Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Smith is weak: 82.2 mph off the bat on average, 98th percentile.
225 pitches in 2026. 98th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 13th in MLB.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .456 expected average against them, against .304 on his breaking balls.
106 of his fastballs thrown.
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
18.2% of the contact against Smith with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 43.8% with the bases empty.
74 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 151 with the bases empty.
Hitters tend to hit him to one part of the field
51.9% of the balls put in play against Smith have gone to centre field.
14 of 27 located batted balls allowed.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Smith's changeup leaves the bat at 78.9 mph, against 74.6 off his curveball.
41 and 53 of them thrown.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Smith's stuff spins at 2,060 rpm, 14th percentile in the league.
225 pitches in 2026. 14th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 463rd in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 33.3% of the contact Smith gives up is hit hard, 76th percentile.
225 pitches in 2026. 76th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 129th in MLB.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
48.1% of the contact against Smith is on the ground and 37% of it is in the air.
27 tracked batted balls allowed.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Smith projects a .346 average, 31st percentile.
225 pitches in 2026. 31st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 373rd in MLB.
He cannot find the zone often enough
Smith works off the plate, with only 40.9% of his pitches in the zone, 29th percentile.
225 pitches in 2026. 29th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 381st in MLB.
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Smith averages 91.0 mph across his arsenal, 68th percentile in the league.
225 pitches in 2026. 68th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 175th in MLB.
One side of the plate does most of the damage against him
Right-handed hitters average 81.2 mph off the bat against Smith and left-handers 83.2.
14 tracked batted balls from right-handers, 13 from left-handers.
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The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
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Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Smith is weak: 82.2 mph off the bat on average, 98th percentile.
225 pitches in 2026. 98th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 13th in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 33.3% of the contact Smith gives up is hit hard, 76th percentile.
225 pitches in 2026. 76th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 129th in MLB.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Smith projects a .346 average, 31st percentile.
225 pitches in 2026. 31st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 373rd in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
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One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .456 expected average against them, against .304 on his breaking balls.
106 of his fastballs thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
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Runners on base do not change how he is hit
18.2% of the contact against Smith with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 43.8% with the bases empty.
74 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 151 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
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Hitters tend to hit him to one part of the field
51.9% of the balls put in play against Smith have gone to centre field.
14 of 27 located batted balls allowed.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
48.1% of the contact against Smith is on the ground and 37% of it is in the air.
27 tracked batted balls allowed.
One side of the plate does most of the damage against him
Right-handed hitters average 81.2 mph off the bat against Smith and left-handers 83.2.
14 tracked batted balls from right-handers, 13 from left-handers.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
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There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Smith's changeup leaves the bat at 78.9 mph, against 74.6 off his curveball.
41 and 53 of them thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Smith's stuff spins at 2,060 rpm, 14th percentile in the league.
225 pitches in 2026. 14th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 463rd in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Smith works off the plate, with only 40.9% of his pitches in the zone, 29th percentile.
225 pitches in 2026. 29th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 381st in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Smith averages 91.0 mph across his arsenal, 68th percentile in the league.
225 pitches in 2026. 68th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 175th in MLB.