His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Erceg's 4-seam fastball averages 97.2 mph, and has touched 99.7.
113 thrown, 36% of his pitches.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .331 expected average against them, against .160 on his breaking balls.
175 of his fastballs thrown.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Erceg's changeup moves 17.6 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
46 thrown, averaging 89.4 mph.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Erceg goes to the slider: 40.2% of his two-strike pitches, against 23.8% the rest of the time.
112 two-strike pitches in 2026.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Erceg's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 97.2 mph, against 76.3 off his slider.
113 and 93 of them thrown.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Erceg's stuff spins at 1,986 rpm, 7th percentile in the league.
314 pitches in 2026. 7th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 499th in MLB.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Erceg puts 62.5% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 34.9% when he is ahead.
88 located pitches behind, 83 ahead.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Erceg's 4-seam fastball carries 14.4 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
113 thrown, averaging 97.2 mph.
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Erceg averages 92.1 mph across his arsenal, 80th percentile in the league.
314 pitches in 2026. 80th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 108th in MLB.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Erceg lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.23 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
314 located pitches in 2026.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Erceg throws the changeup 25.3% of the time against left-handers and 2.1% against right-handers.
144 pitches to right-handers, 170 to left-handers.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Erceg throws a fastball 63.6% of the time, against 49.4% when he is ahead.
88 pitches behind in the count, 83 ahead.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Erceg puts 40.3% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 44.1% of his pitches to left-handers.
144 pitches to right-handed hitters, 170 to left-handed hitters.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Erceg projects a .297 average, 78th percentile.
314 pitches in 2026. 78th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 120th in MLB.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
13.0 mph separates Erceg's 4-seam fastball from his slider, 97.2 against 84.1.
113 and 93 of them respectively.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Erceg releases the ball from a three-quarters slot, about 45 degrees above horizontal and 1.5 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
314 tracked release points, averaging 5.8 feet off the ground.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Erceg works with 4 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Slider, Sinker and Changeup. The 4-seam fastball is 36% of everything he throws.
314 classified pitches in 2026.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Erceg releases the ball 6.5 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
235 tracked pitches in 2026.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Erceg throws a strike on the first pitch 58.4% of the time.
77 plate appearances started in 2026.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Erceg's 4-seam fastball averages 97.2 mph, and has touched 99.7.
113 thrown, 36% of his pitches.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Erceg's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 97.2 mph, against 76.3 off his slider.
113 and 93 of them thrown.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Erceg throws the changeup 25.3% of the time against left-handers and 2.1% against right-handers.
144 pitches to right-handers, 170 to left-handers.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
13.0 mph separates Erceg's 4-seam fastball from his slider, 97.2 against 84.1.
113 and 93 of them respectively.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Erceg works with 4 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Slider, Sinker and Changeup. The 4-seam fastball is 36% of everything he throws.
314 classified pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .331 expected average against them, against .160 on his breaking balls.
175 of his fastballs thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Erceg's changeup moves 17.6 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
46 thrown, averaging 89.4 mph.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Erceg's 4-seam fastball carries 14.4 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
113 thrown, averaging 97.2 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Erceg goes to the slider: 40.2% of his two-strike pitches, against 23.8% the rest of the time.
112 two-strike pitches in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Erceg puts 62.5% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 34.9% when he is ahead.
88 located pitches behind, 83 ahead.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Erceg throws a fastball 63.6% of the time, against 49.4% when he is ahead.
88 pitches behind in the count, 83 ahead.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Erceg throws a strike on the first pitch 58.4% of the time.
77 plate appearances started in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Erceg's stuff spins at 1,986 rpm, 7th percentile in the league.
314 pitches in 2026. 7th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 499th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Erceg averages 92.1 mph across his arsenal, 80th percentile in the league.
314 pitches in 2026. 80th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 108th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Erceg lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.23 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
314 located pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Erceg puts 40.3% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 44.1% of his pitches to left-handers.
144 pitches to right-handed hitters, 170 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Erceg projects a .297 average, 78th percentile.
314 pitches in 2026. 78th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 120th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Erceg releases the ball from a three-quarters slot, about 45 degrees above horizontal and 1.5 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
314 tracked release points, averaging 5.8 feet off the ground.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Erceg releases the ball 6.5 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
235 tracked pitches in 2026.