The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Guerra projects a .281 average, 93rd percentile.
1118 pitches in 2021. 93rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 59th in MLB.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Guerra's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 89.8 mph, against 80.8 off his changeup.
420 and 339 of them thrown.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Guerra is weak: 85.4 mph off the bat on average, 89th percentile.
1118 pitches in 2021. 89th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 89th in MLB.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .300 expected average against them, against .225 on his breaking balls.
512 of his fastballs thrown.
One side of the plate does most of the damage against him
Right-handed hitters average 87.1 mph off the bat against Guerra and left-handers 82.8.
111 tracked batted balls from right-handers, 71 from left-handers.
He cannot find the zone often enough
Guerra works off the plate, with only 40.6% of his pitches in the zone, 10th percentile.
1118 pitches in 2021. 10th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 721st in MLB.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Guerra averages 85.7 mph across his arsenal, 13th percentile in the league.
1118 pitches in 2021. 13th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 701st in MLB.
The home runs are what is undoing his season
Guerra has given up 8 tracked home runs, 5 of them to left field, the longest 426 feet.
8 tracked home runs allowed in 2021.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Guerra's stuff spins at 2,047 rpm, 17th percentile in the league.
1118 pitches in 2021. 17th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 664th in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 34.1% of the contact Guerra gives up is hit hard, 79th percentile.
1118 pitches in 2021. 79th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 168th in MLB.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
33% of the contact against Guerra is on the ground and 47.5% of it is in the air.
179 tracked batted balls allowed.
Both sides hit him about the same
36% of the contact right-handers make against Guerra is hit hard, against 31% of what left-handers make.
651 pitches to right-handed hitters, 467 to left-handed hitters.
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
37.5% of the contact against Guerra with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 33.1% with the bases empty.
225 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 893 with the bases empty.
He handles both hands about the same
Right-handed hitters project to a .273 average against Guerra and left-handers to .295.
651 pitches to right-handed hitters, 467 to left-handed hitters.
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The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Guerra projects a .281 average, 93rd percentile.
1118 pitches in 2021. 93rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 59th in MLB.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Guerra is weak: 85.4 mph off the bat on average, 89th percentile.
1118 pitches in 2021. 89th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 89th in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 34.1% of the contact Guerra gives up is hit hard, 79th percentile.
1118 pitches in 2021. 79th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 168th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Guerra's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 89.8 mph, against 80.8 off his changeup.
420 and 339 of them thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .300 expected average against them, against .225 on his breaking balls.
512 of his fastballs thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One side of the plate does most of the damage against him
Right-handed hitters average 87.1 mph off the bat against Guerra and left-handers 82.8.
111 tracked batted balls from right-handers, 71 from left-handers.
The home runs are what is undoing his season
Guerra has given up 8 tracked home runs, 5 of them to left field, the longest 426 feet.
8 tracked home runs allowed in 2021.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
33% of the contact against Guerra is on the ground and 47.5% of it is in the air.
179 tracked batted balls allowed.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Guerra works off the plate, with only 40.6% of his pitches in the zone, 10th percentile.
1118 pitches in 2021. 10th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 721st in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Guerra averages 85.7 mph across his arsenal, 13th percentile in the league.
1118 pitches in 2021. 13th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 701st in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Guerra's stuff spins at 2,047 rpm, 17th percentile in the league.
1118 pitches in 2021. 17th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 664th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
Both sides hit him about the same
36% of the contact right-handers make against Guerra is hit hard, against 31% of what left-handers make.
651 pitches to right-handed hitters, 467 to left-handed hitters.
He handles both hands about the same
Right-handed hitters project to a .273 average against Guerra and left-handers to .295.
651 pitches to right-handed hitters, 467 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
37.5% of the contact against Guerra with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 33.1% with the bases empty.
225 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 893 with the bases empty.
Angels
Career team 2016–2017