Too much of the contact against him is loud
52.2% of the contact Francis gives up is hit hard, 5th percentile.
1141 pitches in 2025. 5th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 738th in MLB.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Francis's slider leaves the bat at 95.6 mph, against 86.2 off his curveball.
66 and 160 of them thrown.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .433 expected average against them, against .345 on his fastballs.
226 of his breaking balls thrown.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 91.3 mph off the bat against Francis, 10th percentile.
1141 pitches in 2025. 10th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 703rd in MLB.
Both sides hit him about the same
47.2% of the contact right-handers make against Francis is hit hard, against 56.3% of what left-handers make.
461 pitches to right-handed hitters, 680 to left-handed hitters.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Francis's stuff spins at 1,976 rpm, 7th percentile in the league.
1141 pitches in 2025. 7th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 724th in MLB.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Francis projects a .369 average, 15th percentile.
1141 pitches in 2025. 15th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 660th in MLB.
One side of the plate does most of the damage against him
Right-handed hitters average 89.2 mph off the bat against Francis and left-handers 92.9.
89 tracked batted balls from right-handers, 112 from left-handers.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Francis averages 87.0 mph across his arsenal, 20th percentile in the league.
1141 pitches in 2025. 20th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 623rd in MLB.
The home runs are what is undoing his season
Francis has given up 19 tracked home runs, 11 of them to right field, the longest 426 feet.
19 tracked home runs allowed in 2025.
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
48.6% of the contact against Francis with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 53% with the bases empty.
189 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 952 with the bases empty.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
35.7% of the contact against Francis is on the ground and 41.7% of it is in the air.
199 tracked batted balls allowed.
He handles both hands about the same
Right-handed hitters project to a .358 average against Francis and left-handers to .378.
461 pitches to right-handed hitters, 680 to left-handed hitters.
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The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
Too much of the contact against him is loud
52.2% of the contact Francis gives up is hit hard, 5th percentile.
1141 pitches in 2025. 5th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 738th in MLB.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 91.3 mph off the bat against Francis, 10th percentile.
1141 pitches in 2025. 10th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 703rd in MLB.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Francis projects a .369 average, 15th percentile.
1141 pitches in 2025. 15th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 660th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Francis's slider leaves the bat at 95.6 mph, against 86.2 off his curveball.
66 and 160 of them thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .433 expected average against them, against .345 on his fastballs.
226 of his breaking balls thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
Both sides hit him about the same
47.2% of the contact right-handers make against Francis is hit hard, against 56.3% of what left-handers make.
461 pitches to right-handed hitters, 680 to left-handed hitters.
He handles both hands about the same
Right-handed hitters project to a .358 average against Francis and left-handers to .378.
461 pitches to right-handed hitters, 680 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Francis's stuff spins at 1,976 rpm, 7th percentile in the league.
1141 pitches in 2025. 7th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 724th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One side of the plate does most of the damage against him
Right-handed hitters average 89.2 mph off the bat against Francis and left-handers 92.9.
89 tracked batted balls from right-handers, 112 from left-handers.
The home runs are what is undoing his season
Francis has given up 19 tracked home runs, 11 of them to right field, the longest 426 feet.
19 tracked home runs allowed in 2025.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
35.7% of the contact against Francis is on the ground and 41.7% of it is in the air.
199 tracked batted balls allowed.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Francis averages 87.0 mph across his arsenal, 20th percentile in the league.
1141 pitches in 2025. 20th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 623rd in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
48.6% of the contact against Francis with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 53% with the bases empty.
189 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 952 with the bases empty.
Blue Jays
Career team 2022–2025