He cannot find the zone often enough
Abreu works off the plate, with only 35.7% of his pitches in the zone, 4th percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 4th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 514th in MLB.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Abreu's 4-seam fastball carries 16.2 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
144 thrown, averaging 95.0 mph.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Abreu's slider spins at 2,774 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
142 thrown in 2026.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Abreu goes to the slider: 57.5% of his two-strike pitches, against 46.6% the rest of the time.
80 two-strike pitches in 2026.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Abreu releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 34 degrees above horizontal and 2.0 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
283 tracked release points, averaging 5.6 feet off the ground.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
51.6% of the contact Abreu gives up is hit hard, 8th percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 8th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 496th in MLB.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Abreu throws a strike on the first pitch 52.9% of the time.
70 plate appearances started in 2026.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Abreu works with 2 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball and Slider. The 4-seam fastball is 50.3% of everything he throws.
286 classified pitches in 2026.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Abreu throws 38.5% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 33.5% with the bases empty.
122 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 164 with the bases empty.
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Abreu's stuff spins at 2,457 rpm, 84th percentile in the league.
286 pitches in 2026. 84th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 88th in MLB.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
15.5% of Abreu's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
44 of 283 located pitches.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Abreu's 4-seam fastball averages 95.0 mph, and has touched 97.9.
144 thrown, 50.3% of his pitches.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Abreu lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.28 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
283 located pitches in 2026.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Abreu projects a .358 average, 22nd percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 22nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 419th in MLB.
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Abreu averages 90.8 mph across his arsenal, 66th percentile in the league.
286 pitches in 2026. 66th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 181st in MLB.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Abreu works off the plate, with only 35.7% of his pitches in the zone, 4th percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 4th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 514th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Abreu's 4-seam fastball carries 16.2 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
144 thrown, averaging 95.0 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Abreu's slider spins at 2,774 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
142 thrown in 2026.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Abreu works with 2 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball and Slider. The 4-seam fastball is 50.3% of everything he throws.
286 classified pitches in 2026.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Abreu's 4-seam fastball averages 95.0 mph, and has touched 97.9.
144 thrown, 50.3% of his pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Abreu goes to the slider: 57.5% of his two-strike pitches, against 46.6% the rest of the time.
80 two-strike pitches in 2026.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Abreu throws a strike on the first pitch 52.9% of the time.
70 plate appearances started in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Abreu releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 34 degrees above horizontal and 2.0 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
283 tracked release points, averaging 5.6 feet off the ground.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
Too much of the contact against him is loud
51.6% of the contact Abreu gives up is hit hard, 8th percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 8th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 496th in MLB.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Abreu projects a .358 average, 22nd percentile.
286 pitches in 2026. 22nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 419th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
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He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Abreu throws 38.5% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 33.5% with the bases empty.
122 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 164 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Abreu's stuff spins at 2,457 rpm, 84th percentile in the league.
286 pitches in 2026. 84th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 88th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
15.5% of Abreu's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
44 of 283 located pitches.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Abreu lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.28 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
283 located pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Abreu averages 90.8 mph across his arsenal, 66th percentile in the league.
286 pitches in 2026. 66th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 181st in MLB.
Astros