When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Graceffo throws a fastball 57.5% of the time, against 32.2% when he is ahead.
355 pitches behind in the count, 326 ahead.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Graceffo's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 95.1 mph, against 75.1 off his sinker.
465 and 88 of them thrown.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Graceffo's curveball carries 15.6 inches of drop against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
108 thrown, averaging 83.4 mph.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 92.2 mph off the bat against Graceffo, 7th percentile.
307 pitches in 2026. 7th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 500th in MLB.
He cannot find the zone often enough
Graceffo works off the plate, with only 39.9% of his pitches in the zone, 21st percentile.
307 pitches in 2026. 21st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 423rd in MLB.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Graceffo lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.21 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
1221 located pitches in 2026.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Graceffo throws the changeup 24.3% of the time against left-handers and 3.1% against right-handers.
621 pitches to right-handers, 601 to left-handers.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Graceffo's changeup moves 13.5 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
165 thrown, averaging 88.2 mph.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Graceffo goes to the curveball: 15.4% of his two-strike pitches, against 6.3% the rest of the time.
345 two-strike pitches in 2026.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Graceffo throws 36.1% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 40.8% with the bases empty.
62 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 245 with the bases empty.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Graceffo's 4-seam fastball averages 95.3 mph, and has touched 98.1.
465 thrown, 38.1% of his pitches.
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Graceffo averages 91.1 mph across his arsenal, 70th percentile in the league.
307 pitches in 2026. 70th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 161st in MLB.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Graceffo puts 54.9% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 35.6% when he is ahead.
355 located pitches behind, 326 ahead.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Graceffo's curveball spins at 2,733 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
108 thrown in 2026.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .343 expected average against them, against .305 on his fastballs.
125 of his breaking balls thrown.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
45.6% of the contact Graceffo gives up is hit hard, 23rd percentile.
307 pitches in 2026. 23rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 412th in MLB.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Graceffo puts 38.6% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 41.4% of his pitches to left-handers.
166 pitches to right-handed hitters, 141 to left-handed hitters.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Graceffo works with 5 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Slider, Changeup and Curveball, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 38.1% of everything he throws.
1222 classified pitches in 2026.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Graceffo's stuff spins at 2,175 rpm, 32nd percentile in the league.
307 pitches in 2026. 32nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 366th in MLB.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Graceffo lands 45.3% of his fastballs in the zone and only 36% of his breaking balls.
151 of his fastballs, 125 of his breaking balls.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
12.0 mph separates Graceffo's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 95.3 against 83.4.
465 and 108 of them respectively.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
18.8% of Graceffo's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
229 of 1221 located pitches.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Graceffo projects a .308 average, 68th percentile.
307 pitches in 2026. 68th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 175th in MLB.
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Graceffo releases the ball 6.3 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
1154 tracked pitches in 2026.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Graceffo throws a strike on the first pitch 58% of the time.
324 plate appearances started in 2026.
One pitch exists only to make the hitter think
Graceffo has thrown 12 cutters this season, 1% of his pitches, at 91.6 mph: a look rather than a weapon.
1222 classified pitches in 2026.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Graceffo throws a fastball 57.5% of the time, against 32.2% when he is ahead.
355 pitches behind in the count, 326 ahead.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Graceffo goes to the curveball: 15.4% of his two-strike pitches, against 6.3% the rest of the time.
345 two-strike pitches in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Graceffo puts 54.9% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 35.6% when he is ahead.
355 located pitches behind, 326 ahead.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Graceffo throws a strike on the first pitch 58% of the time.
324 plate appearances started in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Graceffo's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 95.1 mph, against 75.1 off his sinker.
465 and 88 of them thrown.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Graceffo throws the changeup 24.3% of the time against left-handers and 3.1% against right-handers.
621 pitches to right-handers, 601 to left-handers.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Graceffo's 4-seam fastball averages 95.3 mph, and has touched 98.1.
465 thrown, 38.1% of his pitches.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Graceffo's curveball spins at 2,733 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
108 thrown in 2026.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Graceffo works with 5 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Slider, Changeup and Curveball, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 38.1% of everything he throws.
1222 classified pitches in 2026.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
12.0 mph separates Graceffo's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 95.3 against 83.4.
465 and 108 of them respectively.
One pitch exists only to make the hitter think
Graceffo has thrown 12 cutters this season, 1% of his pitches, at 91.6 mph: a look rather than a weapon.
1222 classified pitches in 2026.
Show more
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Graceffo's curveball carries 15.6 inches of drop against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
108 thrown, averaging 83.4 mph.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Graceffo's changeup moves 13.5 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
165 thrown, averaging 88.2 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 92.2 mph off the bat against Graceffo, 7th percentile.
307 pitches in 2026. 7th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 500th in MLB.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
45.6% of the contact Graceffo gives up is hit hard, 23rd percentile.
307 pitches in 2026. 23rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 412th in MLB.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Graceffo projects a .308 average, 68th percentile.
307 pitches in 2026. 68th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 175th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Graceffo works off the plate, with only 39.9% of his pitches in the zone, 21st percentile.
307 pitches in 2026. 21st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 423rd in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Graceffo lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.21 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
1221 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
18.8% of Graceffo's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
229 of 1221 located pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Graceffo throws 36.1% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 40.8% with the bases empty.
62 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 245 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Graceffo averages 91.1 mph across his arsenal, 70th percentile in the league.
307 pitches in 2026. 70th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 161st in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .343 expected average against them, against .305 on his fastballs.
125 of his breaking balls thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Graceffo lands 45.3% of his fastballs in the zone and only 36% of his breaking balls.
151 of his fastballs, 125 of his breaking balls.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Graceffo puts 38.6% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 41.4% of his pitches to left-handers.
166 pitches to right-handed hitters, 141 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Graceffo's stuff spins at 2,175 rpm, 32nd percentile in the league.
307 pitches in 2026. 32nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 366th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Graceffo releases the ball 6.3 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
1154 tracked pitches in 2026.
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