One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .439 expected average against them, against .246 on his offspeed pitches.
211 of his breaking balls thrown.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Bubic's 4-seam fastball carries 16.7 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
367 thrown, averaging 91.9 mph.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Bubic throws the changeup 27% of the time against right-handers and 0.5% against left-handers.
671 pitches to right-handers, 211 to left-handers.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Bubic throws a fastball 66.4% of the time, against 47.2% when he is ahead.
238 pitches behind in the count, 271 ahead.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Bubic releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 32 degrees above horizontal and 1.9 feet to the first-base side of the rubber.
882 tracked release points, averaging 5.5 feet off the ground.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Bubic's sweeper moves 13.7 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
149 thrown, averaging 82.5 mph.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Bubic goes to the changeup: 26.9% of his two-strike pitches, against 17.8% the rest of the time.
271 two-strike pitches in 2026.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Bubic's 4-seam fastball averages 91.9 mph, and has touched 95.9.
367 thrown, 41.6% of his pitches.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Bubic averages 88.3 mph across his arsenal, 30th percentile in the league.
811 pitches in 2026. 30th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 377th in MLB.
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Bubic's fastball averages 92.4 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 91.5 past his 75th.
172 early fastballs, 71 late ones.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Bubic puts 60.1% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 41% when he is ahead.
238 located pitches behind, 271 ahead.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Bubic works with 5 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Changeup, Sweeper and Sinker, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 41.6% of everything he throws.
882 classified pitches in 2026.
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Bubic lives in the strike zone: 44.4% of his pitches are in it, 67th percentile.
811 pitches in 2026. 67th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 176th in MLB.
He leaves too much of it over the heart of the plate
22.4% of Bubic's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, the part of the plate hitters do their damage on.
198 of 882 located pitches.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Bubic's sweeper spins at 2,580 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
149 thrown in 2026.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Bubic releases the ball 6.7 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
721 tracked pitches in 2026.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Bubic throws 42.2% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 44.7% with the bases empty.
116 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 695 with the bases empty.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Bubic lands 46.9% of his breaking balls in the zone and only 37.4% of his offspeed pitches.
211 of his breaking balls, 163 of his offspeed pitches.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Bubic's slider leaves the bat at 90.3 mph, against 87.4 off his changeup.
73 and 182 of them thrown.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Bubic projects a .337 average, 39th percentile.
811 pitches in 2026. 39th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 327th in MLB.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
9.4 mph separates Bubic's 4-seam fastball from his sweeper, 91.9 against 82.5.
367 and 149 of them respectively.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .439 expected average against them, against .246 on his offspeed pitches.
211 of his breaking balls thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Bubic lands 46.9% of his breaking balls in the zone and only 37.4% of his offspeed pitches.
211 of his breaking balls, 163 of his offspeed pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Bubic's 4-seam fastball carries 16.7 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
367 thrown, averaging 91.9 mph.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Bubic's sweeper moves 13.7 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
149 thrown, averaging 82.5 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Bubic throws the changeup 27% of the time against right-handers and 0.5% against left-handers.
671 pitches to right-handers, 211 to left-handers.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Bubic's 4-seam fastball averages 91.9 mph, and has touched 95.9.
367 thrown, 41.6% of his pitches.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Bubic works with 5 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Changeup, Sweeper and Sinker, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 41.6% of everything he throws.
882 classified pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Bubic's sweeper spins at 2,580 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
149 thrown in 2026.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Bubic's slider leaves the bat at 90.3 mph, against 87.4 off his changeup.
73 and 182 of them thrown.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
9.4 mph separates Bubic's 4-seam fastball from his sweeper, 91.9 against 82.5.
367 and 149 of them respectively.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Bubic throws a fastball 66.4% of the time, against 47.2% when he is ahead.
238 pitches behind in the count, 271 ahead.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Bubic goes to the changeup: 26.9% of his two-strike pitches, against 17.8% the rest of the time.
271 two-strike pitches in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Bubic puts 60.1% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 41% when he is ahead.
238 located pitches behind, 271 ahead.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Bubic releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 32 degrees above horizontal and 1.9 feet to the first-base side of the rubber.
882 tracked release points, averaging 5.5 feet off the ground.
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Bubic's fastball averages 92.4 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 91.5 past his 75th.
172 early fastballs, 71 late ones.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Bubic releases the ball 6.7 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
721 tracked pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Bubic averages 88.3 mph across his arsenal, 30th percentile in the league.
811 pitches in 2026. 30th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 377th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Bubic lives in the strike zone: 44.4% of his pitches are in it, 67th percentile.
811 pitches in 2026. 67th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 176th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He leaves too much of it over the heart of the plate
22.4% of Bubic's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, the part of the plate hitters do their damage on.
198 of 882 located pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Bubic throws 42.2% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 44.7% with the bases empty.
116 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 695 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
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The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Bubic projects a .337 average, 39th percentile.
811 pitches in 2026. 39th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 327th in MLB.
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