One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .439 expected average against them, against .246 on his offspeed pitches.
211 of his breaking balls thrown.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Bubic's 4-seam fastball carries 16.8 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
336 thrown, averaging 91.8 mph.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Bubic throws the changeup 26.1% of the time against right-handers and 0.5% against left-handers.
620 pitches to right-handers, 191 to left-handers.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Bubic throws a fastball 65.9% of the time, against 47.1% when he is ahead.
232 pitches behind in the count, 238 ahead.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Bubic releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 32 degrees above horizontal and 1.9 feet to the first-base side of the rubber.
811 tracked release points, averaging 5.5 feet off the ground.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Bubic's sweeper moves 13.8 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
141 thrown, averaging 82.4 mph.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Bubic's 4-seam fastball averages 91.8 mph, and has touched 94.8.
336 thrown, 41.4% of his pitches.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Bubic goes to the changeup: 26.6% of his two-strike pitches, against 17.3% the rest of the time.
244 two-strike pitches in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Bubic puts 60.3% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 39.9% when he is ahead.
232 located pitches behind, 238 ahead.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Bubic averages 88.3 mph across his arsenal, 30th percentile in the league.
811 pitches in 2026. 30th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 377th in MLB.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Bubic works with 5 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Changeup, Sweeper and Sinker, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 41.4% of everything he throws.
811 classified pitches in 2026.
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Bubic lives in the strike zone: 44.4% of his pitches are in it, 67th percentile.
811 pitches in 2026. 67th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 176th in MLB.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Bubic lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.36 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
811 located pitches in 2026.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Bubic's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 90.7 mph, against 87.1 off his changeup.
336 and 163 of them thrown.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Bubic releases the ball 6.7 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
650 tracked pitches in 2026.
He leaves too much of it over the heart of the plate
22.2% of Bubic's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, the part of the plate hitters do their damage on.
180 of 811 located pitches.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Bubic's sweeper spins at 2,582 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
141 thrown in 2026.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Bubic throws 42.2% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 44.7% with the bases empty.
116 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 695 with the bases empty.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Bubic lands 46.9% of his breaking balls in the zone and only 37.4% of his offspeed pitches.
211 of his breaking balls, 163 of his offspeed pitches.
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Bubic's fastball averages 92.0 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 91.5 past his 75th.
131 early fastballs, 71 late ones.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Bubic throws a strike on the first pitch 58% of the time.
207 plate appearances started in 2026.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Bubic projects a .337 average, 39th percentile.
811 pitches in 2026. 39th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 327th in MLB.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
9.4 mph separates Bubic's 4-seam fastball from his sweeper, 91.8 against 82.4.
336 and 141 of them respectively.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .439 expected average against them, against .246 on his offspeed pitches.
211 of his breaking balls thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Bubic lands 46.9% of his breaking balls in the zone and only 37.4% of his offspeed pitches.
211 of his breaking balls, 163 of his offspeed pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Bubic's 4-seam fastball carries 16.8 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
336 thrown, averaging 91.8 mph.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Bubic's sweeper moves 13.8 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
141 thrown, averaging 82.4 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Bubic throws the changeup 26.1% of the time against right-handers and 0.5% against left-handers.
620 pitches to right-handers, 191 to left-handers.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Bubic's 4-seam fastball averages 91.8 mph, and has touched 94.8.
336 thrown, 41.4% of his pitches.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Bubic works with 5 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Changeup, Sweeper and Sinker, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 41.4% of everything he throws.
811 classified pitches in 2026.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Bubic's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 90.7 mph, against 87.1 off his changeup.
336 and 163 of them thrown.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Bubic's sweeper spins at 2,582 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
141 thrown in 2026.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
9.4 mph separates Bubic's 4-seam fastball from his sweeper, 91.8 against 82.4.
336 and 141 of them respectively.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Bubic throws a fastball 65.9% of the time, against 47.1% when he is ahead.
232 pitches behind in the count, 238 ahead.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Bubic goes to the changeup: 26.6% of his two-strike pitches, against 17.3% the rest of the time.
244 two-strike pitches in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Bubic puts 60.3% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 39.9% when he is ahead.
232 located pitches behind, 238 ahead.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Bubic throws a strike on the first pitch 58% of the time.
207 plate appearances started in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Bubic releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 32 degrees above horizontal and 1.9 feet to the first-base side of the rubber.
811 tracked release points, averaging 5.5 feet off the ground.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Bubic releases the ball 6.7 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
650 tracked pitches in 2026.
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Bubic's fastball averages 92.0 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 91.5 past his 75th.
131 early fastballs, 71 late ones.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Bubic averages 88.3 mph across his arsenal, 30th percentile in the league.
811 pitches in 2026. 30th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 377th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Bubic lives in the strike zone: 44.4% of his pitches are in it, 67th percentile.
811 pitches in 2026. 67th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 176th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Bubic lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.36 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
811 located pitches in 2026.
He leaves too much of it over the heart of the plate
22.2% of Bubic's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, the part of the plate hitters do their damage on.
180 of 811 located pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Bubic throws 42.2% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 44.7% with the bases empty.
116 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 695 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Bubic projects a .337 average, 39th percentile.
811 pitches in 2026. 39th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 327th in MLB.
Royals
Career team 2020–2026