One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Guerra's sinker moves 108.2 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
86 thrown, averaging 90.8 mph.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Guerra puts 44.1% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 35.8% of his pitches to left-handers.
651 pitches to right-handed hitters, 467 to left-handed hitters.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Guerra's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 89.8 mph, against 80.8 off his changeup.
420 and 339 of them thrown.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Guerra's 4-seam fastball carries 17.2 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
420 thrown, averaging 90.8 mph.
He cannot find the zone often enough
Guerra works off the plate, with only 40.6% of his pitches in the zone, 10th percentile.
1118 pitches in 2021. 10th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 721st in MLB.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Guerra goes to the changeup: 40.3% of his two-strike pitches, against 26.1% the rest of the time.
330 two-strike pitches in 2021.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Guerra lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.09 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
1118 located pitches in 2021.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Guerra averages 85.7 mph across his arsenal, 13th percentile in the league.
1118 pitches in 2021. 13th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 701st in MLB.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Guerra's 4-seam fastball averages 90.8 mph, and has touched 94.2.
420 thrown, 37.6% of his pitches.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .300 expected average against them, against .225 on his breaking balls.
512 of his fastballs thrown.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Guerra throws a fastball 56.4% of the time, against 37.5% when he is ahead.
326 pitches behind in the count, 312 ahead.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Guerra releases the ball 7.1 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
1118 tracked pitches in 2021.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Guerra projects a .281 average, 93rd percentile.
1118 pitches in 2021. 93rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 59th in MLB.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Guerra throws the changeup 43.5% of the time against left-handers and 20.9% against right-handers.
651 pitches to right-handers, 467 to left-handers.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Guerra lands 48.8% of his fastballs in the zone and only 29.6% of his breaking balls.
512 of his fastballs, 267 of his breaking balls.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Guerra is weak: 85.4 mph off the bat on average, 89th percentile.
1118 pitches in 2021. 89th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 89th in MLB.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Guerra's stuff spins at 2,047 rpm, 17th percentile in the league.
1118 pitches in 2021. 17th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 664th in MLB.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
14.9% of Guerra's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
167 of 1118 located pitches.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Guerra puts 50.9% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 30.4% when he is ahead.
326 located pitches behind, 312 ahead.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
13.8 mph separates Guerra's sinker from his curveball, 90.8 against 77.0.
86 and 105 of them respectively.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Guerra throws 43.6% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 39.9% with the bases empty.
225 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 893 with the bases empty.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 34.1% of the contact Guerra gives up is hit hard, 79th percentile.
1118 pitches in 2021. 79th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 168th in MLB.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Guerra works with 5 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Changeup, Slider and Curveball, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 37.6% of everything he throws.
1118 classified pitches in 2021.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Guerra throws a strike on the first pitch 56.5% of the time.
271 plate appearances started in 2021.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Guerra releases the ball from a three-quarters slot, about 54 degrees above horizontal and 1.2 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
1118 tracked release points, averaging 6.2 feet off the ground.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Guerra's slider spins at 2,308 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
160 thrown in 2021.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Guerra's sinker moves 108.2 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
86 thrown, averaging 90.8 mph.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Guerra's 4-seam fastball carries 17.2 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
420 thrown, averaging 90.8 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Guerra puts 44.1% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 35.8% of his pitches to left-handers.
651 pitches to right-handed hitters, 467 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Guerra's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 89.8 mph, against 80.8 off his changeup.
420 and 339 of them thrown.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Guerra's 4-seam fastball averages 90.8 mph, and has touched 94.2.
420 thrown, 37.6% of his pitches.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Guerra throws the changeup 43.5% of the time against left-handers and 20.9% against right-handers.
651 pitches to right-handers, 467 to left-handers.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
13.8 mph separates Guerra's sinker from his curveball, 90.8 against 77.0.
86 and 105 of them respectively.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Guerra works with 5 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Changeup, Slider and Curveball, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 37.6% of everything he throws.
1118 classified pitches in 2021.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Guerra's slider spins at 2,308 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
160 thrown in 2021.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Guerra works off the plate, with only 40.6% of his pitches in the zone, 10th percentile.
1118 pitches in 2021. 10th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 721st in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Guerra goes to the changeup: 40.3% of his two-strike pitches, against 26.1% the rest of the time.
330 two-strike pitches in 2021.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Guerra throws a fastball 56.4% of the time, against 37.5% when he is ahead.
326 pitches behind in the count, 312 ahead.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Guerra puts 50.9% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 30.4% when he is ahead.
326 located pitches behind, 312 ahead.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Guerra throws a strike on the first pitch 56.5% of the time.
271 plate appearances started in 2021.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Guerra lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.09 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
1118 located pitches in 2021.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
14.9% of Guerra's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
167 of 1118 located pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Guerra averages 85.7 mph across his arsenal, 13th percentile in the league.
1118 pitches in 2021. 13th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 701st in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .300 expected average against them, against .225 on his breaking balls.
512 of his fastballs thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Guerra lands 48.8% of his fastballs in the zone and only 29.6% of his breaking balls.
512 of his fastballs, 267 of his breaking balls.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Guerra releases the ball 7.1 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
1118 tracked pitches in 2021.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Guerra releases the ball from a three-quarters slot, about 54 degrees above horizontal and 1.2 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
1118 tracked release points, averaging 6.2 feet off the ground.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Guerra projects a .281 average, 93rd percentile.
1118 pitches in 2021. 93rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 59th in MLB.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Guerra is weak: 85.4 mph off the bat on average, 89th percentile.
1118 pitches in 2021. 89th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 89th in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 34.1% of the contact Guerra gives up is hit hard, 79th percentile.
1118 pitches in 2021. 79th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 168th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Guerra's stuff spins at 2,047 rpm, 17th percentile in the league.
1118 pitches in 2021. 17th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 664th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Guerra throws 43.6% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 39.9% with the bases empty.
225 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 893 with the bases empty.
Angels
Career team 2016–2017