When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Fried throws a fastball 79.3% of the time, against 48.4% when he is ahead.
276 pitches behind in the count, 246 ahead.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Fried's sweeper moves 18.4 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
90 thrown, averaging 79.9 mph.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
20.8 mph separates Fried's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 94.7 against 73.9.
155 and 130 of them respectively.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Fried's curveball carries 17.6 inches of drop against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
130 thrown, averaging 73.9 mph.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .336 expected average against them, against .248 on his breaking balls.
126 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Fried's cutter leaves the bat at 88.7 mph, against 79.4 off his sweeper.
205 and 90 of them thrown.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Fried puts 41.7% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 48.1% of his pitches to left-handers.
709 pitches to right-handed hitters, 208 to left-handed hitters.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Fried throws the sinker 44.7% of the time against left-handers and 15.4% against right-handers.
709 pitches to right-handers, 208 to left-handers.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Fried projects a .272 average, 89th percentile.
917 pitches in 2026. 89th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 61st in MLB.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Fried throws a strike on the first pitch 52.9% of the time.
240 plate appearances started in 2026.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Fried averages 88.0 mph across his arsenal, 26th percentile in the league.
917 pitches in 2026. 26th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 400th in MLB.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Fried goes to the changeup: 21.1% of his two-strike pitches, against 11% the rest of the time.
246 two-strike pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Fried's curveball spins at 2,842 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
130 thrown in 2026.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Fried is weak: 85.4 mph off the bat on average, 86th percentile.
917 pitches in 2026. 86th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 74th in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 31% of the contact Fried gives up is hit hard, 85th percentile.
917 pitches in 2026. 85th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 84th in MLB.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Fried works with 6 pitches: Cutter, Sinker, 4-Seam Fastball and Curveball, and a little else. The cutter is 22.4% of everything he throws.
917 classified pitches in 2026.
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Fried's fastball averages 93.4 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 92.9 past his 75th.
179 early fastballs, 111 late ones.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Fried puts 59.1% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 41.9% when he is ahead.
276 located pitches behind, 246 ahead.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
18.4% of Fried's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
169 of 917 located pitches.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Fried's cutter averages 92.0 mph, and has touched 95.7.
205 thrown, 22.4% of his pitches.
One pitch exists only to make the hitter think
Fried has thrown 9 sliders this season, 1% of his pitches, at 85.2 mph: a look rather than a weapon.
917 classified pitches in 2026.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Fried throws a fastball 79.3% of the time, against 48.4% when he is ahead.
276 pitches behind in the count, 246 ahead.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Fried throws a strike on the first pitch 52.9% of the time.
240 plate appearances started in 2026.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Fried goes to the changeup: 21.1% of his two-strike pitches, against 11% the rest of the time.
246 two-strike pitches in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Fried puts 59.1% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 41.9% when he is ahead.
276 located pitches behind, 246 ahead.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Fried's sweeper moves 18.4 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
90 thrown, averaging 79.9 mph.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Fried's curveball carries 17.6 inches of drop against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
130 thrown, averaging 73.9 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
20.8 mph separates Fried's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 94.7 against 73.9.
155 and 130 of them respectively.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Fried's cutter leaves the bat at 88.7 mph, against 79.4 off his sweeper.
205 and 90 of them thrown.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Fried throws the sinker 44.7% of the time against left-handers and 15.4% against right-handers.
709 pitches to right-handers, 208 to left-handers.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Fried's curveball spins at 2,842 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
130 thrown in 2026.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Fried works with 6 pitches: Cutter, Sinker, 4-Seam Fastball and Curveball, and a little else. The cutter is 22.4% of everything he throws.
917 classified pitches in 2026.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Fried's cutter averages 92.0 mph, and has touched 95.7.
205 thrown, 22.4% of his pitches.
One pitch exists only to make the hitter think
Fried has thrown 9 sliders this season, 1% of his pitches, at 85.2 mph: a look rather than a weapon.
917 classified pitches in 2026.
Show more
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .336 expected average against them, against .248 on his breaking balls.
126 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Fried puts 41.7% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 48.1% of his pitches to left-handers.
709 pitches to right-handed hitters, 208 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Fried projects a .272 average, 89th percentile.
917 pitches in 2026. 89th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 61st in MLB.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Fried is weak: 85.4 mph off the bat on average, 86th percentile.
917 pitches in 2026. 86th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 74th in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 31% of the contact Fried gives up is hit hard, 85th percentile.
917 pitches in 2026. 85th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 84th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Fried averages 88.0 mph across his arsenal, 26th percentile in the league.
917 pitches in 2026. 26th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 400th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Fried's fastball averages 93.4 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 92.9 past his 75th.
179 early fastballs, 111 late ones.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
18.4% of Fried's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
169 of 917 located pitches.