He cannot find the zone often enough
Abreu works off the plate, with only 35.7% of his pitches in the zone, 4th percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 4th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 514th in MLB.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Abreu's 4-seam fastball carries 16.0 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
514 thrown, averaging 95.6 mph.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Abreu's slider spins at 2,825 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
488 thrown in 2026.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Abreu releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 32 degrees above horizontal and 2.2 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
1090 tracked release points, averaging 5.6 feet off the ground.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
51.6% of the contact Abreu gives up is hit hard, 8th percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 8th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 496th in MLB.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Abreu's slider leaves the bat at 90.2 mph, against 85.0 off his cutter.
488 and 90 of them thrown.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Abreu goes to the slider: 50.2% of his two-strike pitches, against 42.5% the rest of the time.
307 two-strike pitches in 2026.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Abreu throws 38.5% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 33.5% with the bases empty.
122 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 164 with the bases empty.
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Abreu's stuff spins at 2,457 rpm, 84th percentile in the league.
286 pitches in 2026. 84th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 88th in MLB.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Abreu's 4-seam fastball averages 95.6 mph, and has touched 99.1.
514 thrown, 47% of his pitches.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Abreu throws a strike on the first pitch 55% of the time.
269 plate appearances started in 2026.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Abreu works with 3 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Slider and Cutter. The 4-seam fastball is 47% of everything he throws.
1093 classified pitches in 2026.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Abreu projects a .358 average, 22nd percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 22nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 419th in MLB.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
17.5% of Abreu's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
191 of 1090 located pitches.
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Abreu averages 90.8 mph across his arsenal, 66th percentile in the league.
286 pitches in 2026. 66th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 181st in MLB.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Abreu puts 52% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 40.7% when he is ahead.
354 located pitches behind, 302 ahead.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Abreu releases the ball 6.5 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
1033 tracked pitches in 2026.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
9.0 mph separates Abreu's 4-seam fastball from his slider, 95.6 against 86.6.
514 and 488 of them respectively.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Abreu works off the plate, with only 35.7% of his pitches in the zone, 4th percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 4th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 514th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Abreu's 4-seam fastball carries 16.0 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
514 thrown, averaging 95.6 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Abreu's slider spins at 2,825 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
488 thrown in 2026.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Abreu's slider leaves the bat at 90.2 mph, against 85.0 off his cutter.
488 and 90 of them thrown.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Abreu's 4-seam fastball averages 95.6 mph, and has touched 99.1.
514 thrown, 47% of his pitches.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Abreu works with 3 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Slider and Cutter. The 4-seam fastball is 47% of everything he throws.
1093 classified pitches in 2026.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
9.0 mph separates Abreu's 4-seam fastball from his slider, 95.6 against 86.6.
514 and 488 of them respectively.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Abreu releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 32 degrees above horizontal and 2.2 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
1090 tracked release points, averaging 5.6 feet off the ground.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Abreu releases the ball 6.5 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
1033 tracked pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
Too much of the contact against him is loud
51.6% of the contact Abreu gives up is hit hard, 8th percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 8th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 496th in MLB.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Abreu projects a .358 average, 22nd percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 22nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 419th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Abreu goes to the slider: 50.2% of his two-strike pitches, against 42.5% the rest of the time.
307 two-strike pitches in 2026.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Abreu throws a strike on the first pitch 55% of the time.
269 plate appearances started in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Abreu puts 52% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 40.7% when he is ahead.
354 located pitches behind, 302 ahead.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Abreu throws 38.5% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 33.5% with the bases empty.
122 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 164 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Abreu's stuff spins at 2,457 rpm, 84th percentile in the league.
286 pitches in 2026. 84th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 88th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
17.5% of Abreu's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
191 of 1090 located pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Abreu averages 90.8 mph across his arsenal, 66th percentile in the league.
286 pitches in 2026. 66th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 181st in MLB.
Astros