This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Bednar goes to the splitter: 45.7% of his two-strike pitches, against 20.4% the rest of the time.
129 two-strike pitches in 2026.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .388 expected average against them, against .254 on his offspeed pitches.
105 of his breaking balls thrown.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Bednar throws 31.2% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 47.7% with the bases empty.
109 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 245 with the bases empty.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
19.4 mph separates Bednar's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 95.8 against 76.3.
144 and 105 of them respectively.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Bednar's 4-seam fastball carries 17.5 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
144 thrown, averaging 95.8 mph.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Bednar's splitter leaves the bat at 87.1 mph, against 80.6 off his curveball.
105 and 105 of them thrown.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Bednar puts 45.8% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 39.6% of his pitches to left-handers.
169 pitches to right-handed hitters, 185 to left-handed hitters.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Bednar is weak: 84.7 mph off the bat on average, 89th percentile.
354 pitches in 2026. 89th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 59th in MLB.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Bednar puts 62.7% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 39.4% when he is ahead.
83 located pitches behind, 127 ahead.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Bednar's 4-seam fastball averages 95.8 mph, and has touched 97.4.
144 thrown, 40.7% of his pitches.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Bednar lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.28 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
350 located pitches in 2026.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Bednar releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 43 degrees above horizontal and 1.6 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
350 tracked release points, averaging 5.8 feet off the ground.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Bednar averages 88.5 mph across his arsenal, 33rd percentile in the league.
354 pitches in 2026. 33rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 358th in MLB.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Bednar's stuff spins at 2,150 rpm, 28th percentile in the league.
354 pitches in 2026. 28th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 386th in MLB.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Bednar works with 3 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Curveball and Splitter. The 4-seam fastball is 40.7% of everything he throws.
354 classified pitches in 2026.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Bednar projects a .300 average, 75th percentile.
354 pitches in 2026. 75th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 137th in MLB.
He lives on one side of the plate
Bednar works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 1.7 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
350 located pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Bednar's splitter moves 9.6 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
105 thrown, averaging 90.6 mph.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Bednar lands 49.5% of his breaking balls in the zone and only 39.4% of his offspeed pitches.
105 of his breaking balls, 105 of his offspeed pitches.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
18% of Bednar's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
63 of 350 located pitches.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Bednar throws a strike on the first pitch 61.9% of the time.
84 plate appearances started in 2026.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 35.7% of the contact Bednar gives up is hit hard, 67th percentile.
354 pitches in 2026. 67th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 176th in MLB.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Bednar's curveball spins at 2,416 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
105 thrown in 2026.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Bednar goes to the splitter: 45.7% of his two-strike pitches, against 20.4% the rest of the time.
129 two-strike pitches in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Bednar puts 62.7% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 39.4% when he is ahead.
83 located pitches behind, 127 ahead.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Bednar throws a strike on the first pitch 61.9% of the time.
84 plate appearances started in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .388 expected average against them, against .254 on his offspeed pitches.
105 of his breaking balls thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Bednar lands 49.5% of his breaking balls in the zone and only 39.4% of his offspeed pitches.
105 of his breaking balls, 105 of his offspeed pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Bednar throws 31.2% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 47.7% with the bases empty.
109 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 245 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
19.4 mph separates Bednar's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 95.8 against 76.3.
144 and 105 of them respectively.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Bednar's splitter leaves the bat at 87.1 mph, against 80.6 off his curveball.
105 and 105 of them thrown.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Bednar's 4-seam fastball averages 95.8 mph, and has touched 97.4.
144 thrown, 40.7% of his pitches.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Bednar works with 3 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Curveball and Splitter. The 4-seam fastball is 40.7% of everything he throws.
354 classified pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Bednar's curveball spins at 2,416 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
105 thrown in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Bednar's 4-seam fastball carries 17.5 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
144 thrown, averaging 95.8 mph.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Bednar's splitter moves 9.6 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
105 thrown, averaging 90.6 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Bednar puts 45.8% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 39.6% of his pitches to left-handers.
169 pitches to right-handed hitters, 185 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Bednar is weak: 84.7 mph off the bat on average, 89th percentile.
354 pitches in 2026. 89th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 59th in MLB.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Bednar projects a .300 average, 75th percentile.
354 pitches in 2026. 75th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 137th in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 35.7% of the contact Bednar gives up is hit hard, 67th percentile.
354 pitches in 2026. 67th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 176th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Bednar lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.28 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
350 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on one side of the plate
Bednar works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 1.7 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
350 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
18% of Bednar's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
63 of 350 located pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Bednar releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 43 degrees above horizontal and 1.6 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
350 tracked release points, averaging 5.8 feet off the ground.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Bednar averages 88.5 mph across his arsenal, 33rd percentile in the league.
354 pitches in 2026. 33rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 358th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Bednar's stuff spins at 2,150 rpm, 28th percentile in the league.
354 pitches in 2026. 28th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 386th in MLB.
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