and only 30.8% of his breaking balls.
221 of his fastballs, 65 of his breaking balls.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Rogers is weak: 82.4 mph off the bat on average, 97th percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 97th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 15th in MLB.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Rogers works with 2 pitches: Sinker and Slider. The sinker is 75.9% of everything he throws.
1018 classified pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Rogers's slider carries 13.1 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
245 thrown, averaging 73.5 mph.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 21.9% of the contact Rogers gives up is hit hard, 97th percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 97th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 18th in MLB.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Rogers's stuff spins at 2,058 rpm, 14th percentile in the league.
286 pitches in 2026. 14th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 464th in MLB.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Rogers lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.25 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
1018 located pitches in 2026.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Rogers throws the slider 36.4% of the time against right-handers and 13.8% against left-handers.
461 pitches to right-handers, 557 to left-handers.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Rogers's slider moves 11.9 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
245 thrown, averaging 73.5 mph.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Rogers throws a fastball 84% of the time, against 69.9% when he is ahead.
206 pitches behind in the count, 356 ahead.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Rogers projects a .285 average, 84th percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 84th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 86th in MLB.
He leaves too much of it over the heart of the plate
23.2% of Rogers's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, the part of the plate hitters do their damage on.
236 of 1018 located pitches.
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Rogers releases the ball 6.1 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
957 tracked pitches in 2026.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Rogers's sinker leaves the bat at 84.5 mph, against 81.6 off his slider.
773 and 245 of them thrown.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Rogers's slider spins at 2,440 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
245 thrown in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Rogers puts 60.2% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 50.8% when he is ahead.
206 located pitches behind, 356 ahead.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
9.7 mph separates Rogers's sinker from his slider, 83.2 against 73.5.
773 and 245 of them respectively.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
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His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Rogers's sinker averages 83.2 mph, and has touched 85.7.
773 thrown, 75.9% of his pitches.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Rogers works with 2 pitches: Sinker and Slider. The sinker is 75.9% of everything he throws.
1018 classified pitches in 2026.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Rogers throws the slider 36.4% of the time against right-handers and 13.8% against left-handers.
461 pitches to right-handers, 557 to left-handers.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Rogers's sinker leaves the bat at 84.5 mph, against 81.6 off his slider.
773 and 245 of them thrown.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Rogers's slider spins at 2,440 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
245 thrown in 2026.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
9.7 mph separates Rogers's sinker from his slider, 83.2 against 73.5.
773 and 245 of them respectively.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Rogers releases the ball from a submarine slot, about -37 degrees above horizontal and 3.5 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
1018 tracked release points, averaging 1.7 feet off the ground.
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Rogers releases the ball 6.1 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
957 tracked pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .424 expected average against them, against .250 on his fastballs.
65 of his breaking balls thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Rogers lands 58.4% of his fastballs in the zone and only 30.8% of his breaking balls.
221 of his fastballs, 65 of his breaking balls.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Rogers averages 80.8 mph across his arsenal, 0th percentile in the league.
286 pitches in 2026. 0th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 535th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Rogers lives in the strike zone: 52.1% of his pitches are in it, 98th percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 98th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 13th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Rogers goes to the slider: 34.8% of his two-strike pitches, against 19.6% the rest of the time.
299 two-strike pitches in 2026.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Rogers throws a strike on the first pitch 70.3% of the time.
290 plate appearances started in 2026.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Rogers throws a fastball 84% of the time, against 69.9% when he is ahead.
206 pitches behind in the count, 356 ahead.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Rogers puts 60.2% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 50.8% when he is ahead.
206 located pitches behind, 356 ahead.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Rogers is weak: 82.4 mph off the bat on average, 97th percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 97th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 15th in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 21.9% of the contact Rogers gives up is hit hard, 97th percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 97th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 18th in MLB.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Rogers projects a .285 average, 84th percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 84th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 86th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Rogers's slider carries 13.1 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
245 thrown, averaging 73.5 mph.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Rogers's slider moves 11.9 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
245 thrown, averaging 73.5 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Rogers's stuff spins at 2,058 rpm, 14th percentile in the league.
286 pitches in 2026. 14th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 464th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Rogers lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.25 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
1018 located pitches in 2026.
He leaves too much of it over the heart of the plate
23.2% of Rogers's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, the part of the plate hitters do their damage on.
236 of 1018 located pitches.