One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Paddack's 4-seam fastball carries 18.8 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
189 thrown, averaging 92.8 mph.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Paddack's sinker leaves the bat at 95.5 mph, against 85.1 off his sweeper.
50 and 70 of them thrown.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Paddack throws 35.8% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 44.1% with the bases empty.
190 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 395 with the bases empty.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Paddack lands 52.4% of his fastballs in the zone and only 28.4% of his offspeed pitches.
307 of his fastballs, 155 of his offspeed pitches.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
16.2 mph separates Paddack's sinker from his curveball, 92.9 against 76.7.
50 and 53 of them respectively.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Paddack averages 86.8 mph across his arsenal, 15th percentile in the league.
585 pitches in 2026. 15th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 455th in MLB.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Paddack's changeup moves 15.5 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
155 thrown, averaging 84.9 mph.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Paddack puts 56.4% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 31.6% when he is ahead.
156 located pitches behind, 187 ahead.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Paddack's stuff spins at 1,995 rpm, 8th percentile in the league.
585 pitches in 2026. 8th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 495th in MLB.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Paddack lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.19 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
585 located pitches in 2026.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Paddack goes to the changeup: 33.9% of his two-strike pitches, against 22.9% the rest of the time.
192 two-strike pitches in 2026.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Paddack releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 38 degrees above horizontal and 1.9 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
585 tracked release points, averaging 6.0 feet off the ground.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
47.7% of the contact Paddack gives up is hit hard, 16th percentile.
585 pitches in 2026. 16th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 449th in MLB.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Paddack throws a strike on the first pitch 67.1% of the time.
146 plate appearances started in 2026.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Paddack works with 6 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Changeup, Sweeper and Cutter, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 32.3% of everything he throws.
585 classified pitches in 2026.
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Paddack's fastball averages 91.5 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 90.6 past his 75th.
88 early fastballs, 43 late ones.
He cannot find the zone often enough
Paddack works off the plate, with only 41.4% of his pitches in the zone, 33rd percentile.
585 pitches in 2026. 33rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 360th in MLB.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Paddack throws the sweeper 21.8% of the time against right-handers and 4.5% against left-handers.
252 pitches to right-handers, 333 to left-handers.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Paddack puts 39.7% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 42.6% of his pitches to left-handers.
252 pitches to right-handed hitters, 333 to left-handed hitters.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .337 expected average against them, against .300 on his breaking balls.
155 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Paddack releases the ball 6.8 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
409 tracked pitches in 2026.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 89.6 mph off the bat against Paddack, 32nd percentile.
585 pitches in 2026. 32nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 363rd in MLB.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Paddack's 4-seam fastball averages 92.8 mph, and has touched 95.8.
189 thrown, 32.3% of his pitches.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Paddack's sweeper spins at 2,313 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
70 thrown in 2026.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Paddack's 4-seam fastball carries 18.8 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
189 thrown, averaging 92.8 mph.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Paddack's changeup moves 15.5 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
155 thrown, averaging 84.9 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Paddack's sinker leaves the bat at 95.5 mph, against 85.1 off his sweeper.
50 and 70 of them thrown.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
16.2 mph separates Paddack's sinker from his curveball, 92.9 against 76.7.
50 and 53 of them respectively.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Paddack works with 6 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Changeup, Sweeper and Cutter, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 32.3% of everything he throws.
585 classified pitches in 2026.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Paddack throws the sweeper 21.8% of the time against right-handers and 4.5% against left-handers.
252 pitches to right-handers, 333 to left-handers.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Paddack's 4-seam fastball averages 92.8 mph, and has touched 95.8.
189 thrown, 32.3% of his pitches.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Paddack's sweeper spins at 2,313 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
70 thrown in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Paddack throws 35.8% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 44.1% with the bases empty.
190 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 395 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Paddack lands 52.4% of his fastballs in the zone and only 28.4% of his offspeed pitches.
307 of his fastballs, 155 of his offspeed pitches.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .337 expected average against them, against .300 on his breaking balls.
155 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Paddack averages 86.8 mph across his arsenal, 15th percentile in the league.
585 pitches in 2026. 15th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 455th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Paddack puts 56.4% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 31.6% when he is ahead.
156 located pitches behind, 187 ahead.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Paddack goes to the changeup: 33.9% of his two-strike pitches, against 22.9% the rest of the time.
192 two-strike pitches in 2026.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Paddack throws a strike on the first pitch 67.1% of the time.
146 plate appearances started in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Paddack's stuff spins at 1,995 rpm, 8th percentile in the league.
585 pitches in 2026. 8th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 495th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Paddack lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.19 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
585 located pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Paddack releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 38 degrees above horizontal and 1.9 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
585 tracked release points, averaging 6.0 feet off the ground.
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Paddack's fastball averages 91.5 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 90.6 past his 75th.
88 early fastballs, 43 late ones.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Paddack releases the ball 6.8 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
409 tracked pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
Too much of the contact against him is loud
47.7% of the contact Paddack gives up is hit hard, 16th percentile.
585 pitches in 2026. 16th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 449th in MLB.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 89.6 mph off the bat against Paddack, 32nd percentile.
585 pitches in 2026. 32nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 363rd in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Paddack works off the plate, with only 41.4% of his pitches in the zone, 33rd percentile.
585 pitches in 2026. 33rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 360th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Paddack puts 39.7% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 42.6% of his pitches to left-handers.
252 pitches to right-handed hitters, 333 to left-handed hitters.
Padres
Career team 2019–2021