He falls behind hitters far too often
Miller throws a strike on the first pitch 39.6% of the time.
48 plate appearances started in 2026.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Miller's sinker averages 97.0 mph, and has touched 99.5.
104 thrown, 44.3% of his pitches.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Miller's sinker moves 17.8 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
104 thrown, averaging 97.0 mph.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .269 expected average against them, against .178 on his breaking balls.
126 of his fastballs thrown.
He cannot find the zone often enough
Miller works off the plate, with only 37.4% of his pitches in the zone, 9th percentile.
235 pitches in 2026. 9th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 488th in MLB.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Miller throws the sinker 61.1% of the time against left-handers and 33.8% against right-handers.
145 pitches to right-handers, 90 to left-handers.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
13.6% of Miller's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
32 of 235 located pitches.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Miller puts 59% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 25% when he is ahead.
83 located pitches behind, 48 ahead.
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Miller averages 92.1 mph across his arsenal, 80th percentile in the league.
235 pitches in 2026. 80th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 110th in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 28% of the contact Miller gives up is hit hard, 91st percentile.
235 pitches in 2026. 91st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 48th in MLB.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Miller lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.16 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
235 located pitches in 2026.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Miller projects a .274 average, 88th percentile.
235 pitches in 2026. 88th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 63rd in MLB.
He lives on one side of the plate
Miller works away from right-handers: his average pitch lands 4.0 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
235 located pitches in 2026.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Miller throws a fastball 50.6% of the time, against 37.5% when he is ahead.
83 pitches behind in the count, 48 ahead.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Miller works with 4 pitches: Sinker, Slider, 4-Seam Fastball and Changeup. The sinker is 44.3% of everything he throws.
235 classified pitches in 2026.
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Miller's stuff spins at 2,396 rpm, 75th percentile in the league.
235 pitches in 2026. 75th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 133rd in MLB.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Miller is weak: 85.6 mph off the bat on average, 84th percentile.
235 pitches in 2026. 84th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 87th in MLB.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Miller lands 44.4% of his fastballs in the zone and only 31% of his breaking balls.
126 of his fastballs, 87 of his breaking balls.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Miller's slider spins at 2,584 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
87 thrown in 2026.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Miller goes to the 4-seam fastball: 13.8% of his two-strike pitches, against 7.1% the rest of the time.
80 two-strike pitches in 2026.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Miller releases the ball from a three-quarters slot, about 54 degrees above horizontal and 1.3 feet to the first-base side of the rubber.
235 tracked release points, averaging 6.3 feet off the ground.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Miller releases the ball 6.6 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
167 tracked pitches in 2026.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
11.0 mph separates Miller's sinker from his slider, 97.0 against 86.0.
104 and 87 of them respectively.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Miller's sinker carries 8.5 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
104 thrown, averaging 97.0 mph.
Show more
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He falls behind hitters far too often
Miller throws a strike on the first pitch 39.6% of the time.
48 plate appearances started in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Miller puts 59% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 25% when he is ahead.
83 located pitches behind, 48 ahead.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Miller throws a fastball 50.6% of the time, against 37.5% when he is ahead.
83 pitches behind in the count, 48 ahead.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Miller goes to the 4-seam fastball: 13.8% of his two-strike pitches, against 7.1% the rest of the time.
80 two-strike pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Miller's sinker averages 97.0 mph, and has touched 99.5.
104 thrown, 44.3% of his pitches.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Miller throws the sinker 61.1% of the time against left-handers and 33.8% against right-handers.
145 pitches to right-handers, 90 to left-handers.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Miller works with 4 pitches: Sinker, Slider, 4-Seam Fastball and Changeup. The sinker is 44.3% of everything he throws.
235 classified pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Miller's slider spins at 2,584 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
87 thrown in 2026.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
11.0 mph separates Miller's sinker from his slider, 97.0 against 86.0.
104 and 87 of them respectively.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Miller's sinker moves 17.8 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
104 thrown, averaging 97.0 mph.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Miller's sinker carries 8.5 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
104 thrown, averaging 97.0 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .269 expected average against them, against .178 on his breaking balls.
126 of his fastballs thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Miller lands 44.4% of his fastballs in the zone and only 31% of his breaking balls.
126 of his fastballs, 87 of his breaking balls.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Miller works off the plate, with only 37.4% of his pitches in the zone, 9th percentile.
235 pitches in 2026. 9th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 488th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
13.6% of Miller's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
32 of 235 located pitches.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Miller lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.16 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
235 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on one side of the plate
Miller works away from right-handers: his average pitch lands 4.0 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
235 located pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Miller averages 92.1 mph across his arsenal, 80th percentile in the league.
235 pitches in 2026. 80th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 110th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 28% of the contact Miller gives up is hit hard, 91st percentile.
235 pitches in 2026. 91st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 48th in MLB.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Miller projects a .274 average, 88th percentile.
235 pitches in 2026. 88th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 63rd in MLB.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Miller is weak: 85.6 mph off the bat on average, 84th percentile.
235 pitches in 2026. 84th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 87th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Miller's stuff spins at 2,396 rpm, 75th percentile in the league.
235 pitches in 2026. 75th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 133rd in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Miller releases the ball from a three-quarters slot, about 54 degrees above horizontal and 1.3 feet to the first-base side of the rubber.
235 tracked release points, averaging 6.3 feet off the ground.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Miller releases the ball 6.6 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
167 tracked pitches in 2026.
Red Sox