This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Duran goes to the 4-seam fastball: 44.2% of his two-strike pitches, against 22.1% the rest of the time.
52 two-strike pitches in 2026.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Duran's sinker averages 97.3 mph, and has touched 99.3.
82 thrown, 42.7% of his pitches.
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Duran averages 95.3 mph across his arsenal, 98th percentile in the league.
192 pitches in 2026. 98th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 10th in MLB.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Duran throws 29.2% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 38.6% with the bases empty.
65 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 127 with the bases empty.
He cannot find the zone often enough
Duran works off the plate, with only 35.4% of his pitches in the zone, 4th percentile.
192 pitches in 2026. 4th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 517th in MLB.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Duran throws a fastball 90.5% of the time, against 45.8% when he is ahead.
63 pitches behind in the count, 48 ahead.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Duran's sinker moves 15.4 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
82 thrown, averaging 97.3 mph.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Duran's sinker leaves the bat at 95.8 mph, against 87.7 off his 4-seam fastball.
82 and 54 of them thrown.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Duran throws a strike on the first pitch 46.8% of the time.
47 plate appearances started in 2026.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 92.5 mph off the bat against Duran, 5th percentile.
192 pitches in 2026. 5th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 508th in MLB.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Duran's stuff spins at 1,992 rpm, 7th percentile in the league.
192 pitches in 2026. 7th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 497th in MLB.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Duran lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.19 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
192 located pitches in 2026.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
52.2% of the contact Duran gives up is hit hard, 7th percentile.
192 pitches in 2026. 7th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 501st in MLB.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Duran throws the sweeper 24.4% of the time against right-handers and 0% against left-handers.
86 pitches to right-handers, 106 to left-handers.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Duran's 4-seam fastball carries 13.0 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
54 thrown, averaging 99.8 mph.
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Duran releases the ball 5.9 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
150 tracked pitches in 2026.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
16.1% of Duran's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
31 of 192 located pitches.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Duran releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 41 degrees above horizontal and 1.9 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
192 tracked release points, averaging 6.1 feet off the ground.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Duran works with 5 pitches: Sinker, 4-Seam Fastball, Knuckle Curve and Sweeper, and a little else. The sinker is 42.7% of everything he throws.
192 classified pitches in 2026.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Duran projects a .356 average, 24th percentile.
192 pitches in 2026. 24th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 410th in MLB.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Duran puts 49.2% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 41.7% when he is ahead.
63 located pitches behind, 48 ahead.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Duran goes to the 4-seam fastball: 44.2% of his two-strike pitches, against 22.1% the rest of the time.
52 two-strike pitches in 2026.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Duran throws a fastball 90.5% of the time, against 45.8% when he is ahead.
63 pitches behind in the count, 48 ahead.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Duran throws a strike on the first pitch 46.8% of the time.
47 plate appearances started in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Duran puts 49.2% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 41.7% when he is ahead.
63 located pitches behind, 48 ahead.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Duran's sinker averages 97.3 mph, and has touched 99.3.
82 thrown, 42.7% of his pitches.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Duran's sinker leaves the bat at 95.8 mph, against 87.7 off his 4-seam fastball.
82 and 54 of them thrown.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Duran throws the sweeper 24.4% of the time against right-handers and 0% against left-handers.
86 pitches to right-handers, 106 to left-handers.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Duran works with 5 pitches: Sinker, 4-Seam Fastball, Knuckle Curve and Sweeper, and a little else. The sinker is 42.7% of everything he throws.
192 classified pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Duran averages 95.3 mph across his arsenal, 98th percentile in the league.
192 pitches in 2026. 98th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 10th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Duran throws 29.2% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 38.6% with the bases empty.
65 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 127 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Duran works off the plate, with only 35.4% of his pitches in the zone, 4th percentile.
192 pitches in 2026. 4th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 517th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Duran's sinker moves 15.4 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
82 thrown, averaging 97.3 mph.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Duran's 4-seam fastball carries 13.0 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
54 thrown, averaging 99.8 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 92.5 mph off the bat against Duran, 5th percentile.
192 pitches in 2026. 5th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 508th in MLB.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
52.2% of the contact Duran gives up is hit hard, 7th percentile.
192 pitches in 2026. 7th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 501st in MLB.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Duran projects a .356 average, 24th percentile.
192 pitches in 2026. 24th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 410th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Duran's stuff spins at 1,992 rpm, 7th percentile in the league.
192 pitches in 2026. 7th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 497th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Duran lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.19 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
192 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
16.1% of Duran's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
31 of 192 located pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Duran releases the ball 5.9 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
150 tracked pitches in 2026.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Duran releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 41 degrees above horizontal and 1.9 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
192 tracked release points, averaging 6.1 feet off the ground.
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