When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Lopez throws a fastball 64.5% of the time, against 37.6% when he is ahead.
301 pitches behind in the count, 402 ahead.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Lopez's changeup moves 108.5 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
267 thrown, averaging 87.4 mph.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Lopez's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 90.2 mph, against 81.5 off his sinker.
519 and 82 of them thrown.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Lopez releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 29 degrees above horizontal and 1.8 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
1259 tracked release points, averaging 5.4 feet off the ground.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Lopez lands 58.9% of his fastballs in the zone and only 34.5% of his offspeed pitches.
601 of his fastballs, 267 of his offspeed pitches.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Lopez's 4-seam fastball carries 14.6 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
519 thrown, averaging 94.5 mph.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Lopez puts 64.8% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 35.1% when he is ahead.
301 located pitches behind, 402 ahead.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Lopez lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.20 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
1259 located pitches in 2025.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .375 expected average against them, against .308 on his offspeed pitches.
601 of his fastballs thrown.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Lopez throws the sweeper 31.6% of the time against right-handers and 13% against left-handers.
553 pitches to right-handers, 706 to left-handers.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Lopez releases the ball 7.0 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
1259 tracked pitches in 2025.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 35.3% of the contact Lopez gives up is hit hard, 82nd percentile.
1259 pitches in 2025. 82nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 141st in MLB.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Lopez goes to the changeup: 27.5% of his two-strike pitches, against 18.2% the rest of the time.
411 two-strike pitches in 2025.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Lopez throws 43.9% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 48% with the bases empty.
246 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 1013 with the bases empty.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Lopez works with 5 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Changeup, Sweeper and Curveball, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 41.2% of everything he throws.
1259 classified pitches in 2025.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Lopez's stuff spins at 2,174 rpm, 28th percentile in the league.
1259 pitches in 2025. 28th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 565th in MLB.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Lopez's curveball spins at 2,602 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
124 thrown in 2025.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
11.8 mph separates Lopez's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 94.5 against 82.7.
519 and 124 of them respectively.
He lives on one side of the plate
Lopez works away from right-handers: his average pitch lands 1.5 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
1259 located pitches in 2025.
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Lopez's fastball averages 94.7 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 94.2 past his 75th.
186 early fastballs, 111 late ones.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Lopez is weak: 88.1 mph off the bat on average, 66th percentile.
1259 pitches in 2025. 66th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 269th in MLB.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Lopez's 4-seam fastball averages 94.5 mph, and has touched 97.3.
519 thrown, 41.2% of his pitches.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Lopez projects a .344 average, 37th percentile.
1259 pitches in 2025. 37th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 495th in MLB.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Lopez throws a fastball 64.5% of the time, against 37.6% when he is ahead.
301 pitches behind in the count, 402 ahead.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Lopez puts 64.8% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 35.1% when he is ahead.
301 located pitches behind, 402 ahead.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Lopez goes to the changeup: 27.5% of his two-strike pitches, against 18.2% the rest of the time.
411 two-strike pitches in 2025.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Lopez's changeup moves 108.5 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
267 thrown, averaging 87.4 mph.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Lopez's 4-seam fastball carries 14.6 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
519 thrown, averaging 94.5 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Lopez's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 90.2 mph, against 81.5 off his sinker.
519 and 82 of them thrown.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Lopez throws the sweeper 31.6% of the time against right-handers and 13% against left-handers.
553 pitches to right-handers, 706 to left-handers.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Lopez works with 5 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Changeup, Sweeper and Curveball, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 41.2% of everything he throws.
1259 classified pitches in 2025.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Lopez's curveball spins at 2,602 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
124 thrown in 2025.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
11.8 mph separates Lopez's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 94.5 against 82.7.
519 and 124 of them respectively.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Lopez's 4-seam fastball averages 94.5 mph, and has touched 97.3.
519 thrown, 41.2% of his pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Lopez releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 29 degrees above horizontal and 1.8 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
1259 tracked release points, averaging 5.4 feet off the ground.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Lopez releases the ball 7.0 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
1259 tracked pitches in 2025.
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Lopez's fastball averages 94.7 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 94.2 past his 75th.
186 early fastballs, 111 late ones.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Lopez lands 58.9% of his fastballs in the zone and only 34.5% of his offspeed pitches.
601 of his fastballs, 267 of his offspeed pitches.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .375 expected average against them, against .308 on his offspeed pitches.
601 of his fastballs thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Lopez lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.20 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
1259 located pitches in 2025.
He lives on one side of the plate
Lopez works away from right-handers: his average pitch lands 1.5 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
1259 located pitches in 2025.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 35.3% of the contact Lopez gives up is hit hard, 82nd percentile.
1259 pitches in 2025. 82nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 141st in MLB.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Lopez is weak: 88.1 mph off the bat on average, 66th percentile.
1259 pitches in 2025. 66th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 269th in MLB.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Lopez projects a .344 average, 37th percentile.
1259 pitches in 2025. 37th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 495th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Lopez throws 43.9% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 48% with the bases empty.
246 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 1013 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Lopez's stuff spins at 2,174 rpm, 28th percentile in the league.
1259 pitches in 2025. 28th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 565th in MLB.
Marlins
Career team 2018–2022