When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Winn throws a fastball 80.7% of the time, against 44.2% when he is ahead.
197 pitches behind in the count, 231 ahead.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Winn's 4-seam fastball carries 16.6 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
247 thrown, averaging 95.4 mph.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Winn's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 93.9 mph, against 82.5 off his slider.
247 and 179 of them thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Winn lands 53% of his fastballs in the zone and only 26.7% of his breaking balls.
185 of his fastballs, 60 of his breaking balls.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Winn puts 48.1% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 41.3% of his pitches to left-handers.
158 pitches to right-handed hitters, 155 to left-handed hitters.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Winn goes to the slider: 33.5% of his two-strike pitches, against 19.6% the rest of the time.
215 two-strike pitches in 2026.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Winn throws the splitter 27.3% of the time against left-handers and 3.3% against right-handers.
399 pitches to right-handers, 363 to left-handers.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Winn releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 34 degrees above horizontal and 1.6 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
787 tracked release points, averaging 5.4 feet off the ground.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Winn's splitter moves 14.3 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
112 thrown, averaging 87.4 mph.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
51% of the contact Winn gives up is hit hard, 9th percentile.
313 pitches in 2026. 9th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 489th in MLB.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .430 expected average against them, against .359 on his breaking balls.
185 of his fastballs thrown.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Winn projects a .380 average, 9th percentile.
313 pitches in 2026. 9th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 490th in MLB.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Winn's 4-seam fastball averages 95.4 mph, and has touched 97.2.
247 thrown, 32.4% of his pitches.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Winn puts 63.2% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 42% when he is ahead.
201 located pitches behind, 238 ahead.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Winn releases the ball 6.9 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
702 tracked pitches in 2026.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Winn throws 47.7% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 43.6% with the bases empty.
88 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 225 with the bases empty.
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Winn lives in the strike zone: 44.7% of his pitches are in it, 70th percentile.
313 pitches in 2026. 70th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 160th in MLB.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 91.0 mph off the bat against Winn, 15th percentile.
313 pitches in 2026. 15th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 457th in MLB.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Winn works with 4 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Cutter, Slider and Splitter. The 4-seam fastball is 32.4% of everything he throws.
762 classified pitches in 2026.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Winn lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.33 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
787 located pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Winn's slider spins at 2,657 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
179 thrown in 2026.
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Winn's stuff spins at 2,365 rpm, 69th percentile in the league.
313 pitches in 2026. 69th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 165th in MLB.
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Winn averages 90.5 mph across his arsenal, 63rd percentile in the league.
313 pitches in 2026. 63rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 200th in MLB.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
21.2% of Winn's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
167 of 787 located pitches.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Winn throws a strike on the first pitch 61.2% of the time.
214 plate appearances started in 2026.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
9.6 mph separates Winn's 4-seam fastball from his slider, 95.4 against 85.8.
247 and 179 of them respectively.
One pitch exists only to make the hitter think
Winn has thrown 11 sinkers this season, 1.4% of his pitches, at 93.7 mph: a look rather than a weapon.
762 classified pitches in 2026.
Show more
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Winn throws a fastball 80.7% of the time, against 44.2% when he is ahead.
197 pitches behind in the count, 231 ahead.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Winn goes to the slider: 33.5% of his two-strike pitches, against 19.6% the rest of the time.
215 two-strike pitches in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Winn puts 63.2% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 42% when he is ahead.
201 located pitches behind, 238 ahead.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Winn throws a strike on the first pitch 61.2% of the time.
214 plate appearances started in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Winn's 4-seam fastball carries 16.6 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
247 thrown, averaging 95.4 mph.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Winn's splitter moves 14.3 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
112 thrown, averaging 87.4 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Winn's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 93.9 mph, against 82.5 off his slider.
247 and 179 of them thrown.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Winn throws the splitter 27.3% of the time against left-handers and 3.3% against right-handers.
399 pitches to right-handers, 363 to left-handers.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Winn's 4-seam fastball averages 95.4 mph, and has touched 97.2.
247 thrown, 32.4% of his pitches.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Winn works with 4 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Cutter, Slider and Splitter. The 4-seam fastball is 32.4% of everything he throws.
762 classified pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Winn's slider spins at 2,657 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
179 thrown in 2026.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
9.6 mph separates Winn's 4-seam fastball from his slider, 95.4 against 85.8.
247 and 179 of them respectively.
One pitch exists only to make the hitter think
Winn has thrown 11 sinkers this season, 1.4% of his pitches, at 93.7 mph: a look rather than a weapon.
762 classified pitches in 2026.
Show more
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Winn lands 53% of his fastballs in the zone and only 26.7% of his breaking balls.
185 of his fastballs, 60 of his breaking balls.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .430 expected average against them, against .359 on his breaking balls.
185 of his fastballs thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Winn puts 48.1% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 41.3% of his pitches to left-handers.
158 pitches to right-handed hitters, 155 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Winn releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 34 degrees above horizontal and 1.6 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
787 tracked release points, averaging 5.4 feet off the ground.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Winn releases the ball 6.9 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
702 tracked pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
Too much of the contact against him is loud
51% of the contact Winn gives up is hit hard, 9th percentile.
313 pitches in 2026. 9th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 489th in MLB.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Winn projects a .380 average, 9th percentile.
313 pitches in 2026. 9th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 490th in MLB.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 91.0 mph off the bat against Winn, 15th percentile.
313 pitches in 2026. 15th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 457th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Winn throws 47.7% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 43.6% with the bases empty.
88 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 225 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Winn lives in the strike zone: 44.7% of his pitches are in it, 70th percentile.
313 pitches in 2026. 70th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 160th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Winn lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.33 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
787 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
21.2% of Winn's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
167 of 787 located pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Winn's stuff spins at 2,365 rpm, 69th percentile in the league.
313 pitches in 2026. 69th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 165th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Winn averages 90.5 mph across his arsenal, 63rd percentile in the league.
313 pitches in 2026. 63rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 200th in MLB.