When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Jepsen throws a fastball 83.3% of the time, against 41.8% when he is ahead.
108 pitches behind in the count, 67 ahead.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .356 expected average against them, against .167 on his breaking balls.
190 of his fastballs thrown.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Jepsen's 4-seam fastball moves 32.7 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
190 thrown, averaging 92.0 mph.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Jepsen throws 36.1% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 48.4% with the bases empty.
119 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 190 with the bases empty.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Jepsen's 4-seam fastball carries 19.4 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
190 thrown, averaging 92.0 mph.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Jepsen works with 2 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball and Curveball. The 4-seam fastball is 61.7% of everything he throws.
308 classified pitches in 2018.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Jepsen lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.21 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
309 located pitches in 2018.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Jepsen puts 50.9% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 26.9% when he is ahead.
108 located pitches behind, 67 ahead.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Jepsen releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 36 degrees above horizontal and 1.4 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
309 tracked release points, averaging 5.4 feet off the ground.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
45.5% of the contact Jepsen gives up is hit hard, 16th percentile.
309 pitches in 2018. 16th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2018, 608th in MLB.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Jepsen's 4-seam fastball averages 92.0 mph, and has touched 94.6.
190 thrown, 61.7% of his pitches.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Jepsen goes to the 4-seam fastball: 68.8% of his two-strike pitches, against 59.3% the rest of the time.
77 two-strike pitches in 2018.
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Jepsen's stuff spins at 2,375 rpm, 79th percentile in the league.
309 pitches in 2018. 79th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2018, 154th in MLB.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Jepsen projects a .327 average, 83rd percentile.
309 pitches in 2018. 83rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2018, 127th in MLB.
He lives on one side of the plate
Jepsen works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 2.3 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
309 located pitches in 2018.
He cannot find the zone often enough
Jepsen works off the plate, with only 43.7% of his pitches in the zone, 34th percentile.
309 pitches in 2018. 34th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2018, 479th in MLB.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Jepsen throws the 4-seam fastball 64.6% of the time against right-handers and 52.1% against left-handers.
237 pitches to right-handers, 71 to left-handers.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Jepsen lands 47.9% of his fastballs in the zone and only 35.8% of his breaking balls.
190 of his fastballs, 106 of his breaking balls.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
17.2% of Jepsen's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
53 of 309 located pitches.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Jepsen throws a strike on the first pitch 56.6% of the time.
76 plate appearances started in 2018.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
10.6 mph separates Jepsen's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 92.0 against 81.4.
190 and 106 of them respectively.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 89.7 mph off the bat against Jepsen, 30th percentile.
309 pitches in 2018. 30th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2018, 511th in MLB.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Jepsen's 4-seam fastball spins at 2,420 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
190 thrown in 2018.
One pitch exists only to make the hitter think
Jepsen has thrown 12 changeups this season, 3.9% of his pitches, at 84.7 mph: a look rather than a weapon.
308 classified pitches in 2018.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Jepsen throws a fastball 83.3% of the time, against 41.8% when he is ahead.
108 pitches behind in the count, 67 ahead.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Jepsen puts 50.9% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 26.9% when he is ahead.
108 located pitches behind, 67 ahead.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Jepsen goes to the 4-seam fastball: 68.8% of his two-strike pitches, against 59.3% the rest of the time.
77 two-strike pitches in 2018.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Jepsen throws a strike on the first pitch 56.6% of the time.
76 plate appearances started in 2018.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .356 expected average against them, against .167 on his breaking balls.
190 of his fastballs thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Jepsen lands 47.9% of his fastballs in the zone and only 35.8% of his breaking balls.
190 of his fastballs, 106 of his breaking balls.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Jepsen's 4-seam fastball moves 32.7 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
190 thrown, averaging 92.0 mph.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Jepsen's 4-seam fastball carries 19.4 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
190 thrown, averaging 92.0 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Jepsen throws 36.1% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 48.4% with the bases empty.
119 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 190 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Jepsen works with 2 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball and Curveball. The 4-seam fastball is 61.7% of everything he throws.
308 classified pitches in 2018.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Jepsen's 4-seam fastball averages 92.0 mph, and has touched 94.6.
190 thrown, 61.7% of his pitches.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Jepsen throws the 4-seam fastball 64.6% of the time against right-handers and 52.1% against left-handers.
237 pitches to right-handers, 71 to left-handers.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
10.6 mph separates Jepsen's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 92.0 against 81.4.
190 and 106 of them respectively.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Jepsen's 4-seam fastball spins at 2,420 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
190 thrown in 2018.
One pitch exists only to make the hitter think
Jepsen has thrown 12 changeups this season, 3.9% of his pitches, at 84.7 mph: a look rather than a weapon.
308 classified pitches in 2018.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Jepsen lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.21 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
309 located pitches in 2018.
He lives on one side of the plate
Jepsen works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 2.3 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
309 located pitches in 2018.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
17.2% of Jepsen's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
53 of 309 located pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Jepsen releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 36 degrees above horizontal and 1.4 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
309 tracked release points, averaging 5.4 feet off the ground.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
Too much of the contact against him is loud
45.5% of the contact Jepsen gives up is hit hard, 16th percentile.
309 pitches in 2018. 16th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2018, 608th in MLB.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Jepsen projects a .327 average, 83rd percentile.
309 pitches in 2018. 83rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2018, 127th in MLB.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 89.7 mph off the bat against Jepsen, 30th percentile.
309 pitches in 2018. 30th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2018, 511th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Jepsen's stuff spins at 2,375 rpm, 79th percentile in the league.
309 pitches in 2018. 79th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2018, 154th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Jepsen works off the plate, with only 43.7% of his pitches in the zone, 34th percentile.
309 pitches in 2018. 34th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2018, 479th in MLB.