There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Kinley's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 94.4 mph, against 82.3 off his slider.
137 and 604 of them thrown.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Kinley lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.05 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
887 located pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Kinley's 4-seam fastball carries 15.2 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
137 thrown, averaging 94.3 mph.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Kinley goes to the curveball: 24.8% of his two-strike pitches, against 11.4% the rest of the time.
266 two-strike pitches in 2026.
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Kinley releases the ball 5.5 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
806 tracked pitches in 2026.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 26% of the contact Kinley gives up is hit hard, 94th percentile.
304 pitches in 2026. 94th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 32nd in MLB.
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Kinley's stuff spins at 2,577 rpm, 94th percentile in the league.
304 pitches in 2026. 94th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 31st in MLB.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Kinley works with 3 pitches: Slider, Curveball and 4-Seam Fastball. The slider is 68.1% of everything he throws.
887 classified pitches in 2026.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Kinley releases the ball from over the top, about 69 degrees above horizontal and 0.7 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
887 tracked release points, averaging 6.3 feet off the ground.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Kinley averages 87.4 mph across his arsenal, 21st percentile in the league.
304 pitches in 2026. 21st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 426th in MLB.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Kinley puts 40.7% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 45.6% of his pitches to left-handers.
135 pitches to right-handed hitters, 169 to left-handed hitters.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Kinley is weak: 83.8 mph off the bat on average, 93rd percentile.
304 pitches in 2026. 93rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 36th in MLB.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Kinley puts 59.8% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 39.1% when he is ahead.
239 located pitches behind, 261 ahead.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Kinley's curveball spins at 2,733 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
137 thrown in 2026.
He lives on one side of the plate
Kinley works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 2.5 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
887 located pitches in 2026.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Kinley projects a .285 average, 84th percentile.
304 pitches in 2026. 84th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 85th in MLB.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Kinley throws the curveball 23.3% of the time against left-handers and 8.4% against right-handers.
466 pitches to right-handers, 421 to left-handers.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Kinley throws a fastball 18.4% of the time, against 10.7% when he is ahead.
239 pitches behind in the count, 261 ahead.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
17.2% of Kinley's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
153 of 887 located pitches.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Kinley throws a strike on the first pitch 56.7% of the time.
224 plate appearances started in 2026.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
11.3 mph separates Kinley's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 94.3 against 83.1.
137 and 137 of them respectively.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Kinley's 4-seam fastball averages 94.3 mph, and has touched 96.7.
137 thrown, 15.4% of his pitches.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Kinley's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 94.4 mph, against 82.3 off his slider.
137 and 604 of them thrown.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Kinley works with 3 pitches: Slider, Curveball and 4-Seam Fastball. The slider is 68.1% of everything he throws.
887 classified pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Kinley's curveball spins at 2,733 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
137 thrown in 2026.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Kinley throws the curveball 23.3% of the time against left-handers and 8.4% against right-handers.
466 pitches to right-handers, 421 to left-handers.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
11.3 mph separates Kinley's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 94.3 against 83.1.
137 and 137 of them respectively.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Kinley's 4-seam fastball averages 94.3 mph, and has touched 96.7.
137 thrown, 15.4% of his pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Kinley lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.05 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
887 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on one side of the plate
Kinley works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 2.5 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
887 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
17.2% of Kinley's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
153 of 887 located pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Kinley's 4-seam fastball carries 15.2 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
137 thrown, averaging 94.3 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Kinley goes to the curveball: 24.8% of his two-strike pitches, against 11.4% the rest of the time.
266 two-strike pitches in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Kinley puts 59.8% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 39.1% when he is ahead.
239 located pitches behind, 261 ahead.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Kinley throws a fastball 18.4% of the time, against 10.7% when he is ahead.
239 pitches behind in the count, 261 ahead.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Kinley throws a strike on the first pitch 56.7% of the time.
224 plate appearances started in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Kinley releases the ball 5.5 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
806 tracked pitches in 2026.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Kinley releases the ball from over the top, about 69 degrees above horizontal and 0.7 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
887 tracked release points, averaging 6.3 feet off the ground.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 26% of the contact Kinley gives up is hit hard, 94th percentile.
304 pitches in 2026. 94th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 32nd in MLB.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Kinley is weak: 83.8 mph off the bat on average, 93rd percentile.
304 pitches in 2026. 93rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 36th in MLB.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Kinley projects a .285 average, 84th percentile.
304 pitches in 2026. 84th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 85th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Kinley's stuff spins at 2,577 rpm, 94th percentile in the league.
304 pitches in 2026. 94th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 31st in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Kinley averages 87.4 mph across his arsenal, 21st percentile in the league.
304 pitches in 2026. 21st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 426th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Kinley puts 40.7% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 45.6% of his pitches to left-handers.
135 pitches to right-handed hitters, 169 to left-handed hitters.
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