One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .317 expected average against them, against .120 on his offspeed pitches.
461 of his fastballs thrown.
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
26.1% of the contact against Elder with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 41.2% with the bases empty.
129 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 654 with the bases empty.
He handles both hands about the same
Right-handed hitters project to a .335 average against Elder and left-handers to .256.
245 pitches to right-handed hitters, 538 to left-handed hitters.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Elder projects a .286 average, 84th percentile.
783 pitches in 2026. 84th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 88th in MLB.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Elder's cutter leaves the bat at 91.5 mph, against 86.0 off his changeup.
91 and 79 of them thrown.
The home runs are what is undoing his season
Elder has given up 3 tracked home runs, 2 of them to right field, the longest 454 feet.
3 tracked home runs allowed in 2026.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
46.4% of the contact against Elder is on the ground and 35% of it is in the air.
140 tracked batted balls allowed.
He cannot find the zone often enough
Elder works off the plate, with only 40.9% of his pitches in the zone, 29th percentile.
783 pitches in 2026. 29th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 380th in MLB.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Elder's stuff spins at 2,170 rpm, 31st percentile in the league.
783 pitches in 2026. 31st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 369th in MLB.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Elder averages 88.4 mph across his arsenal, 31st percentile in the league.
783 pitches in 2026. 31st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 370th in MLB.
Hitters tend to hit him to one part of the field
43.7% of the balls put in play against Elder have gone to centre field.
62 of 142 located batted balls allowed.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .317 expected average against them, against .120 on his offspeed pitches.
461 of his fastballs thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
26.1% of the contact against Elder with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 41.2% with the bases empty.
129 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 654 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He handles both hands about the same
Right-handed hitters project to a .335 average against Elder and left-handers to .256.
245 pitches to right-handed hitters, 538 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Elder projects a .286 average, 84th percentile.
783 pitches in 2026. 84th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 88th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Elder's cutter leaves the bat at 91.5 mph, against 86.0 off his changeup.
91 and 79 of them thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The home runs are what is undoing his season
Elder has given up 3 tracked home runs, 2 of them to right field, the longest 454 feet.
3 tracked home runs allowed in 2026.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
46.4% of the contact against Elder is on the ground and 35% of it is in the air.
140 tracked batted balls allowed.
Hitters tend to hit him to one part of the field
43.7% of the balls put in play against Elder have gone to centre field.
62 of 142 located batted balls allowed.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Elder works off the plate, with only 40.9% of his pitches in the zone, 29th percentile.
783 pitches in 2026. 29th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 380th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Elder's stuff spins at 2,170 rpm, 31st percentile in the league.
783 pitches in 2026. 31st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 369th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Elder averages 88.4 mph across his arsenal, 31st percentile in the league.
783 pitches in 2026. 31st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 370th in MLB.
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