This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Holmes goes to the slider: 51.1% of his two-strike pitches, against 29.1% the rest of the time.
611 two-strike pitches in 2026.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Holmes's sinker leaves the bat at 95.5 mph, against 88.4 off his changeup.
286 and 182 of them thrown.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Holmes lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 1.91 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
2382 located pitches in 2026.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Holmes throws a fastball 62.8% of the time, against 30.7% when he is ahead.
712 pitches behind in the count, 626 ahead.
He cannot find the zone often enough
Holmes works off the plate, with only 37.8% of his pitches in the zone, 10th percentile.
654 pitches in 2026. 10th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 481st in MLB.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Holmes's 4-seam fastball carries 14.8 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
690 thrown, averaging 94.2 mph.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Holmes lands 51.1% of his fastballs in the zone and only 25.9% of his breaking balls.
313 of his fastballs, 317 of his breaking balls.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Holmes releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 34 degrees above horizontal and 2.2 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
2382 tracked release points, averaging 5.7 feet off the ground.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Holmes's sinker moves 14.2 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
286 thrown, averaging 93.3 mph.
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Holmes's stuff spins at 2,514 rpm, 89th percentile in the league.
654 pitches in 2026. 89th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 58th in MLB.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Holmes's curveball spins at 2,773 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
217 thrown in 2026.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Holmes throws 33.8% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 38.9% with the bases empty.
145 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 509 with the bases empty.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Holmes works with 6 pitches: Slider, 4-Seam Fastball, Sinker and Curveball, and a little else. The slider is 34.8% of everything he throws.
2382 classified pitches in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Holmes puts 57.4% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 38.7% when he is ahead.
712 located pitches behind, 626 ahead.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .346 expected average against them, against .298 on his fastballs.
317 of his breaking balls thrown.
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Holmes releases the ball 6.0 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
2231 tracked pitches in 2026.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
16.6% of Holmes's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
395 of 2382 located pitches.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
44.3% of the contact Holmes gives up is hit hard, 29th percentile.
654 pitches in 2026. 29th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 380th in MLB.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Holmes throws the sinker 20.4% of the time against right-handers and 6.1% against left-handers.
980 pitches to right-handers, 1402 to left-handers.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
11.2 mph separates Holmes's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 94.2 against 83.0.
690 and 217 of them respectively.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 89.4 mph off the bat against Holmes, 34th percentile.
654 pitches in 2026. 34th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 354th in MLB.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Holmes's 4-seam fastball averages 94.2 mph, and has touched 97.2.
690 thrown, 29% of his pitches.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Holmes throws a strike on the first pitch 58.7% of the time.
642 plate appearances started in 2026.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Holmes projects a .312 average, 62nd percentile.
654 pitches in 2026. 62nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 205th in MLB.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Holmes goes to the slider: 51.1% of his two-strike pitches, against 29.1% the rest of the time.
611 two-strike pitches in 2026.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Holmes throws a fastball 62.8% of the time, against 30.7% when he is ahead.
712 pitches behind in the count, 626 ahead.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Holmes puts 57.4% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 38.7% when he is ahead.
712 located pitches behind, 626 ahead.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Holmes throws a strike on the first pitch 58.7% of the time.
642 plate appearances started in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Holmes's sinker leaves the bat at 95.5 mph, against 88.4 off his changeup.
286 and 182 of them thrown.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Holmes's curveball spins at 2,773 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
217 thrown in 2026.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Holmes works with 6 pitches: Slider, 4-Seam Fastball, Sinker and Curveball, and a little else. The slider is 34.8% of everything he throws.
2382 classified pitches in 2026.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Holmes throws the sinker 20.4% of the time against right-handers and 6.1% against left-handers.
980 pitches to right-handers, 1402 to left-handers.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
11.2 mph separates Holmes's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 94.2 against 83.0.
690 and 217 of them respectively.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Holmes's 4-seam fastball averages 94.2 mph, and has touched 97.2.
690 thrown, 29% of his pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Holmes lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 1.91 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
2382 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
16.6% of Holmes's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
395 of 2382 located pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Holmes works off the plate, with only 37.8% of his pitches in the zone, 10th percentile.
654 pitches in 2026. 10th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 481st in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Holmes's 4-seam fastball carries 14.8 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
690 thrown, averaging 94.2 mph.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Holmes's sinker moves 14.2 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
286 thrown, averaging 93.3 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Holmes lands 51.1% of his fastballs in the zone and only 25.9% of his breaking balls.
313 of his fastballs, 317 of his breaking balls.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .346 expected average against them, against .298 on his fastballs.
317 of his breaking balls thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Holmes releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 34 degrees above horizontal and 2.2 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
2382 tracked release points, averaging 5.7 feet off the ground.
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Holmes releases the ball 6.0 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
2231 tracked pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Holmes's stuff spins at 2,514 rpm, 89th percentile in the league.
654 pitches in 2026. 89th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 58th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Holmes throws 33.8% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 38.9% with the bases empty.
145 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 509 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
Too much of the contact against him is loud
44.3% of the contact Holmes gives up is hit hard, 29th percentile.
654 pitches in 2026. 29th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 380th in MLB.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 89.4 mph off the bat against Holmes, 34th percentile.
654 pitches in 2026. 34th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 354th in MLB.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Holmes projects a .312 average, 62nd percentile.
654 pitches in 2026. 62nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 205th in MLB.
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