He handles both hands about the same
Right-handed hitters project to a .309 average against Lynch IV and left-handers to .213.
159 pitches to right-handed hitters, 124 to left-handed hitters.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .342 expected average against them, against .211 on his fastballs.
96 of his breaking balls thrown.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Lynch IV projects a .263 average, 91st percentile.
283 pitches in 2026. 91st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 48th in MLB.
One side of the plate does most of the damage against him
Right-handed hitters average 94.3 mph off the bat against Lynch IV and left-handers 73.9.
21 tracked batted balls from right-handers, 19 from left-handers.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Lynch IV's changeup leaves the bat at 89.7 mph, against 75.8 off his sinker.
59 and 83 of them thrown.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Lynch IV is weak: 84.6 mph off the bat on average, 89th percentile.
283 pitches in 2026. 89th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 58th in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 30% of the contact Lynch IV gives up is hit hard, 87th percentile.
283 pitches in 2026. 87th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 69th in MLB.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Lynch IV's stuff spins at 2,123 rpm, 24th percentile in the league.
283 pitches in 2026. 24th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 406th in MLB.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
47.5% of the contact against Lynch IV is on the ground and 37.5% of it is in the air.
40 tracked batted balls allowed.
He cannot find the zone often enough
Lynch IV works off the plate, with only 40.6% of his pitches in the zone, 27th percentile.
283 pitches in 2026. 27th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 392nd in MLB.
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The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
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He handles both hands about the same
Right-handed hitters project to a .309 average against Lynch IV and left-handers to .213.
159 pitches to right-handed hitters, 124 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .342 expected average against them, against .211 on his fastballs.
96 of his breaking balls thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Lynch IV projects a .263 average, 91st percentile.
283 pitches in 2026. 91st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 48th in MLB.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Lynch IV is weak: 84.6 mph off the bat on average, 89th percentile.
283 pitches in 2026. 89th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 58th in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 30% of the contact Lynch IV gives up is hit hard, 87th percentile.
283 pitches in 2026. 87th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 69th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One side of the plate does most of the damage against him
Right-handed hitters average 94.3 mph off the bat against Lynch IV and left-handers 73.9.
21 tracked batted balls from right-handers, 19 from left-handers.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
47.5% of the contact against Lynch IV is on the ground and 37.5% of it is in the air.
40 tracked batted balls allowed.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Lynch IV's changeup leaves the bat at 89.7 mph, against 75.8 off his sinker.
59 and 83 of them thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Lynch IV's stuff spins at 2,123 rpm, 24th percentile in the league.
283 pitches in 2026. 24th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 406th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Lynch IV works off the plate, with only 40.6% of his pitches in the zone, 27th percentile.
283 pitches in 2026. 27th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 392nd in MLB.
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