This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Herrin goes to the curveball: 43.1% of his two-strike pitches, against 23% the rest of the time.
72 two-strike pitches in 2026.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .286 expected average against them, against .188 on his breaking balls.
106 of his fastballs thrown.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Herrin lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 1.97 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
250 located pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Herrin's sinker moves 15.6 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
56 thrown, averaging 93.5 mph.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Herrin's slider leaves the bat at 88.2 mph, against 82.4 off his 4-seam fastball.
72 and 50 of them thrown.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Herrin throws a fastball 53.7% of the time, against 33.8% when he is ahead.
67 pitches behind in the count, 74 ahead.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Herrin projects a .238 average, 96th percentile.
251 pitches in 2026. 96th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 23rd in MLB.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Herrin releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 32 degrees above horizontal and 1.9 feet to the first-base side of the rubber.
250 tracked release points, averaging 5.7 feet off the ground.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Herrin throws the sinker 35.9% of the time against left-handers and 12.9% against right-handers.
147 pitches to right-handers, 103 to left-handers.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Herrin lands 58.5% of his fastballs in the zone and only 36.1% of his breaking balls.
106 of his fastballs, 144 of his breaking balls.
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Herrin lives in the strike zone: 45.6% of his pitches are in it, 78th percentile.
251 pitches in 2026. 78th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 119th in MLB.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Herrin puts 43.5% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 48.5% of his pitches to left-handers.
148 pitches to right-handed hitters, 103 to left-handed hitters.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Herrin averages 87.8 mph across his arsenal, 24th percentile in the league.
251 pitches in 2026. 24th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 411th in MLB.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
14.0 mph separates Herrin's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 94.3 against 80.3.
50 and 72 of them respectively.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Herrin is weak: 85.2 mph off the bat on average, 88th percentile.
251 pitches in 2026. 88th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 66th in MLB.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Herrin's 4-seam fastball carries 12.0 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
50 thrown, averaging 94.3 mph.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Herrin works with 4 pitches: Slider, Curveball, Sinker and 4-Seam Fastball. The slider is 28.8% of everything he throws.
250 classified pitches in 2026.
He lives on one side of the plate
Herrin works away from right-handers: his average pitch lands 2.1 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
250 located pitches in 2026.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 32.7% of the contact Herrin gives up is hit hard, 80th percentile.
251 pitches in 2026. 80th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 107th in MLB.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Herrin throws 47.3% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 44.7% with the bases empty.
92 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 159 with the bases empty.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Herrin's 4-seam fastball spins at 2,359 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
50 thrown in 2026.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Herrin goes to the curveball: 43.1% of his two-strike pitches, against 23% the rest of the time.
72 two-strike pitches in 2026.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Herrin throws a fastball 53.7% of the time, against 33.8% when he is ahead.
67 pitches behind in the count, 74 ahead.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .286 expected average against them, against .188 on his breaking balls.
106 of his fastballs thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Herrin lands 58.5% of his fastballs in the zone and only 36.1% of his breaking balls.
106 of his fastballs, 144 of his breaking balls.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Herrin lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 1.97 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
250 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on one side of the plate
Herrin works away from right-handers: his average pitch lands 2.1 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
250 located pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Herrin's sinker moves 15.6 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
56 thrown, averaging 93.5 mph.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Herrin's 4-seam fastball carries 12.0 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
50 thrown, averaging 94.3 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Herrin's slider leaves the bat at 88.2 mph, against 82.4 off his 4-seam fastball.
72 and 50 of them thrown.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Herrin throws the sinker 35.9% of the time against left-handers and 12.9% against right-handers.
147 pitches to right-handers, 103 to left-handers.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
14.0 mph separates Herrin's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 94.3 against 80.3.
50 and 72 of them respectively.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Herrin works with 4 pitches: Slider, Curveball, Sinker and 4-Seam Fastball. The slider is 28.8% of everything he throws.
250 classified pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Herrin's 4-seam fastball spins at 2,359 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
50 thrown in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Herrin projects a .238 average, 96th percentile.
251 pitches in 2026. 96th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 23rd in MLB.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Herrin is weak: 85.2 mph off the bat on average, 88th percentile.
251 pitches in 2026. 88th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 66th in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 32.7% of the contact Herrin gives up is hit hard, 80th percentile.
251 pitches in 2026. 80th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 107th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Herrin releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 32 degrees above horizontal and 1.9 feet to the first-base side of the rubber.
250 tracked release points, averaging 5.7 feet off the ground.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Herrin lives in the strike zone: 45.6% of his pitches are in it, 78th percentile.
251 pitches in 2026. 78th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 119th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Herrin puts 43.5% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 48.5% of his pitches to left-handers.
148 pitches to right-handed hitters, 103 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Herrin averages 87.8 mph across his arsenal, 24th percentile in the league.
251 pitches in 2026. 24th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 411th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Herrin throws 47.3% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 44.7% with the bases empty.
92 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 159 with the bases empty.
Guardians