Thairo Estrada Spray Chart MLB Stats & Career Totals

There is one pitch he punishes whenever he sees it

Estrada does his damage against fastballs: a .823 OPS against them, against .411 on breaking balls.

94 plate appearances ending on fastballs, 58 on breaking balls.

The big spots do not change his strikeouts either way

Estrada strikes out in 9.1% of his trips with a runner in scoring position and 18.2% with the bases empty.

44 plate appearances with a runner in scoring position, 121 with the bases empty.

He rarely catches the ball flush

Only 2.3% of Estrada's batted balls are barrelled, 11th percentile.

165 plate appearances in 2025. 11th percentile among qualified hitters in 2025, 522nd in MLB.

This is the kind of hitter he is, in one line

Estrada trades damage for contact: he rarely strikes out and rarely barrels one: 11th percentile barrel rate, 88th percentile strikeout rate.

165 plate appearances in 2025. both percentiles among qualified hitters in 2025.

He almost never walks, which limits how he helps

Estrada walks in only 3.6% of his plate appearances, 8th percentile.

165 plate appearances in 2025. 8th percentile among qualified hitters in 2025, 540th in MLB.

There is one situation he simply cannot handle

Estrada is at his worst with the bases empty, on breaking balls: a .361 OPS there against .655 overall.

48 plate appearances in that situation.

One pitch is where all his power comes from

Estrada slugs .483 against fastballs and .204 against breaking balls.

94 plate appearances ending on fastballs.

Too much of his contact is weak

Just 30.8% of Estrada's contact reaches 95 mph, 15th percentile.

165 plate appearances in 2025. 15th percentile among qualified hitters in 2025, 500th in MLB.

He puts the ball in play, strikeouts are not his problem

Estrada strikes out in only 15.8% of his trips, 88th percentile.

165 plate appearances in 2025. 88th percentile among qualified hitters in 2025, 74th in MLB.

He beats the ball into the ground too often

Estrada finds a productive launch angle on only 28.5% of his contact, 13th percentile.

165 plate appearances in 2025. 13th percentile among qualified hitters in 2025, 511th in MLB.

The shape of his contact says what kind of hitter he is

Estrada averages 7.0 degrees off the bat: 27.7% of his contact is in the air and 54.6% of it is on the ground.

130 batted balls with a tracked launch angle.

There is one situation he is at his most dangerous in

Estrada is at his best against right-handers, with the bases empty, on fastballs: a .882 OPS there against .655 overall.

55 plate appearances in that situation.

His walks do not change much with runners on

Estrada walks in 6.8% of his plate appearances with a runner in scoring position, against 2.5% with the bases empty.

44 plate appearances with a runner in scoring position, 121 with the bases empty.

He does not hit the ball hard, and it shows

Estrada averages 86.3 mph off the bat, 26th percentile in the league.

165 plate appearances in 2025. 26th percentile among qualified hitters in 2025, 433rd in MLB.

He is not producing at the plate this season

Estrada's OPS+ of 71 sits 31st percentile among hitters this season.

165 plate appearances in 2025. 31st percentile among qualified hitters in 2025, 407th in MLB.

There is one part of the field he lives in

Estrada hits it hardest to his pull side: 88.6 mph on average there, against 84.1 up the middle.

43 batted balls to his pull side, 62 up the middle.

Which hand is pitching changes where he hits the ball

Estrada pulls 35.9% of what he puts in play against right-handers and 21.4% of it against left-handers.

103 batted balls against right-handers, 28 against left-handers.

He cannot get the bat on the ball in the big spots

With a runner in scoring position Estrada averages 84.5 mph off the bat, against 86.9 with the bases empty.

35 tracked batted balls with a runner in scoring position, 95 without.

One of the fastest swings in the league

Estrada swings it at 68.0 mph, 65th percentile bat speed in the league.

165 plate appearances in 2025. 65th percentile among qualified hitters in 2025, 206th in MLB.

His fly balls travel about as far as anyone's

Estrada's fly balls travel 282 feet on average, and his longest of the season went 400.

44 tracked balls hit at 20 degrees or more.

He has been getting hits he has not really earned

Estrada's batting average is .253 but the quality of his contact projects .239, a gap of .014 he is currently outrunning.

165 plate appearances in 2025.

He does not get on base enough to help

Estrada is on base at a .285 clip, 37th percentile in the league.

165 plate appearances in 2025. 37th percentile among qualified hitters in 2025, 372nd in MLB.

His contact is about the same with runners on

34.3% of Estrada's contact with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 29.5% of it with the bases empty.

44 plate appearances with a runner in scoring position, 121 with the bases empty.

He is a pull hitter, and defences can set up for it

Estrada pulls 32.8% of his batted balls and goes the other way with 19.1%, a spread a defence cannot cheat on.

43 pulled, 63 up the middle and 25 the other way over 131 located batted balls.

Thairo Estrada

Contextual Splits

Crunching the Numbers