One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .359 expected average against them, against .201 on his offspeed pitches.
376 of his fastballs thrown.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Cavalli's changeup moves 17.4 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
216 thrown, averaging 89.2 mph.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Cavalli's sinker leaves the bat at 93.0 mph, against 84.2 off his knuckle curve.
348 and 707 of them thrown.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Cavalli's 4-seam fastball averages 96.8 mph, and has touched 99.6.
920 thrown, 33.1% of his pitches.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Cavalli lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.13 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
2777 located pitches in 2026.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Cavalli's 4-seam fastball carries 14.0 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
920 thrown, averaging 96.8 mph.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Cavalli throws a fastball 56.7% of the time, against 44.4% when he is ahead.
700 pitches behind in the count, 883 ahead.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Cavalli lands 50.3% of his fastballs in the zone and only 31.9% of his breaking balls.
376 of his fastballs, 304 of his breaking balls.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Cavalli releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 40 degrees above horizontal and 1.7 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
2777 tracked release points, averaging 5.9 feet off the ground.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Cavalli works with 6 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Knuckle Curve, Sweeper and Sinker, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 33.1% of everything he throws.
2777 classified pitches in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Cavalli puts 57.6% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 42.8% when he is ahead.
700 located pitches behind, 883 ahead.
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Cavalli averages 90.9 mph across his arsenal, 67th percentile in the league.
746 pitches in 2026. 67th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 176th in MLB.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Cavalli goes to the knuckle curve: 29.5% of his two-strike pitches, against 23.7% the rest of the time.
862 two-strike pitches in 2026.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Cavalli throws the sweeper 23.8% of the time against right-handers and 9.5% against left-handers.
1160 pitches to right-handers, 1617 to left-handers.
He lives on one side of the plate
Cavalli works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 1.9 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
2777 located pitches in 2026.
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Cavalli's fastball averages 96.7 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 96.2 past his 75th.
468 early fastballs, 195 late ones.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Cavalli throws 40.5% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 42.7% with the bases empty.
222 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 524 with the bases empty.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Cavalli throws a strike on the first pitch 62.7% of the time.
705 plate appearances started in 2026.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 89.4 mph off the bat against Cavalli, 36th percentile.
746 pitches in 2026. 36th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 346th in MLB.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
10.6 mph separates Cavalli's 4-seam fastball from his knuckle curve, 96.8 against 86.2.
920 and 707 of them respectively.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Cavalli projects a .337 average, 39th percentile.
746 pitches in 2026. 39th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 328th in MLB.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Cavalli's 4-seam fastball spins at 2,298 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
920 thrown in 2026.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .359 expected average against them, against .201 on his offspeed pitches.
376 of his fastballs thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Cavalli lands 50.3% of his fastballs in the zone and only 31.9% of his breaking balls.
376 of his fastballs, 304 of his breaking balls.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Cavalli's changeup moves 17.4 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
216 thrown, averaging 89.2 mph.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Cavalli's 4-seam fastball carries 14.0 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
920 thrown, averaging 96.8 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Cavalli's sinker leaves the bat at 93.0 mph, against 84.2 off his knuckle curve.
348 and 707 of them thrown.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Cavalli's 4-seam fastball averages 96.8 mph, and has touched 99.6.
920 thrown, 33.1% of his pitches.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Cavalli works with 6 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Knuckle Curve, Sweeper and Sinker, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 33.1% of everything he throws.
2777 classified pitches in 2026.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Cavalli throws the sweeper 23.8% of the time against right-handers and 9.5% against left-handers.
1160 pitches to right-handers, 1617 to left-handers.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
10.6 mph separates Cavalli's 4-seam fastball from his knuckle curve, 96.8 against 86.2.
920 and 707 of them respectively.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Cavalli's 4-seam fastball spins at 2,298 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
920 thrown in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Cavalli lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.13 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
2777 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on one side of the plate
Cavalli works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 1.9 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
2777 located pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Cavalli throws a fastball 56.7% of the time, against 44.4% when he is ahead.
700 pitches behind in the count, 883 ahead.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Cavalli puts 57.6% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 42.8% when he is ahead.
700 located pitches behind, 883 ahead.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Cavalli goes to the knuckle curve: 29.5% of his two-strike pitches, against 23.7% the rest of the time.
862 two-strike pitches in 2026.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Cavalli throws a strike on the first pitch 62.7% of the time.
705 plate appearances started in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Cavalli releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 40 degrees above horizontal and 1.7 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
2777 tracked release points, averaging 5.9 feet off the ground.
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Cavalli's fastball averages 96.7 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 96.2 past his 75th.
468 early fastballs, 195 late ones.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Cavalli averages 90.9 mph across his arsenal, 67th percentile in the league.
746 pitches in 2026. 67th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 176th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Cavalli throws 40.5% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 42.7% with the bases empty.
222 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 524 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 89.4 mph off the bat against Cavalli, 36th percentile.
746 pitches in 2026. 36th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 346th in MLB.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Cavalli projects a .337 average, 39th percentile.
746 pitches in 2026. 39th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 328th in MLB.
Nationals