This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Nance goes to the curveball: 68.2% of his two-strike pitches, against 24.2% the rest of the time.
85 two-strike pitches in 2026.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Nance throws the curveball 50.9% of the time against left-handers and 20.8% against right-handers.
149 pitches to right-handers, 159 to left-handers.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Nance's sinker moves 15.7 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
92 thrown, averaging 94.7 mph.
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Nance lives in the strike zone: 47.9% of his pitches are in it, 90th percentile.
308 pitches in 2026. 90th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 55th in MLB.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Nance throws a fastball 36.8% of the time, against 13.9% when he is ahead.
68 pitches behind in the count, 108 ahead.
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Nance's stuff spins at 2,626 rpm, 97th percentile in the league.
308 pitches in 2026. 97th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 16th in MLB.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Nance's curveball carries 15.0 inches of drop against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
112 thrown, averaging 84.6 mph.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Nance's curveball spins at 2,879 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
112 thrown in 2026.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Nance lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.19 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
307 located pitches in 2026.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Nance throws a strike on the first pitch 68.6% of the time.
86 plate appearances started in 2026.
He lives on one side of the plate
Nance works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 3.0 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
307 located pitches in 2026.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Nance releases the ball from a three-quarters slot, about 59 degrees above horizontal and 1.0 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
307 tracked release points, averaging 6.3 feet off the ground.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Nance's sinker leaves the bat at 88.7 mph, against 84.7 off his curveball.
92 and 112 of them thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Nance lands 57.1% of his fastballs in the zone and only 44% of his breaking balls.
92 of his fastballs, 216 of his breaking balls.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Nance projects a .355 average, 24th percentile.
308 pitches in 2026. 24th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 406th in MLB.
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Nance releases the ball 6.0 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
241 tracked pitches in 2026.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Nance works with 3 pitches: Curveball, Slider and Sinker. The curveball is 36.4% of everything he throws.
308 classified pitches in 2026.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .378 expected average against them, against .340 on his breaking balls.
92 of his fastballs thrown.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Nance is weak: 86.8 mph off the bat on average, 73rd percentile.
308 pitches in 2026. 73rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 146th in MLB.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Nance puts 46.6% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 49.1% of his pitches to left-handers.
149 pitches to right-handed hitters, 159 to left-handed hitters.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Nance averages 88.9 mph across his arsenal, 37th percentile in the league.
308 pitches in 2026. 37th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 341st in MLB.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Nance's sinker averages 94.7 mph, and has touched 96.5.
92 thrown, 29.9% of his pitches.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 34.6% of the contact Nance gives up is hit hard, 71st percentile.
308 pitches in 2026. 71st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 154th in MLB.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
10.1 mph separates Nance's sinker from his curveball, 94.7 against 84.6.
92 and 112 of them respectively.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Nance goes to the curveball: 68.2% of his two-strike pitches, against 24.2% the rest of the time.
85 two-strike pitches in 2026.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Nance throws a fastball 36.8% of the time, against 13.9% when he is ahead.
68 pitches behind in the count, 108 ahead.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Nance throws a strike on the first pitch 68.6% of the time.
86 plate appearances started in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Nance throws the curveball 50.9% of the time against left-handers and 20.8% against right-handers.
149 pitches to right-handers, 159 to left-handers.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Nance's curveball spins at 2,879 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
112 thrown in 2026.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Nance's sinker leaves the bat at 88.7 mph, against 84.7 off his curveball.
92 and 112 of them thrown.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Nance works with 3 pitches: Curveball, Slider and Sinker. The curveball is 36.4% of everything he throws.
308 classified pitches in 2026.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Nance's sinker averages 94.7 mph, and has touched 96.5.
92 thrown, 29.9% of his pitches.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
10.1 mph separates Nance's sinker from his curveball, 94.7 against 84.6.
92 and 112 of them respectively.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Nance's sinker moves 15.7 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
92 thrown, averaging 94.7 mph.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Nance's curveball carries 15.0 inches of drop against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
112 thrown, averaging 84.6 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Nance lives in the strike zone: 47.9% of his pitches are in it, 90th percentile.
308 pitches in 2026. 90th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 55th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Nance's stuff spins at 2,626 rpm, 97th percentile in the league.
308 pitches in 2026. 97th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 16th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Nance lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.19 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
307 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on one side of the plate
Nance works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 3.0 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
307 located pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Nance releases the ball from a three-quarters slot, about 59 degrees above horizontal and 1.0 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
307 tracked release points, averaging 6.3 feet off the ground.
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Nance releases the ball 6.0 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
241 tracked pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Nance lands 57.1% of his fastballs in the zone and only 44% of his breaking balls.
92 of his fastballs, 216 of his breaking balls.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .378 expected average against them, against .340 on his breaking balls.
92 of his fastballs thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Nance projects a .355 average, 24th percentile.
308 pitches in 2026. 24th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 406th in MLB.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Nance is weak: 86.8 mph off the bat on average, 73rd percentile.
308 pitches in 2026. 73rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 146th in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 34.6% of the contact Nance gives up is hit hard, 71st percentile.
308 pitches in 2026. 71st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 154th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Nance puts 46.6% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 49.1% of his pitches to left-handers.
149 pitches to right-handed hitters, 159 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Nance averages 88.9 mph across his arsenal, 37th percentile in the league.
308 pitches in 2026. 37th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 341st in MLB.
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