One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Rogers's sinker moves 16.9 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
105 thrown, averaging 91.2 mph.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Rogers averages 84.6 mph across his arsenal, 4th percentile in the league.
301 pitches in 2026. 4th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 514th in MLB.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Rogers's sinker leaves the bat at 91.1 mph, against 77.8 off his cutter.
105 and 59 of them thrown.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Rogers puts 46% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 38.4% of his pitches to left-handers.
155 pitches to right-handed hitters, 146 to left-handed hitters.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Rogers goes to the sinker: 46.2% of his two-strike pitches, against 30.9% the rest of the time.
78 two-strike pitches in 2026.
He lives on one side of the plate
Rogers works away from right-handers: his average pitch lands 5.5 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
296 located pitches in 2026.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .397 expected average against them, against .314 on his breaking balls.
164 of his fastballs thrown.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Rogers's sinker averages 91.2 mph, and has touched 93.8.
105 thrown, 34.9% of his pitches.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Rogers releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 34 degrees above horizontal and 1.7 feet to the first-base side of the rubber.
296 tracked release points, averaging 5.6 feet off the ground.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Rogers is weak: 84.5 mph off the bat on average, 90th percentile.
301 pitches in 2026. 90th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 53rd in MLB.
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Rogers releases the ball 5.8 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
240 tracked pitches in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Rogers puts 63.9% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 43.2% when he is ahead.
83 located pitches behind, 81 ahead.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 29.3% of the contact Rogers gives up is hit hard, 89th percentile.
301 pitches in 2026. 89th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 60th in MLB.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Rogers's sweeper spins at 2,725 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
137 thrown in 2026.
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Rogers's stuff spins at 2,420 rpm, 79th percentile in the league.
301 pitches in 2026. 79th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 111th in MLB.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
13.0 mph separates Rogers's sinker from his sweeper, 91.2 against 78.1.
105 and 137 of them respectively.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Rogers projects a .361 average, 20th percentile.
301 pitches in 2026. 20th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 432nd in MLB.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Rogers works with 3 pitches: Sweeper, Sinker and Cutter. The sweeper is 45.5% of everything he throws.
301 classified pitches in 2026.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Rogers throws a fastball 60.2% of the time, against 53.1% when he is ahead.
88 pitches behind in the count, 81 ahead.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
18.2% of Rogers's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
54 of 296 located pitches.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Rogers throws the cutter 27.1% of the time against right-handers and 11.6% against left-handers.
155 pitches to right-handers, 146 to left-handers.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Rogers's sinker moves 16.9 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
105 thrown, averaging 91.2 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Rogers averages 84.6 mph across his arsenal, 4th percentile in the league.
301 pitches in 2026. 4th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 514th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Rogers's sinker leaves the bat at 91.1 mph, against 77.8 off his cutter.
105 and 59 of them thrown.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Rogers's sinker averages 91.2 mph, and has touched 93.8.
105 thrown, 34.9% of his pitches.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Rogers's sweeper spins at 2,725 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
137 thrown in 2026.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
13.0 mph separates Rogers's sinker from his sweeper, 91.2 against 78.1.
105 and 137 of them respectively.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Rogers works with 3 pitches: Sweeper, Sinker and Cutter. The sweeper is 45.5% of everything he throws.
301 classified pitches in 2026.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Rogers throws the cutter 27.1% of the time against right-handers and 11.6% against left-handers.
155 pitches to right-handers, 146 to left-handers.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Rogers puts 46% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 38.4% of his pitches to left-handers.
155 pitches to right-handed hitters, 146 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Rogers goes to the sinker: 46.2% of his two-strike pitches, against 30.9% the rest of the time.
78 two-strike pitches in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Rogers puts 63.9% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 43.2% when he is ahead.
83 located pitches behind, 81 ahead.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Rogers throws a fastball 60.2% of the time, against 53.1% when he is ahead.
88 pitches behind in the count, 81 ahead.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He lives on one side of the plate
Rogers works away from right-handers: his average pitch lands 5.5 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
296 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
18.2% of Rogers's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
54 of 296 located pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .397 expected average against them, against .314 on his breaking balls.
164 of his fastballs thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Rogers releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 34 degrees above horizontal and 1.7 feet to the first-base side of the rubber.
296 tracked release points, averaging 5.6 feet off the ground.
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Rogers releases the ball 5.8 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
240 tracked pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Rogers is weak: 84.5 mph off the bat on average, 90th percentile.
301 pitches in 2026. 90th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 53rd in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 29.3% of the contact Rogers gives up is hit hard, 89th percentile.
301 pitches in 2026. 89th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 60th in MLB.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Rogers projects a .361 average, 20th percentile.
301 pitches in 2026. 20th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 432nd in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Rogers's stuff spins at 2,420 rpm, 79th percentile in the league.
301 pitches in 2026. 79th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 111th in MLB.
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