One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Hoglund's changeup moves 114.4 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
126 thrown, averaging 86.0 mph.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .427 expected average against them, against .325 on his offspeed pitches.
134 of his breaking balls thrown.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Hoglund throws a fastball 65.5% of the time, against 41.4% when he is ahead.
168 pitches behind in the count, 145 ahead.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Hoglund's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 95.5 mph, against 88.8 off his changeup.
196 and 126 of them thrown.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Hoglund's 4-seam fastball carries 18.9 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
196 thrown, averaging 93.6 mph.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Hoglund throws 42.5% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 49.3% with the bases empty.
80 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 467 with the bases empty.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 92.4 mph off the bat against Hoglund, 4th percentile.
547 pitches in 2025. 4th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 745th in MLB.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Hoglund lands 59.2% of his fastballs in the zone and only 33.3% of his offspeed pitches.
287 of his fastballs, 126 of his offspeed pitches.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Hoglund puts 64.3% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 37.9% when he is ahead.
168 located pitches behind, 145 ahead.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Hoglund releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 36 degrees above horizontal and 2.2 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
547 tracked release points, averaging 6.0 feet off the ground.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Hoglund throws the sinker 28% of the time against right-handers and 7.3% against left-handers.
246 pitches to right-handers, 301 to left-handers.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Hoglund projects a .378 average, 11th percentile.
547 pitches in 2025. 11th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 696th in MLB.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Hoglund lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.30 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
547 located pitches in 2025.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Hoglund's sweeper spins at 2,664 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
95 thrown in 2025.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Hoglund releases the ball 6.8 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
547 tracked pitches in 2025.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Hoglund goes to the changeup: 27.9% of his two-strike pitches, against 21.1% the rest of the time.
154 two-strike pitches in 2025.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Hoglund works with 5 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Changeup, Sweeper and Sinker, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 35.8% of everything he throws.
547 classified pitches in 2025.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
45.7% of the contact Hoglund gives up is hit hard, 21st percentile.
547 pitches in 2025. 21st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 616th in MLB.
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Hoglund lives in the strike zone: 48.3% of his pitches are in it, 65th percentile.
547 pitches in 2025. 65th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 271st in MLB.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
12.4 mph separates Hoglund's 4-seam fastball from his sweeper, 93.6 against 81.2.
196 and 95 of them respectively.
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Hoglund's fastball averages 93.7 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 93.1 past his 75th.
85 early fastballs, 47 late ones.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Hoglund throws a strike on the first pitch 58.3% of the time.
139 plate appearances started in 2025.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Hoglund's 4-seam fastball averages 93.6 mph, and has touched 95.6.
196 thrown, 35.8% of his pitches.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Hoglund's changeup moves 114.4 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
126 thrown, averaging 86.0 mph.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Hoglund's 4-seam fastball carries 18.9 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
196 thrown, averaging 93.6 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .427 expected average against them, against .325 on his offspeed pitches.
134 of his breaking balls thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Hoglund lands 59.2% of his fastballs in the zone and only 33.3% of his offspeed pitches.
287 of his fastballs, 126 of his offspeed pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Hoglund throws a fastball 65.5% of the time, against 41.4% when he is ahead.
168 pitches behind in the count, 145 ahead.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Hoglund puts 64.3% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 37.9% when he is ahead.
168 located pitches behind, 145 ahead.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Hoglund goes to the changeup: 27.9% of his two-strike pitches, against 21.1% the rest of the time.
154 two-strike pitches in 2025.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Hoglund throws a strike on the first pitch 58.3% of the time.
139 plate appearances started in 2025.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Hoglund's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 95.5 mph, against 88.8 off his changeup.
196 and 126 of them thrown.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Hoglund throws the sinker 28% of the time against right-handers and 7.3% against left-handers.
246 pitches to right-handers, 301 to left-handers.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Hoglund's sweeper spins at 2,664 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
95 thrown in 2025.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Hoglund works with 5 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Changeup, Sweeper and Sinker, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 35.8% of everything he throws.
547 classified pitches in 2025.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
12.4 mph separates Hoglund's 4-seam fastball from his sweeper, 93.6 against 81.2.
196 and 95 of them respectively.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Hoglund's 4-seam fastball averages 93.6 mph, and has touched 95.6.
196 thrown, 35.8% of his pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Hoglund throws 42.5% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 49.3% with the bases empty.
80 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 467 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 92.4 mph off the bat against Hoglund, 4th percentile.
547 pitches in 2025. 4th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 745th in MLB.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Hoglund projects a .378 average, 11th percentile.
547 pitches in 2025. 11th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 696th in MLB.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
45.7% of the contact Hoglund gives up is hit hard, 21st percentile.
547 pitches in 2025. 21st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 616th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Hoglund releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 36 degrees above horizontal and 2.2 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
547 tracked release points, averaging 6.0 feet off the ground.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Hoglund releases the ball 6.8 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
547 tracked pitches in 2025.
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Hoglund's fastball averages 93.7 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 93.1 past his 75th.
85 early fastballs, 47 late ones.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Hoglund lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.30 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
547 located pitches in 2025.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Hoglund lives in the strike zone: 48.3% of his pitches are in it, 65th percentile.
547 pitches in 2025. 65th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 271st in MLB.