When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Povich throws a fastball 68.4% of the time, against 37.8% when he is ahead.
79 pitches behind in the count, 82 ahead.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Povich's 4-seam fastball carries 19.0 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
136 thrown, averaging 91.9 mph.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Povich's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 93.9 mph, against 81.9 off his curveball.
136 and 69 of them thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Povich lands 59.1% of his fastballs in the zone and only 26.9% of his breaking balls.
159 of his fastballs, 119 of his breaking balls.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Povich puts 47.5% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 39.7% of his pitches to left-handers.
183 pitches to right-handed hitters, 121 to left-handed hitters.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Povich throws the slider 33.9% of the time against left-handers and 4.9% against right-handers.
183 pitches to right-handers, 121 to left-handers.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Povich averages 86.8 mph across his arsenal, 15th percentile in the league.
304 pitches in 2026. 15th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 456th in MLB.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
15.9 mph separates Povich's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 91.9 against 76.1.
136 and 69 of them respectively.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 91.2 mph off the bat against Povich, 13th percentile.
304 pitches in 2026. 13th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 468th in MLB.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Povich lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.23 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
304 located pitches in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Povich puts 64.6% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 43.9% when he is ahead.
79 located pitches behind, 82 ahead.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Povich releases the ball from a three-quarters slot, about 58 degrees above horizontal and 1.0 feet to the first-base side of the rubber.
304 tracked release points, averaging 5.9 feet off the ground.
He leaves too much of it over the heart of the plate
23.7% of Povich's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, the part of the plate hitters do their damage on.
72 of 304 located pitches.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
45.9% of the contact Povich gives up is hit hard, 21st percentile.
304 pitches in 2026. 21st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 423rd in MLB.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Povich's 4-seam fastball averages 91.9 mph, and has touched 94.1.
136 thrown, 44.7% of his pitches.
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Povich lives in the strike zone: 44.4% of his pitches are in it, 66th percentile.
304 pitches in 2026. 66th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 181st in MLB.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Povich works with 5 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Curveball, Slider and Changeup, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 44.7% of everything he throws.
304 classified pitches in 2026.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Povich goes to the curveball: 26.2% of his two-strike pitches, against 21.4% the rest of the time.
84 two-strike pitches in 2026.
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Povich's stuff spins at 2,358 rpm, 68th percentile in the league.
304 pitches in 2026. 68th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 174th in MLB.
He lives on one side of the plate
Povich works away from right-handers: his average pitch lands 1.7 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
304 located pitches in 2026.
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Povich releases the ball 6.2 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
252 tracked pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Povich's curveball moves 8.7 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
69 thrown, averaging 76.1 mph.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Povich throws a strike on the first pitch 62.2% of the time.
82 plate appearances started in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Povich's slider spins at 2,492 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
50 thrown in 2026.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Povich throws a fastball 68.4% of the time, against 37.8% when he is ahead.
79 pitches behind in the count, 82 ahead.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Povich puts 64.6% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 43.9% when he is ahead.
79 located pitches behind, 82 ahead.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Povich goes to the curveball: 26.2% of his two-strike pitches, against 21.4% the rest of the time.
84 two-strike pitches in 2026.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Povich throws a strike on the first pitch 62.2% of the time.
82 plate appearances started in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Povich's 4-seam fastball carries 19.0 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
136 thrown, averaging 91.9 mph.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Povich's curveball moves 8.7 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
69 thrown, averaging 76.1 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Povich's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 93.9 mph, against 81.9 off his curveball.
136 and 69 of them thrown.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Povich throws the slider 33.9% of the time against left-handers and 4.9% against right-handers.
183 pitches to right-handers, 121 to left-handers.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
15.9 mph separates Povich's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 91.9 against 76.1.
136 and 69 of them respectively.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Povich's 4-seam fastball averages 91.9 mph, and has touched 94.1.
136 thrown, 44.7% of his pitches.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Povich works with 5 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Curveball, Slider and Changeup, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 44.7% of everything he throws.
304 classified pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Povich's slider spins at 2,492 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
50 thrown in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Povich lands 59.1% of his fastballs in the zone and only 26.9% of his breaking balls.
159 of his fastballs, 119 of his breaking balls.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Povich puts 47.5% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 39.7% of his pitches to left-handers.
183 pitches to right-handed hitters, 121 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Povich averages 86.8 mph across his arsenal, 15th percentile in the league.
304 pitches in 2026. 15th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 456th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 91.2 mph off the bat against Povich, 13th percentile.
304 pitches in 2026. 13th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 468th in MLB.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
45.9% of the contact Povich gives up is hit hard, 21st percentile.
304 pitches in 2026. 21st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 423rd in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Povich lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.23 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
304 located pitches in 2026.
He leaves too much of it over the heart of the plate
23.7% of Povich's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, the part of the plate hitters do their damage on.
72 of 304 located pitches.
He lives on one side of the plate
Povich works away from right-handers: his average pitch lands 1.7 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
304 located pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Povich releases the ball from a three-quarters slot, about 58 degrees above horizontal and 1.0 feet to the first-base side of the rubber.
304 tracked release points, averaging 5.9 feet off the ground.
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Povich releases the ball 6.2 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
252 tracked pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Povich lives in the strike zone: 44.4% of his pitches are in it, 66th percentile.
304 pitches in 2026. 66th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 181st in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Povich's stuff spins at 2,358 rpm, 68th percentile in the league.
304 pitches in 2026. 68th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 174th in MLB.
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