Both sides hit him about the same
48.3% of the contact right-handers make against Lucas is hit hard, against 23.1% of what left-handers make.
304 pitches to right-handed hitters, 134 to left-handed hitters.
The home runs are what is undoing his season
Lucas has given up 5 tracked home runs, 4 of them to left field, the longest 444 feet.
5 tracked home runs allowed in 2025.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .460 expected average against them, against .324 on his fastballs.
96 of his breaking balls thrown.
He handles both hands about the same
Right-handed hitters project to a .384 average against Lucas and left-handers to .255.
304 pitches to right-handed hitters, 134 to left-handed hitters.
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
33.3% of the contact against Lucas with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 47.3% with the bases empty.
84 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 354 with the bases empty.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Lucas's slider leaves the bat at 96.4 mph, against 87.1 off his changeup.
53 and 92 of them thrown.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 91.2 mph off the bat against Lucas, 10th percentile.
438 pitches in 2025. 10th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 700th in MLB.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Lucas projects a .361 average, 20th percentile.
438 pitches in 2025. 20th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 628th in MLB.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Lucas's stuff spins at 2,052 rpm, 11th percentile in the league.
438 pitches in 2025. 11th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 695th in MLB.
One side of the plate does most of the damage against him
Right-handed hitters average 91.9 mph off the bat against Lucas and left-handers 87.7.
60 tracked batted balls from right-handers, 13 from left-handers.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
43.8% of the contact Lucas gives up is hit hard, 32nd percentile.
438 pitches in 2025. 32nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 530th in MLB.
Hitters tend to hit him to one part of the field
42.5% of the balls put in play against Lucas have gone to left field.
31 of 73 located batted balls allowed.
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The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
Both sides hit him about the same
48.3% of the contact right-handers make against Lucas is hit hard, against 23.1% of what left-handers make.
304 pitches to right-handed hitters, 134 to left-handed hitters.
He handles both hands about the same
Right-handed hitters project to a .384 average against Lucas and left-handers to .255.
304 pitches to right-handed hitters, 134 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The home runs are what is undoing his season
Lucas has given up 5 tracked home runs, 4 of them to left field, the longest 444 feet.
5 tracked home runs allowed in 2025.
One side of the plate does most of the damage against him
Right-handed hitters average 91.9 mph off the bat against Lucas and left-handers 87.7.
60 tracked batted balls from right-handers, 13 from left-handers.
Hitters tend to hit him to one part of the field
42.5% of the balls put in play against Lucas have gone to left field.
31 of 73 located batted balls allowed.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .460 expected average against them, against .324 on his fastballs.
96 of his breaking balls thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
33.3% of the contact against Lucas with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 47.3% with the bases empty.
84 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 354 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Lucas's slider leaves the bat at 96.4 mph, against 87.1 off his changeup.
53 and 92 of them thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 91.2 mph off the bat against Lucas, 10th percentile.
438 pitches in 2025. 10th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 700th in MLB.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Lucas projects a .361 average, 20th percentile.
438 pitches in 2025. 20th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 628th in MLB.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
43.8% of the contact Lucas gives up is hit hard, 32nd percentile.
438 pitches in 2025. 32nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 530th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Lucas's stuff spins at 2,052 rpm, 11th percentile in the league.
438 pitches in 2025. 11th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 695th in MLB.
Blue Jays
Career team 2024–2025