His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Estrada's 4-seam fastball averages 87.3 mph, and has touched 89.0.
175 thrown, 52.6% of his pitches.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .363 expected average against them, against .215 on his offspeed pitches.
214 of his fastballs thrown.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Estrada's changeup moves 84.6 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
105 thrown, averaging 75.7 mph.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Estrada averages 82.8 mph across his arsenal, 4th percentile in the league.
408 pitches in 2019. 4th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2019, 722nd in MLB.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Estrada releases the ball from over the top, about 75 degrees above horizontal and 0.6 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
333 tracked release points, averaging 6.3 feet off the ground.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Estrada's 4-seam fastball carries 22.9 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
175 thrown, averaging 87.3 mph.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Estrada puts 40.4% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 47.2% of his pitches to left-handers.
248 pitches to right-handed hitters, 160 to left-handed hitters.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Estrada projects a .305 average, 95th percentile.
408 pitches in 2019. 95th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2019, 39th in MLB.
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Estrada releases the ball 5.2 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
333 tracked pitches in 2019.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Estrada's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 90.0 mph, against 84.6 off his changeup.
175 and 105 of them thrown.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Estrada goes to the changeup: 37.8% of his two-strike pitches, against 29.2% the rest of the time.
90 two-strike pitches in 2019.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
15.6% of Estrada's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
52 of 333 located pitches.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Estrada works with 3 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Changeup and Cutter. The 4-seam fastball is 52.6% of everything he throws.
333 classified pitches in 2019.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 33.3% of the contact Estrada gives up is hit hard, 87th percentile.
408 pitches in 2019. 87th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2019, 95th in MLB.
He is throwing as hard in the seventh as in the first
Estrada's fastball averages 86.2 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 87.3 past his 75th.
73 early fastballs, 25 late ones.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Estrada puts 52.7% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 37.6% when he is ahead.
91 located pitches behind, 93 ahead.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Estrada lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.29 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
333 located pitches in 2019.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Estrada throws the cutter 18.8% of the time against right-handers and 0% against left-handers.
208 pitches to right-handers, 125 to left-handers.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Estrada is weak: 87.8 mph off the bat on average, 77th percentile.
408 pitches in 2019. 77th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2019, 176th in MLB.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
11.6 mph separates Estrada's 4-seam fastball from his changeup, 87.3 against 75.7.
175 and 105 of them respectively.
He lives on one side of the plate
Estrada works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 1.7 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
333 located pitches in 2019.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Estrada throws a fastball 65.9% of the time, against 60.2% when he is ahead.
91 pitches behind in the count, 93 ahead.
One pitch exists only to make the hitter think
Estrada has thrown 14 curveballs this season, 4.2% of his pitches, at 75.4 mph: a look rather than a weapon.
333 classified pitches in 2019.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Estrada's 4-seam fastball spins at 2,281 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
175 thrown in 2019.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Estrada's 4-seam fastball averages 87.3 mph, and has touched 89.0.
175 thrown, 52.6% of his pitches.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Estrada's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 90.0 mph, against 84.6 off his changeup.
175 and 105 of them thrown.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Estrada works with 3 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Changeup and Cutter. The 4-seam fastball is 52.6% of everything he throws.
333 classified pitches in 2019.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Estrada throws the cutter 18.8% of the time against right-handers and 0% against left-handers.
208 pitches to right-handers, 125 to left-handers.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
11.6 mph separates Estrada's 4-seam fastball from his changeup, 87.3 against 75.7.
175 and 105 of them respectively.
One pitch exists only to make the hitter think
Estrada has thrown 14 curveballs this season, 4.2% of his pitches, at 75.4 mph: a look rather than a weapon.
333 classified pitches in 2019.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Estrada's 4-seam fastball spins at 2,281 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
175 thrown in 2019.
Show more
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .363 expected average against them, against .215 on his offspeed pitches.
214 of his fastballs thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Estrada's changeup moves 84.6 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
105 thrown, averaging 75.7 mph.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Estrada's 4-seam fastball carries 22.9 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
175 thrown, averaging 87.3 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Estrada averages 82.8 mph across his arsenal, 4th percentile in the league.
408 pitches in 2019. 4th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2019, 722nd in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Estrada releases the ball from over the top, about 75 degrees above horizontal and 0.6 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
333 tracked release points, averaging 6.3 feet off the ground.
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Estrada releases the ball 5.2 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
333 tracked pitches in 2019.
He is throwing as hard in the seventh as in the first
Estrada's fastball averages 86.2 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 87.3 past his 75th.
73 early fastballs, 25 late ones.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Estrada puts 40.4% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 47.2% of his pitches to left-handers.
248 pitches to right-handed hitters, 160 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Estrada projects a .305 average, 95th percentile.
408 pitches in 2019. 95th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2019, 39th in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 33.3% of the contact Estrada gives up is hit hard, 87th percentile.
408 pitches in 2019. 87th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2019, 95th in MLB.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Estrada is weak: 87.8 mph off the bat on average, 77th percentile.
408 pitches in 2019. 77th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2019, 176th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Estrada goes to the changeup: 37.8% of his two-strike pitches, against 29.2% the rest of the time.
90 two-strike pitches in 2019.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Estrada puts 52.7% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 37.6% when he is ahead.
91 located pitches behind, 93 ahead.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Estrada throws a fastball 65.9% of the time, against 60.2% when he is ahead.
91 pitches behind in the count, 93 ahead.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
15.6% of Estrada's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
52 of 333 located pitches.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Estrada lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.29 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
333 located pitches in 2019.
He lives on one side of the plate
Estrada works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 1.7 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
333 located pitches in 2019.
Blue Jays
Career team 2015 to 2018