This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Bednar goes to the splitter: 54% of his two-strike pitches, against 34.8% the rest of the time.
387 two-strike pitches in 2026.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .388 expected average against them, against .254 on his offspeed pitches.
105 of his breaking balls thrown.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Bednar throws 31.2% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 47.7% with the bases empty.
109 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 245 with the bases empty.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
19.1 mph separates Bednar's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 96.1 against 77.0.
468 and 210 of them respectively.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Bednar's 4-seam fastball carries 17.5 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
468 thrown, averaging 96.1 mph.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Bednar puts 45.8% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 39.6% of his pitches to left-handers.
169 pitches to right-handed hitters, 185 to left-handed hitters.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Bednar's 4-seam fastball averages 96.1 mph, and has touched 98.5.
468 thrown, 40.6% of his pitches.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Bednar lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.17 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
1150 located pitches in 2026.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Bednar is weak: 84.7 mph off the bat on average, 89th percentile.
354 pitches in 2026. 89th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 59th in MLB.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Bednar throws a fastball 48.6% of the time, against 35.4% when he is ahead.
280 pitches behind in the count, 379 ahead.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Bednar puts 57% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 37.8% when he is ahead.
279 located pitches behind, 378 ahead.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Bednar's splitter leaves the bat at 86.9 mph, against 83.2 off his curveball.
476 and 210 of them thrown.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Bednar averages 88.5 mph across his arsenal, 33rd percentile in the league.
354 pitches in 2026. 33rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 358th in MLB.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Bednar releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 44 degrees above horizontal and 1.6 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
1150 tracked release points, averaging 5.8 feet off the ground.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Bednar's stuff spins at 2,150 rpm, 28th percentile in the league.
354 pitches in 2026. 28th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 386th in MLB.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Bednar works with 3 pitches: Splitter, 4-Seam Fastball and Curveball. The splitter is 41.2% of everything he throws.
1154 classified pitches in 2026.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Bednar projects a .300 average, 75th percentile.
354 pitches in 2026. 75th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 137th in MLB.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Bednar lands 49.5% of his breaking balls in the zone and only 39.4% of his offspeed pitches.
105 of his breaking balls, 105 of his offspeed pitches.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
18.3% of Bednar's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
211 of 1150 located pitches.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Bednar's splitter moves 8.8 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
476 thrown, averaging 90.8 mph.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Bednar throws a strike on the first pitch 62.4% of the time.
279 plate appearances started in 2026.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 35.7% of the contact Bednar gives up is hit hard, 67th percentile.
354 pitches in 2026. 67th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 176th in MLB.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Bednar's curveball spins at 2,408 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
210 thrown in 2026.
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Bednar releases the ball 6.5 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
1064 tracked pitches in 2026.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Bednar goes to the splitter: 54% of his two-strike pitches, against 34.8% the rest of the time.
387 two-strike pitches in 2026.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Bednar throws a fastball 48.6% of the time, against 35.4% when he is ahead.
280 pitches behind in the count, 379 ahead.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Bednar puts 57% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 37.8% when he is ahead.
279 located pitches behind, 378 ahead.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Bednar throws a strike on the first pitch 62.4% of the time.
279 plate appearances started in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .388 expected average against them, against .254 on his offspeed pitches.
105 of his breaking balls thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Bednar lands 49.5% of his breaking balls in the zone and only 39.4% of his offspeed pitches.
105 of his breaking balls, 105 of his offspeed pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Bednar throws 31.2% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 47.7% with the bases empty.
109 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 245 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
19.1 mph separates Bednar's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 96.1 against 77.0.
468 and 210 of them respectively.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Bednar's 4-seam fastball averages 96.1 mph, and has touched 98.5.
468 thrown, 40.6% of his pitches.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Bednar's splitter leaves the bat at 86.9 mph, against 83.2 off his curveball.
476 and 210 of them thrown.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Bednar works with 3 pitches: Splitter, 4-Seam Fastball and Curveball. The splitter is 41.2% of everything he throws.
1154 classified pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Bednar's curveball spins at 2,408 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
210 thrown in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Bednar's 4-seam fastball carries 17.5 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
468 thrown, averaging 96.1 mph.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Bednar's splitter moves 8.8 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
476 thrown, averaging 90.8 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Bednar puts 45.8% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 39.6% of his pitches to left-handers.
169 pitches to right-handed hitters, 185 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Bednar lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.17 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
1150 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
18.3% of Bednar's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
211 of 1150 located pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Bednar is weak: 84.7 mph off the bat on average, 89th percentile.
354 pitches in 2026. 89th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 59th in MLB.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Bednar projects a .300 average, 75th percentile.
354 pitches in 2026. 75th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 137th in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 35.7% of the contact Bednar gives up is hit hard, 67th percentile.
354 pitches in 2026. 67th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 176th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Bednar averages 88.5 mph across his arsenal, 33rd percentile in the league.
354 pitches in 2026. 33rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 358th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Bednar releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 44 degrees above horizontal and 1.6 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
1150 tracked release points, averaging 5.8 feet off the ground.
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Bednar releases the ball 6.5 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
1064 tracked pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Bednar's stuff spins at 2,150 rpm, 28th percentile in the league.
354 pitches in 2026. 28th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 386th in MLB.