When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Taillon throws a fastball 72.5% of the time, against 40.6% when he is ahead.
262 pitches behind in the count, 165 ahead.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .347 expected average against them, against .227 on his breaking balls.
105 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Taillon's 4-seam fastball carries 18.7 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
198 thrown, averaging 91.4 mph.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Taillon's cutter leaves the bat at 91.8 mph, against 80.9 off his sweeper.
172 and 110 of them thrown.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Taillon averages 86.0 mph across his arsenal, 10th percentile in the league.
740 pitches in 2026. 10th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 483rd in MLB.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Taillon's changeup moves 16.7 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
105 thrown, averaging 84.2 mph.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Taillon throws the sweeper 31.8% of the time against right-handers and 0.7% against left-handers.
336 pitches to right-handers, 404 to left-handers.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Taillon lands 51% of his fastballs in the zone and only 27.6% of his offspeed pitches.
443 of his fastballs, 105 of his offspeed pitches.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Taillon puts 46.1% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 40.8% of his pitches to left-handers.
336 pitches to right-handed hitters, 404 to left-handed hitters.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Taillon lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.24 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
740 located pitches in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Taillon puts 61.5% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 39.4% when he is ahead.
262 located pitches behind, 165 ahead.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Taillon's 4-seam fastball averages 91.4 mph, and has touched 92.8.
198 thrown, 26.8% of his pitches.
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Taillon's fastball averages 90.0 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 89.0 past his 75th.
126 early fastballs, 84 late ones.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Taillon goes to the sweeper: 21.6% of his two-strike pitches, against 12.3% the rest of the time.
204 two-strike pitches in 2026.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Taillon works with 6 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Cutter, Sweeper and Changeup, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 26.8% of everything he throws.
740 classified pitches in 2026.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Taillon projects a .298 average, 76th percentile.
740 pitches in 2026. 76th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 130th in MLB.
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Taillon's stuff spins at 2,382 rpm, 74th percentile in the league.
740 pitches in 2026. 74th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 143rd in MLB.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Taillon releases the ball 6.8 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
575 tracked pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Taillon's sweeper spins at 2,731 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
110 thrown in 2026.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Taillon throws a strike on the first pitch 54.8% of the time.
186 plate appearances started in 2026.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
13.1 mph separates Taillon's sinker from his curveball, 91.7 against 78.6.
73 and 82 of them respectively.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Taillon throws 41.1% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 43.6% with the bases empty.
107 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 633 with the bases empty.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Taillon is weak: 87.0 mph off the bat on average, 70th percentile.
740 pitches in 2026. 70th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 163rd in MLB.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
18.4% of Taillon's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
136 of 740 located pitches.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 35.9% of the contact Taillon gives up is hit hard, 67th percentile.
740 pitches in 2026. 67th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 179th in MLB.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
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When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Taillon throws a fastball 72.5% of the time, against 40.6% when he is ahead.
262 pitches behind in the count, 165 ahead.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Taillon puts 61.5% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 39.4% when he is ahead.
262 located pitches behind, 165 ahead.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Taillon goes to the sweeper: 21.6% of his two-strike pitches, against 12.3% the rest of the time.
204 two-strike pitches in 2026.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Taillon throws a strike on the first pitch 54.8% of the time.
186 plate appearances started in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .347 expected average against them, against .227 on his breaking balls.
105 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Taillon lands 51% of his fastballs in the zone and only 27.6% of his offspeed pitches.
443 of his fastballs, 105 of his offspeed pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Taillon's 4-seam fastball carries 18.7 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
198 thrown, averaging 91.4 mph.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Taillon's changeup moves 16.7 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
105 thrown, averaging 84.2 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Taillon's cutter leaves the bat at 91.8 mph, against 80.9 off his sweeper.
172 and 110 of them thrown.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Taillon throws the sweeper 31.8% of the time against right-handers and 0.7% against left-handers.
336 pitches to right-handers, 404 to left-handers.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Taillon's 4-seam fastball averages 91.4 mph, and has touched 92.8.
198 thrown, 26.8% of his pitches.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Taillon works with 6 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Cutter, Sweeper and Changeup, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 26.8% of everything he throws.
740 classified pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Taillon's sweeper spins at 2,731 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
110 thrown in 2026.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
13.1 mph separates Taillon's sinker from his curveball, 91.7 against 78.6.
73 and 82 of them respectively.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Taillon averages 86.0 mph across his arsenal, 10th percentile in the league.
740 pitches in 2026. 10th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 483rd in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Taillon puts 46.1% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 40.8% of his pitches to left-handers.
336 pitches to right-handed hitters, 404 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Taillon lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.24 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
740 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
18.4% of Taillon's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
136 of 740 located pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Taillon's fastball averages 90.0 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 89.0 past his 75th.
126 early fastballs, 84 late ones.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Taillon releases the ball 6.8 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
575 tracked pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
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The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Taillon projects a .298 average, 76th percentile.
740 pitches in 2026. 76th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 130th in MLB.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Taillon is weak: 87.0 mph off the bat on average, 70th percentile.
740 pitches in 2026. 70th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 163rd in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 35.9% of the contact Taillon gives up is hit hard, 67th percentile.
740 pitches in 2026. 67th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 179th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Taillon's stuff spins at 2,382 rpm, 74th percentile in the league.
740 pitches in 2026. 74th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 143rd in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Taillon throws 41.1% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 43.6% with the bases empty.
107 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 633 with the bases empty.
Blue Jays