This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Kinley goes to the curveball: 31.9% of his two-strike pitches, against 8% the rest of the time.
91 two-strike pitches in 2026.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Kinley lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.08 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
304 located pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Kinley's 4-seam fastball carries 15.1 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
48 thrown, averaging 94.6 mph.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Kinley works with 3 pitches: Slider, 4-Seam Fastball and Curveball. The slider is 69.1% of everything he throws.
304 classified pitches in 2026.
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Kinley releases the ball 5.5 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
223 tracked pitches in 2026.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 26% of the contact Kinley gives up is hit hard, 94th percentile.
304 pitches in 2026. 94th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 32nd in MLB.
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Kinley's stuff spins at 2,577 rpm, 94th percentile in the league.
304 pitches in 2026. 94th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 31st in MLB.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Kinley releases the ball from over the top, about 70 degrees above horizontal and 0.7 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
304 tracked release points, averaging 6.3 feet off the ground.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Kinley averages 87.4 mph across his arsenal, 21st percentile in the league.
304 pitches in 2026. 21st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 426th in MLB.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Kinley's curveball spins at 2,781 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
46 thrown in 2026.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Kinley puts 40.7% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 45.6% of his pitches to left-handers.
135 pitches to right-handed hitters, 169 to left-handed hitters.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Kinley is weak: 83.8 mph off the bat on average, 93rd percentile.
304 pitches in 2026. 93rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 36th in MLB.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Kinley puts 60.9% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 41.6% when he is ahead.
87 located pitches behind, 89 ahead.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Kinley projects a .285 average, 84th percentile.
304 pitches in 2026. 84th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 85th in MLB.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
16.4% of Kinley's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
50 of 304 located pitches.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
11.8 mph separates Kinley's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 94.6 against 82.8.
48 and 46 of them respectively.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Kinley throws a strike on the first pitch 55.3% of the time.
76 plate appearances started in 2026.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Kinley's 4-seam fastball averages 94.6 mph, and has touched 96.3.
48 thrown, 15.8% of his pitches.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Kinley throws a fastball 19.5% of the time, against 10.1% when he is ahead.
87 pitches behind in the count, 89 ahead.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Kinley throws the curveball 21.3% of the time against left-handers and 7.4% against right-handers.
135 pitches to right-handers, 169 to left-handers.
He lives on one side of the plate
Kinley works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 1.7 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
304 located pitches in 2026.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Kinley goes to the curveball: 31.9% of his two-strike pitches, against 8% the rest of the time.
91 two-strike pitches in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Kinley puts 60.9% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 41.6% when he is ahead.
87 located pitches behind, 89 ahead.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Kinley throws a strike on the first pitch 55.3% of the time.
76 plate appearances started in 2026.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Kinley throws a fastball 19.5% of the time, against 10.1% when he is ahead.
87 pitches behind in the count, 89 ahead.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Kinley lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.08 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
304 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
16.4% of Kinley's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
50 of 304 located pitches.
He lives on one side of the plate
Kinley works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 1.7 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
304 located pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Kinley's 4-seam fastball carries 15.1 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
48 thrown, averaging 94.6 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Kinley works with 3 pitches: Slider, 4-Seam Fastball and Curveball. The slider is 69.1% of everything he throws.
304 classified pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Kinley's curveball spins at 2,781 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
46 thrown in 2026.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
11.8 mph separates Kinley's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 94.6 against 82.8.
48 and 46 of them respectively.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Kinley's 4-seam fastball averages 94.6 mph, and has touched 96.3.
48 thrown, 15.8% of his pitches.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Kinley throws the curveball 21.3% of the time against left-handers and 7.4% against right-handers.
135 pitches to right-handers, 169 to left-handers.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Kinley releases the ball 5.5 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
223 tracked pitches in 2026.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Kinley releases the ball from over the top, about 70 degrees above horizontal and 0.7 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
304 tracked release points, averaging 6.3 feet off the ground.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 26% of the contact Kinley gives up is hit hard, 94th percentile.
304 pitches in 2026. 94th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 32nd in MLB.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Kinley is weak: 83.8 mph off the bat on average, 93rd percentile.
304 pitches in 2026. 93rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 36th in MLB.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Kinley projects a .285 average, 84th percentile.
304 pitches in 2026. 84th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 85th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Kinley's stuff spins at 2,577 rpm, 94th percentile in the league.
304 pitches in 2026. 94th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 31st in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Kinley averages 87.4 mph across his arsenal, 21st percentile in the league.
304 pitches in 2026. 21st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 426th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Kinley puts 40.7% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 45.6% of his pitches to left-handers.
135 pitches to right-handed hitters, 169 to left-handed hitters.
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