This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Brown goes to the knuckle curve: 40.7% of his two-strike pitches, against 14.3% the rest of the time.
54 two-strike pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Brown's 4-seam fastball carries 17.0 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
60 thrown, averaging 96.2 mph.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Brown's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 94.0 mph, against 77.4 off his sinker.
60 and 55 of them thrown.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Brown throws the sinker 42.3% of the time against right-handers and 11.6% against left-handers.
111 pitches to right-handers, 69 to left-handers.
He leaves too much of it over the heart of the plate
27.2% of Brown's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, the part of the plate hitters do their damage on.
49 of 180 located pitches.
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Brown averages 92.3 mph across his arsenal, 84th percentile in the league.
180 pitches in 2026. 84th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 88th in MLB.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Brown's sinker moves 15.1 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
55 thrown, averaging 95.8 mph.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Brown projects a .244 average, 95th percentile.
180 pitches in 2026. 95th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 30th in MLB.
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Brown lives in the strike zone: 46.1% of his pitches are in it, 82nd percentile.
180 pitches in 2026. 82nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 100th in MLB.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Brown's 4-seam fastball averages 96.2 mph, and has touched 98.2.
60 thrown, 33.3% of his pitches.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Brown lands 50.4% of his fastballs in the zone and only 34% of his breaking balls.
115 of his fastballs, 53 of his breaking balls.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 30% of the contact Brown gives up is hit hard, 88th percentile.
180 pitches in 2026. 88th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 68th in MLB.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Brown throws a fastball 69.6% of the time, against 57.1% when he is ahead.
56 pitches behind in the count, 49 ahead.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Brown is weak: 85.6 mph off the bat on average, 85th percentile.
180 pitches in 2026. 85th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 84th in MLB.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Brown works with 5 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Sinker, Knuckle Curve and Slider, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 33.3% of everything he throws.
180 classified pitches in 2026.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Brown releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 44 degrees above horizontal and 1.8 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
180 tracked release points, averaging 6.1 feet off the ground.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Brown throws a strike on the first pitch 55.8% of the time.
43 plate appearances started in 2026.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
12.7 mph separates Brown's 4-seam fastball from his knuckle curve, 96.2 against 83.5.
60 and 40 of them respectively.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .272 expected average against them, against .238 on his fastballs.
53 of his breaking balls thrown.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Brown lives up in the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.63 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
180 located pitches in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Brown puts 64.3% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 51% when he is ahead.
56 located pitches behind, 49 ahead.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Brown's knuckle curve spins at 2,536 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
40 thrown in 2026.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Brown goes to the knuckle curve: 40.7% of his two-strike pitches, against 14.3% the rest of the time.
54 two-strike pitches in 2026.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Brown throws a fastball 69.6% of the time, against 57.1% when he is ahead.
56 pitches behind in the count, 49 ahead.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Brown throws a strike on the first pitch 55.8% of the time.
43 plate appearances started in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Brown puts 64.3% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 51% when he is ahead.
56 located pitches behind, 49 ahead.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Brown's 4-seam fastball carries 17.0 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
60 thrown, averaging 96.2 mph.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Brown's sinker moves 15.1 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
55 thrown, averaging 95.8 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Brown's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 94.0 mph, against 77.4 off his sinker.
60 and 55 of them thrown.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Brown throws the sinker 42.3% of the time against right-handers and 11.6% against left-handers.
111 pitches to right-handers, 69 to left-handers.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Brown's 4-seam fastball averages 96.2 mph, and has touched 98.2.
60 thrown, 33.3% of his pitches.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Brown works with 5 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Sinker, Knuckle Curve and Slider, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 33.3% of everything he throws.
180 classified pitches in 2026.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
12.7 mph separates Brown's 4-seam fastball from his knuckle curve, 96.2 against 83.5.
60 and 40 of them respectively.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Brown's knuckle curve spins at 2,536 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
40 thrown in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He leaves too much of it over the heart of the plate
27.2% of Brown's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, the part of the plate hitters do their damage on.
49 of 180 located pitches.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Brown lives up in the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.63 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
180 located pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Brown averages 92.3 mph across his arsenal, 84th percentile in the league.
180 pitches in 2026. 84th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 88th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Brown projects a .244 average, 95th percentile.
180 pitches in 2026. 95th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 30th in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 30% of the contact Brown gives up is hit hard, 88th percentile.
180 pitches in 2026. 88th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 68th in MLB.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Brown is weak: 85.6 mph off the bat on average, 85th percentile.
180 pitches in 2026. 85th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 84th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Brown lives in the strike zone: 46.1% of his pitches are in it, 82nd percentile.
180 pitches in 2026. 82nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 100th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Brown lands 50.4% of his fastballs in the zone and only 34% of his breaking balls.
115 of his fastballs, 53 of his breaking balls.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .272 expected average against them, against .238 on his fastballs.
53 of his breaking balls thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Brown releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 44 degrees above horizontal and 1.8 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
180 tracked release points, averaging 6.1 feet off the ground.
Astros