There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Wilson's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 94.7 mph, against 87.6 off his sweeper.
325 and 567 of them thrown.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .381 expected average against them, against .291 on his breaking balls.
71 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
The home runs are what is undoing his season
Wilson has given up 7 tracked home runs, 5 of them to right field, the longest 451 feet.
7 tracked home runs allowed in 2025.
Both sides hit him about the same
32.4% of the contact right-handers make against Wilson is hit hard, against 42.9% of what left-handers make.
608 pitches to right-handed hitters, 365 to left-handed hitters.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
26.5% of the contact against Wilson is on the ground and 50% of it is in the air.
162 tracked batted balls allowed.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Wilson projects a .311 average, 79th percentile.
973 pitches in 2025. 79th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 167th in MLB.
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Wilson's stuff spins at 2,508 rpm, 87th percentile in the league.
973 pitches in 2025. 87th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 104th in MLB.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Wilson averages 86.3 mph across his arsenal, 14th percentile in the league.
973 pitches in 2025. 14th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 672nd in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 36.4% of the contact Wilson gives up is hit hard, 77th percentile.
973 pitches in 2025. 77th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 183rd in MLB.
He handles both hands about the same
Right-handed hitters project to a .294 average against Wilson and left-handers to .338.
608 pitches to right-handed hitters, 365 to left-handed hitters.
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
33.3% of the contact against Wilson with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 37.7% with the bases empty.
281 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 692 with the bases empty.
One side of the plate does most of the damage against him
Right-handed hitters average 88.7 mph off the bat against Wilson and left-handers 91.1.
102 tracked batted balls from right-handers, 63 from left-handers.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 89.6 mph off the bat against Wilson, 35th percentile.
973 pitches in 2025. 35th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 507th in MLB.
Hitters tend to hit him to one part of the field
42.4% of the balls put in play against Wilson have gone to centre field.
70 of 165 located batted balls allowed.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Wilson's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 94.7 mph, against 87.6 off his sweeper.
325 and 567 of them thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .381 expected average against them, against .291 on his breaking balls.
71 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The home runs are what is undoing his season
Wilson has given up 7 tracked home runs, 5 of them to right field, the longest 451 feet.
7 tracked home runs allowed in 2025.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
26.5% of the contact against Wilson is on the ground and 50% of it is in the air.
162 tracked batted balls allowed.
One side of the plate does most of the damage against him
Right-handed hitters average 88.7 mph off the bat against Wilson and left-handers 91.1.
102 tracked batted balls from right-handers, 63 from left-handers.
Hitters tend to hit him to one part of the field
42.4% of the balls put in play against Wilson have gone to centre field.
70 of 165 located batted balls allowed.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
Both sides hit him about the same
32.4% of the contact right-handers make against Wilson is hit hard, against 42.9% of what left-handers make.
608 pitches to right-handed hitters, 365 to left-handed hitters.
He handles both hands about the same
Right-handed hitters project to a .294 average against Wilson and left-handers to .338.
608 pitches to right-handed hitters, 365 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Wilson projects a .311 average, 79th percentile.
973 pitches in 2025. 79th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 167th in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 36.4% of the contact Wilson gives up is hit hard, 77th percentile.
973 pitches in 2025. 77th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 183rd in MLB.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 89.6 mph off the bat against Wilson, 35th percentile.
973 pitches in 2025. 35th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 507th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Wilson's stuff spins at 2,508 rpm, 87th percentile in the league.
973 pitches in 2025. 87th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 104th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Wilson averages 86.3 mph across his arsenal, 14th percentile in the league.
973 pitches in 2025. 14th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 672nd in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
33.3% of the contact against Wilson with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 37.7% with the bases empty.
281 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 692 with the bases empty.
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