When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Smith throws a fastball 84.5% of the time, against 56.6% when he is ahead.
58 pitches behind in the count, 53 ahead.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Smith's 4-seam fastball carries 17.0 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
89 thrown, averaging 94.0 mph.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Smith puts 48.4% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 40.4% of his pitches to left-handers.
126 pitches to right-handed hitters, 109 to left-handed hitters.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Smith's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 90.0 mph, against 83.1 off his curveball.
89 and 48 of them thrown.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Smith releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 25 degrees above horizontal and 2.3 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
235 tracked release points, averaging 5.5 feet off the ground.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Smith projects a .279 average, 87th percentile.
235 pitches in 2026. 87th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 70th in MLB.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Smith goes to the 4-seam fastball: 51% of his two-strike pitches, against 41.4% the rest of the time.
51 two-strike pitches in 2026.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Smith throws the curveball 31.3% of the time against right-handers and 13.6% against left-handers.
115 pitches to right-handers, 88 to left-handers.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
48.3% of the contact Smith gives up is hit hard, 15th percentile.
235 pitches in 2026. 15th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 458th in MLB.
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Smith lives in the strike zone: 44.7% of his pitches are in it, 71st percentile.
235 pitches in 2026. 71st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 159th in MLB.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Smith works with 4 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Curveball, Cutter and Changeup. The 4-seam fastball is 43.8% of everything he throws.
203 classified pitches in 2026.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Smith lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.37 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
235 located pitches in 2026.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Smith releases the ball 6.7 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
200 tracked pitches in 2026.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
11.8 mph separates Smith's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 94.0 against 82.2.
89 and 48 of them respectively.
He lives on one side of the plate
Smith works away from right-handers: his average pitch lands 1.5 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
235 located pitches in 2026.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Smith is weak: 86.8 mph off the bat on average, 73rd percentile.
235 pitches in 2026. 73rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 147th in MLB.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Smith averages 89.0 mph across his arsenal, 38th percentile in the league.
235 pitches in 2026. 38th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 336th in MLB.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Smith's curveball moves 8.9 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
48 thrown, averaging 82.2 mph.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Smith's curveball spins at 2,473 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
48 thrown in 2026.
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Smith's stuff spins at 2,329 rpm, 62nd percentile in the league.
235 pitches in 2026. 62nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 205th in MLB.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Smith's 4-seam fastball averages 94.0 mph, and has touched 97.0.
89 thrown, 43.8% of his pitches.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Smith throws a fastball 84.5% of the time, against 56.6% when he is ahead.
58 pitches behind in the count, 53 ahead.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Smith goes to the 4-seam fastball: 51% of his two-strike pitches, against 41.4% the rest of the time.
51 two-strike pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Smith's 4-seam fastball carries 17.0 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
89 thrown, averaging 94.0 mph.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Smith's curveball moves 8.9 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
48 thrown, averaging 82.2 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Smith puts 48.4% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 40.4% of his pitches to left-handers.
126 pitches to right-handed hitters, 109 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Smith's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 90.0 mph, against 83.1 off his curveball.
89 and 48 of them thrown.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Smith throws the curveball 31.3% of the time against right-handers and 13.6% against left-handers.
115 pitches to right-handers, 88 to left-handers.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Smith works with 4 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Curveball, Cutter and Changeup. The 4-seam fastball is 43.8% of everything he throws.
203 classified pitches in 2026.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
11.8 mph separates Smith's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 94.0 against 82.2.
89 and 48 of them respectively.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Smith's curveball spins at 2,473 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
48 thrown in 2026.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Smith's 4-seam fastball averages 94.0 mph, and has touched 97.0.
89 thrown, 43.8% of his pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Smith releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 25 degrees above horizontal and 2.3 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
235 tracked release points, averaging 5.5 feet off the ground.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Smith releases the ball 6.7 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
200 tracked pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Smith projects a .279 average, 87th percentile.
235 pitches in 2026. 87th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 70th in MLB.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
48.3% of the contact Smith gives up is hit hard, 15th percentile.
235 pitches in 2026. 15th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 458th in MLB.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Smith is weak: 86.8 mph off the bat on average, 73rd percentile.
235 pitches in 2026. 73rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 147th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Smith lives in the strike zone: 44.7% of his pitches are in it, 71st percentile.
235 pitches in 2026. 71st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 159th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Smith lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.37 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
235 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on one side of the plate
Smith works away from right-handers: his average pitch lands 1.5 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
235 located pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Smith averages 89.0 mph across his arsenal, 38th percentile in the league.
235 pitches in 2026. 38th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 336th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Smith's stuff spins at 2,329 rpm, 62nd percentile in the league.
235 pitches in 2026. 62nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 205th in MLB.