Matt Carpenter Spray Chart MLB Stats & Career Totals

The shape of his contact says what kind of hitter he is

Carpenter averages 23.5 degrees off the bat: 47.1% of his contact is in the air and 20% of it is on the ground.

85 batted balls with a tracked launch angle.

He hits about the same with runners on as without

With a runner in scoring position Carpenter has an OPS of .470; with the bases empty it is .753.

40 plate appearances with a runner in scoring position, 117 with the bases empty.

There is one part of the field he lives in

Carpenter hits it hardest to his pull side: 90.0 mph on average there, against 73.8 the other way.

32 batted balls to his pull side, 16 the other way.

There is one pitch he punishes whenever he sees it

Carpenter does his damage against fastballs: a .836 OPS against them, against .598 on offspeed pitches.

101 plate appearances ending on fastballs, 25 on offspeed pitches.

He does not hit the ball hard, and it shows

Carpenter averages 84.7 mph off the bat, 15th percentile in the league.

157 plate appearances in 2024. 15th percentile among qualified hitters in 2024, 498th in MLB.

He gets the ball in the air at the angle that hurts

Carpenter finds the launch angles that produce hits on 49.4% of his contact, 98th percentile.

157 plate appearances in 2024. 98th percentile among qualified hitters in 2024, 11th in MLB.

There is one situation he simply cannot handle

Carpenter is at his worst against right-handers, with a runner in scoring position: a .413 OPS there against .686 overall.

35 plate appearances in that situation.

The strikeouts are the thing holding his season back

Carpenter strikes out in 32.5% of his trips, 12th percentile.

157 plate appearances in 2024. 12th percentile among qualified hitters in 2024, 515th in MLB.

He is not hitting the ball with any authority this season

Carpenter's quality of contact only supports a .209 expected average, 21st percentile in the league.

157 plate appearances in 2024. 21st percentile among qualified hitters in 2024, 463rd in MLB.

Too much of his contact is weak

Just 29.1% of Carpenter's contact reaches 95 mph, 16th percentile.

157 plate appearances in 2024. 16th percentile among qualified hitters in 2024, 488th in MLB.

His contact is about the same with runners on

21.1% of Carpenter's contact with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 31.3% of it with the bases empty.

40 plate appearances with a runner in scoring position, 117 with the bases empty.

His swing is slower than almost anyone's

Carpenter swings it at 65.0 mph, 24th percentile bat speed in the league.

157 plate appearances in 2024. 24th percentile among qualified hitters in 2024, 446th in MLB.

The big spots do not change his strikeouts either way

Carpenter strikes out in 37.5% of his trips with a runner in scoring position and 30.8% with the bases empty.

40 plate appearances with a runner in scoring position, 117 with the bases empty.

His fly balls travel about as far as anyone's

Carpenter's fly balls travel 264 feet on average, and his longest of the season went 436.

45 tracked balls hit at 20 degrees or more.

There is one situation he is at his most dangerous in

Carpenter is at his best against right-handers, with the bases empty, on fastballs: a .888 OPS there against .686 overall.

65 plate appearances in that situation.

He has been getting hits he has not really earned

Carpenter's batting average is .234 but the quality of his contact projects .209, a gap of .025 he is currently outrunning.

157 plate appearances in 2024.

One pitch is where all his power comes from

Carpenter slugs .460 against fastballs and .318 against offspeed pitches.

101 plate appearances ending on fastballs.

He takes his walks and makes pitchers come to him

Carpenter walks in 9.6% of his plate appearances, 73rd percentile.

157 plate appearances in 2024. 73rd percentile among qualified hitters in 2024, 156th in MLB.

His walks do not change much with runners on

Carpenter walks in 12.5% of his plate appearances with a runner in scoring position, against 8.5% with the bases empty.

40 plate appearances with a runner in scoring position, 117 with the bases empty.

Getting on base is what he does best

Carpenter is on base at a .314 clip, 63rd percentile in the league.

157 plate appearances in 2024. 63rd percentile among qualified hitters in 2024, 214th in MLB.

Matt Carpenter

Contextual Splits

Crunching the Numbers