This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Brown goes to the knuckle curve: 53.4% of his two-strike pitches, against 28.7% the rest of the time.
146 two-strike pitches in 2026.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Brown's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 92.7 mph, against 83.2 off his sinker.
186 and 110 of them thrown.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Brown's 4-seam fastball carries 16.2 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
186 thrown, averaging 96.5 mph.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Brown throws a fastball 68.1% of the time, against 43.2% when he is ahead.
144 pitches behind in the count, 139 ahead.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .335 expected average against them, against .247 on his fastballs.
183 of his breaking balls thrown.
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Brown averages 92.7 mph across his arsenal, 89th percentile in the league.
512 pitches in 2026. 89th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 58th in MLB.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Brown throws the sinker 41.5% of the time against right-handers and 2.7% against left-handers.
248 pitches to right-handers, 264 to left-handers.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Brown's sinker moves 14.9 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
110 thrown, averaging 96.6 mph.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Brown's 4-seam fastball averages 96.5 mph, and has touched 98.6.
186 thrown, 36.3% of his pitches.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Brown throws 38.4% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 43.8% with the bases empty.
146 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 366 with the bases empty.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Brown projects a .280 average, 87th percentile.
512 pitches in 2026. 87th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 71st in MLB.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Brown lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.25 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
507 located pitches in 2026.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Brown puts 60.8% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 36.5% when he is ahead.
143 located pitches behind, 137 ahead.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Brown lands 49.8% of his fastballs in the zone and only 33.5% of his breaking balls.
296 of his fastballs, 183 of his breaking balls.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Brown works with 4 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Knuckle Curve, Sinker and Changeup. The 4-seam fastball is 36.3% of everything he throws.
512 classified pitches in 2026.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Brown puts 43.6% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 40.9% of his pitches to left-handers.
248 pitches to right-handed hitters, 264 to left-handed hitters.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Brown's stuff spins at 2,177 rpm, 32nd percentile in the league.
512 pitches in 2026. 32nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 363rd in MLB.
He lives on one side of the plate
Brown works away from right-handers: his average pitch lands 1.5 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
507 located pitches in 2026.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Brown releases the ball 6.5 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
390 tracked pitches in 2026.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 36.1% of the contact Brown gives up is hit hard, 66th percentile.
512 pitches in 2026. 66th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 183rd in MLB.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
18.7% of Brown's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
95 of 507 located pitches.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
9.7 mph separates Brown's sinker from his knuckle curve, 96.6 against 87.0.
110 and 183 of them respectively.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Brown throws a strike on the first pitch 58.9% of the time.
129 plate appearances started in 2026.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Brown's knuckle curve spins at 2,324 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
183 thrown in 2026.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Brown goes to the knuckle curve: 53.4% of his two-strike pitches, against 28.7% the rest of the time.
146 two-strike pitches in 2026.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Brown throws a fastball 68.1% of the time, against 43.2% when he is ahead.
144 pitches behind in the count, 139 ahead.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Brown puts 60.8% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 36.5% when he is ahead.
143 located pitches behind, 137 ahead.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Brown throws a strike on the first pitch 58.9% of the time.
129 plate appearances started in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Brown's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 92.7 mph, against 83.2 off his sinker.
186 and 110 of them thrown.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Brown throws the sinker 41.5% of the time against right-handers and 2.7% against left-handers.
248 pitches to right-handers, 264 to left-handers.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Brown's 4-seam fastball averages 96.5 mph, and has touched 98.6.
186 thrown, 36.3% of his pitches.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Brown works with 4 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Knuckle Curve, Sinker and Changeup. The 4-seam fastball is 36.3% of everything he throws.
512 classified pitches in 2026.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
9.7 mph separates Brown's sinker from his knuckle curve, 96.6 against 87.0.
110 and 183 of them respectively.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Brown's knuckle curve spins at 2,324 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
183 thrown in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Brown's 4-seam fastball carries 16.2 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
186 thrown, averaging 96.5 mph.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Brown's sinker moves 14.9 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
110 thrown, averaging 96.6 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .335 expected average against them, against .247 on his fastballs.
183 of his breaking balls thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Brown lands 49.8% of his fastballs in the zone and only 33.5% of his breaking balls.
296 of his fastballs, 183 of his breaking balls.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Brown averages 92.7 mph across his arsenal, 89th percentile in the league.
512 pitches in 2026. 89th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 58th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Brown throws 38.4% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 43.8% with the bases empty.
146 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 366 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Brown projects a .280 average, 87th percentile.
512 pitches in 2026. 87th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 71st in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 36.1% of the contact Brown gives up is hit hard, 66th percentile.
512 pitches in 2026. 66th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 183rd in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Brown lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.25 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
507 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on one side of the plate
Brown works away from right-handers: his average pitch lands 1.5 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
507 located pitches in 2026.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
18.7% of Brown's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
95 of 507 located pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Brown puts 43.6% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 40.9% of his pitches to left-handers.
248 pitches to right-handed hitters, 264 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Brown's stuff spins at 2,177 rpm, 32nd percentile in the league.
512 pitches in 2026. 32nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 363rd in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Brown releases the ball 6.5 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
390 tracked pitches in 2026.
Cubs
Career team 2024–2026