Carson Kelly Spray Chart MLB Stats & Career Totals

There is one pitch he punishes whenever he sees it

Kelly does his damage against fastballs: a .910 OPS against them, against .539 on breaking balls.

71 plate appearances ending on fastballs, 39 on breaking balls.

He hits lefties and righties about the same

Kelly puts up a .608 OPS against right-handers and 1.079 against left-handers.

74 plate appearances against right-handers, 48 against left-handers.

There is one situation he simply cannot handle

Kelly is at his worst against right-handers, on breaking balls: a .328 OPS there against .787 overall.

28 plate appearances in that situation.

His power holds up against both hands

The power is one-sided: Kelly slugs .284 against right-handers and .600 against left-handers.

74 plate appearances against right-handers, 48 against left-handers.

Getting on base is what he does best

Kelly is on base at a .385 clip, 91st percentile in the league.

122 plate appearances in 2026. 91st percentile among qualified hitters in 2026, 37th in MLB.

He hits about the same with runners on as without

With a runner in scoring position Kelly has an OPS of .938; with the bases empty it is .697.

46 plate appearances with a runner in scoring position, 76 with the bases empty.

There is one situation he is at his most dangerous in

Kelly is at his best against left-handers, on fastballs: a 1.098 OPS there against .787 overall.

26 plate appearances in that situation.

He has been getting hits he has not really earned

Kelly's batting average is .299 but the quality of his contact projects .260, a gap of .039 he is currently outrunning.

122 plate appearances in 2026.

He is a pull hitter, and defences can set up for it

Kelly pulls 28.7% of his batted balls and goes the other way with 23%, a spread a defence cannot cheat on.

25 pulled, 42 up the middle and 20 the other way over 87 located batted balls.

One of the more productive bats in the league

Kelly's OPS+ of 132 puts him 83rd percentile among hitters this season, park and league adjusted.

122 plate appearances in 2026. 83rd percentile among qualified hitters in 2026, 71st in MLB.

He puts the ball in play, strikeouts are not his problem

Kelly strikes out in only 16.4% of his trips, 81st percentile.

122 plate appearances in 2026. 81st percentile among qualified hitters in 2026, 79th in MLB.

When he connects, the ball leaves in a hurry

Kelly hits the ball hard: 90.5 mph off the bat on average, 76th percentile in the league.

122 plate appearances in 2026. 76th percentile among qualified hitters in 2026, 100th in MLB.

One pitch is where all his power comes from

Kelly slugs .459 against fastballs and .257 against breaking balls.

71 plate appearances ending on fastballs.

He cannot get the bat on the ball in the big spots

With a runner in scoring position Kelly averages 88.1 mph off the bat, against 92.0 with the bases empty.

33 tracked batted balls with a runner in scoring position, 54 without.

He strikes out about the same against both hands

Kelly strikes out in 18.9% of his trips against right-handers and 12.5% of them against left-handers.

74 plate appearances against right-handers, 48 against left-handers.

He beats the ball into the ground too often

Kelly finds a productive launch angle on only 29.9% of his contact, 21st percentile.

122 plate appearances in 2026. 21st percentile among qualified hitters in 2026, 332nd in MLB.

He takes his walks and makes pitchers come to him

Kelly walks in 11.5% of his plate appearances, 75th percentile.

122 plate appearances in 2026. 75th percentile among qualified hitters in 2026, 106th in MLB.

He hits the ball far harder than his batting average suggests

Judged on how hard and at what angle he hits it, Kelly should be hitting .260, 66th percentile in the league.

122 plate appearances in 2026. 66th percentile among qualified hitters in 2026, 145th in MLB.

His fly balls travel about as far as anyone's

Kelly's fly balls travel 281 feet on average, and his longest of the season went 422.

33 tracked balls hit at 20 degrees or more.

His contact is about the same with runners on

39.4% of Kelly's contact with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 44.4% of it with the bases empty.

46 plate appearances with a runner in scoring position, 76 with the bases empty.

Which hand is pitching changes where he hits the ball

Kelly pulls 24.5% of what he puts in play against right-handers and 35.3% of it against left-handers.

53 batted balls against right-handers, 34 against left-handers.

There is real damage in his bat

Kelly is slugging .402, 63rd percentile in the league.

122 plate appearances in 2026. 63rd percentile among qualified hitters in 2026, 155th in MLB.

Carson Kelly

Contextual Splits

Crunching the Numbers