His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Chapman's sinker averages 98.0 mph, and has touched 101.3.
86 thrown, 39.4% of his pitches.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Chapman's 4-seam fastball carries 17.8 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
75 thrown, averaging 96.9 mph.
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Chapman throws a strike on the first pitch 72.7% of the time.
55 plate appearances started in 2026.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Chapman releases the ball from over the top, about 79 degrees above horizontal and 0.3 feet to the first-base side of the rubber.
218 tracked release points, averaging 6.1 feet off the ground.
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Chapman averages 94.8 mph across his arsenal, 97th percentile in the league.
218 pitches in 2026. 97th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 17th in MLB.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Chapman's sinker leaves the bat at 97.3 mph, against 87.3 off his 4-seam fastball.
86 and 75 of them thrown.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Chapman releases the ball 7.2 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
176 tracked pitches in 2026.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Chapman goes to the sinker: 45.3% of his two-strike pitches, against 36.4% the rest of the time.
75 two-strike pitches in 2026.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
46.4% of the contact Chapman gives up is hit hard, 19th percentile.
218 pitches in 2026. 19th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 434th in MLB.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Chapman throws a fastball 78.6% of the time, against 65.4% when he is ahead.
42 pitches behind in the count, 81 ahead.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Chapman works with 4 pitches: Sinker, 4-Seam Fastball, Slider and Splitter. The sinker is 39.4% of everything he throws.
218 classified pitches in 2026.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Chapman projects a .359 average, 21st percentile.
218 pitches in 2026. 21st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 425th in MLB.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Chapman's sinker moves 10.6 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
86 thrown, averaging 98.0 mph.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Chapman throws the splitter 12.7% of the time against right-handers and 0% against left-handers.
157 pitches to right-handers, 61 to left-handers.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
18.3% of Chapman's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
40 of 218 located pitches.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Chapman puts 54.8% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 40.7% when he is ahead.
42 located pitches behind, 81 ahead.
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Chapman lives in the strike zone: 44% of his pitches are in it, 62nd percentile.
218 pitches in 2026. 62nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 202nd in MLB.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 89.8 mph off the bat against Chapman, 30th percentile.
218 pitches in 2026. 30th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 378th in MLB.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Chapman's sinker spins at 2,446 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
86 thrown in 2026.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Chapman's sinker averages 98.0 mph, and has touched 101.3.
86 thrown, 39.4% of his pitches.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Chapman's sinker leaves the bat at 97.3 mph, against 87.3 off his 4-seam fastball.
86 and 75 of them thrown.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Chapman works with 4 pitches: Sinker, 4-Seam Fastball, Slider and Splitter. The sinker is 39.4% of everything he throws.
218 classified pitches in 2026.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Chapman throws the splitter 12.7% of the time against right-handers and 0% against left-handers.
157 pitches to right-handers, 61 to left-handers.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Chapman's sinker spins at 2,446 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
86 thrown in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Chapman's 4-seam fastball carries 17.8 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
75 thrown, averaging 96.9 mph.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Chapman's sinker moves 10.6 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
86 thrown, averaging 98.0 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets ahead early and pitches from in front all night
Chapman throws a strike on the first pitch 72.7% of the time.
55 plate appearances started in 2026.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Chapman goes to the sinker: 45.3% of his two-strike pitches, against 36.4% the rest of the time.
75 two-strike pitches in 2026.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Chapman throws a fastball 78.6% of the time, against 65.4% when he is ahead.
42 pitches behind in the count, 81 ahead.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Chapman puts 54.8% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 40.7% when he is ahead.
42 located pitches behind, 81 ahead.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Chapman releases the ball from over the top, about 79 degrees above horizontal and 0.3 feet to the first-base side of the rubber.
218 tracked release points, averaging 6.1 feet off the ground.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Chapman releases the ball 7.2 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
176 tracked pitches in 2026.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Chapman averages 94.8 mph across his arsenal, 97th percentile in the league.
218 pitches in 2026. 97th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 17th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
Too much of the contact against him is loud
46.4% of the contact Chapman gives up is hit hard, 19th percentile.
218 pitches in 2026. 19th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 434th in MLB.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Chapman projects a .359 average, 21st percentile.
218 pitches in 2026. 21st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 425th in MLB.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 89.8 mph off the bat against Chapman, 30th percentile.
218 pitches in 2026. 30th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 378th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
18.3% of Chapman's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
40 of 218 located pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Chapman lives in the strike zone: 44% of his pitches are in it, 62nd percentile.
218 pitches in 2026. 62nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2026, 202nd in MLB.