One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .440 expected average against them, against .249 on his breaking balls.
202 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
He handles both hands about the same
Right-handed hitters project to a .346 average against Messick and left-handers to .266.
622 pitches to right-handed hitters, 198 to left-handed hitters.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Messick's sinker leaves the bat at 91.9 mph, against 75.0 off his curveball.
114 and 94 of them thrown.
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
20% of the contact against Messick with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 32.5% with the bases empty.
101 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 719 with the bases empty.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Messick is weak: 85.4 mph off the bat on average, 86th percentile.
820 pitches in 2026. 86th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 75th in MLB.
Both sides hit him about the same
33.7% of the contact right-handers make against Messick is hit hard, against 23.5% of what left-handers make.
622 pitches to right-handed hitters, 198 to left-handed hitters.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 31.1% of the contact Messick gives up is hit hard, 84th percentile.
820 pitches in 2026. 84th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 85th in MLB.
The home runs are what is undoing his season
Messick has given up 5 tracked home runs, 3 of them to left field, the longest 429 feet.
5 tracked home runs allowed in 2026.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Messick's stuff spins at 2,082 rpm, 16th percentile in the league.
820 pitches in 2026. 16th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 449th in MLB.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
46.6% of the contact against Messick is on the ground and 34.4% of it is in the air.
131 tracked batted balls allowed.
He cannot find the zone often enough
Messick works off the plate, with only 40.1% of his pitches in the zone, 23rd percentile.
820 pitches in 2026. 23rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 416th in MLB.
One side of the plate does most of the damage against him
Right-handed hitters average 86.0 mph off the bat against Messick and left-handers 83.5.
98 tracked batted balls from right-handers, 34 from left-handers.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Messick averages 88.8 mph across his arsenal, 35th percentile in the league.
820 pitches in 2026. 35th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 349th in MLB.
Hitters tend to hit him to one part of the field
43.2% of the balls put in play against Messick have gone to centre field.
57 of 132 located batted balls allowed.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .440 expected average against them, against .249 on his breaking balls.
202 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He handles both hands about the same
Right-handed hitters project to a .346 average against Messick and left-handers to .266.
622 pitches to right-handed hitters, 198 to left-handed hitters.
Both sides hit him about the same
33.7% of the contact right-handers make against Messick is hit hard, against 23.5% of what left-handers make.
622 pitches to right-handed hitters, 198 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Messick's sinker leaves the bat at 91.9 mph, against 75.0 off his curveball.
114 and 94 of them thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
20% of the contact against Messick with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 32.5% with the bases empty.
101 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 719 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Messick is weak: 85.4 mph off the bat on average, 86th percentile.
820 pitches in 2026. 86th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 75th in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 31.1% of the contact Messick gives up is hit hard, 84th percentile.
820 pitches in 2026. 84th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 85th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The home runs are what is undoing his season
Messick has given up 5 tracked home runs, 3 of them to left field, the longest 429 feet.
5 tracked home runs allowed in 2026.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
46.6% of the contact against Messick is on the ground and 34.4% of it is in the air.
131 tracked batted balls allowed.
One side of the plate does most of the damage against him
Right-handed hitters average 86.0 mph off the bat against Messick and left-handers 83.5.
98 tracked batted balls from right-handers, 34 from left-handers.
Hitters tend to hit him to one part of the field
43.2% of the balls put in play against Messick have gone to centre field.
57 of 132 located batted balls allowed.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Messick's stuff spins at 2,082 rpm, 16th percentile in the league.
820 pitches in 2026. 16th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 449th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Messick works off the plate, with only 40.1% of his pitches in the zone, 23rd percentile.
820 pitches in 2026. 23rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 416th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Messick averages 88.8 mph across his arsenal, 35th percentile in the league.
820 pitches in 2026. 35th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 349th in MLB.
Guardians